Cerezo Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga in Ybc Levain Cup preview: Key statistics and predictions

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Competition: Japan Ybc Levain Cup
Competition: Sun 16.February
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Yanmar Stadium Nagai (47000 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Cerezo Osaka or Matsumoto Yamaga that keep their silverware dream alive.

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Cerezo Osaka form and stats

Cerezo Osaka participated in Ybc Levain Cup the last season, where they reached the play-offs.

The story so far in the J-League for Cerezo Osaka at their home stadium (Yanmar Stadium Nagai) is 9 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. Two home wins in a row for Cerezo Osaka bring valid hopes of a third.

Cerezo Osaka are returning here after visiting Oita Trinita in a J-League game and winning with a 2-0 scoreline. Souza and H. Okuno scored the goal(s). Before that, Cerezo Osaka had a J-League home game versus Shimizu S-Pulse which ended with a victory 2-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Cerezo Osaka have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found twelve games) they have won eight times, drawn two and lost two.

Cerezo Osaka has scored 21 league goals at home this season, in 17 matches. Cerezo Osaka are not conceding a lot of goals here at Yanmar Stadium Nagai in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 17 matches.

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Matsumoto Yamaga form and stats

Matsumoto Yamaga's mission in Ybc Levain Cup last season failed in the group stage.

There's been little loot from Matsumoto Yamaga's travels as they have only collected 17 points from 17 away games in the J-League. Matsumoto Yamaga only have 4 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 5 draws. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Matsumoto Yamaga are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

There were no winners in Matsumoto Yamaga's previous match, a J-League home game that ended 1-1 vs Shonan Bellmare. Preceding that game, the 1-4 loss visiting Gamba Osaka's place.

As mentioned above, Matsumoto Yamaga drew the match against Shonan Bellmare. Manager K. Nuno brought on T. Sakano to rescue the draw from a losing position and it worked.

Matsumoto Yamaga are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, one draw and three defeats. From a total of six matches.

The attacking power of Matsumoto Yamaga when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 17 league matches away. As opposed to that, Matsumoto Yamaga have seen the ball go into their own net 22 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last four meetings between these two teams are: two wins for Cerezo Osaka, one draw and one win for Matsumoto Yamaga. Over 2,5 goals: zero times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

Cerezo OsakaH. Okuno
H. Okuno
7 goals

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Matsumoto Yamaga missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Cerezo Osaka Matsumoto Yamaga
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 13   Played P   12 25
14 8   Won W   3 3
4 3   Drew D   3 11
7 2   Lost L   6 11
36 22   Scored S   8 17
23 9   Conceded C   17 32
96% 92%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   92% 84%
76% 77%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   50% 52%
44% 54%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   33% 28%
12% 15%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   17% 20%
4% 0%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   17% 12%
44% 54%   BTTS BTTS   42% 48%
36% 38%   Clean Sheets C S   25% 24%
24% 15%   Failed to Score F T   42% 44%
 
5.6 6.8   Corners for (avg) C F   5 3.9
6.2 5.4   Corners against (avg) C A   6.8 5.9
1 0.9   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   0.8 0.9
0 0   Red cards R C   0 0
 
282 160   Total Shots T S   122 271
122 72   Shots on Target S O   43 102
30% 31%   Goal Efficiency G E   19% 17%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cerezo Osaka 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Matsumoto Yamaga 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Urawa Reds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Vegalta Sendai 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama F. Marinos 34 22 4 8 68 38 17 12 3 2 37 14 17 10 1 6 31 24 30 70
2 Tokyo 34 19 7 8 46 29 17 12 2 3 29 13 17 7 5 5 17 16 17 64
3 Kashima Antlers 34 18 9 7 54 30 17 11 3 3 30 15 17 7 6 4 24 15 24 63
4 Kawasaki Frontale 34 16 12 6 57 34 17 5 9 3 21 17 17 11 3 3 36 17 23 60
5 Cerezo Osaka 34 18 5 11 39 25 17 9 3 5 21 11 17 9 2 6 18 14 14 59
6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34 15 10 9 45 29 17 7 7 3 21 11 17 8 3 6 24 18 16 55
7 Gamba Osaka 34 12 11 11 54 48 17 7 6 4 28 18 17 5 5 7 26 30 6 47
8 Vissel Kobe 34 14 5 15 61 59 17 8 3 6 33 26 17 6 2 9 28 33 2 47
9 Oita Trinita 34 12 11 11 35 35 17 7 3 7 18 16 17 5 8 4 17 19 0 47
10 Consadole Sapporo 34 13 7 14 54 49 17 7 4 6 30 22 17 6 3 8 24 27 5 46
11 Vegalta Sendai 34 12 5 17 38 45 17 9 4 4 25 19 17 3 1 13 13 26 -7 41
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 34 11 6 17 45 69 17 7 1 9 21 40 17 4 5 8 24 29 -24 39
13 Nagoya Grampus 34 9 10 15 45 50 17 7 3 7 22 18 17 2 7 8 23 32 -5 37
14 Urawa Reds 34 9 10 15 34 50 17 4 3 10 16 29 17 5 7 5 18 21 -16 37
15 Sagan Tosu 34 10 6 18 32 53 17 7 2 8 21 30 17 3 4 10 11 23 -21 36
16 Shonan Bellmare 34 10 6 18 40 63 17 5 3 9 19 34 17 5 3 9 21 29 -23 36
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 34 6 13 15 21 40 17 2 8 7 10 18 17 4 5 8 11 22 -19 31
18 Jubilo Iwata 34 8 7 19 29 51 17 2 5 10 16 28 17 6 2 9 13 23 -22 31

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cerezo Osaka 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Matsumoto Yamaga 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Urawa Reds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Vegalta Sendai 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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