J-League preview: Can Cerezo Osaka edge out victory against Shonan Bellmare?

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Competition: Japan J-League
Date: Sat 09.November
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Yanmar Stadium Nagai (47000 seats)

The league table in J-League tells a story about these teams so far, with Cerezo Osaka leading Shonan Bellmare by 22 points. Match preview to follow:

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Cerezo Osaka are battling for top spots and have everything to play for. Shonan Bellmare are struggling to avoid relegation.

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Cerezo Osaka form and stats

8 victories, 3 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Cerezo Osaka, who have the fewest conceded goals (23) in J-League, have to build on here at Yanmar Stadium Nagai in the J-League.

Cerezo Osaka's last game was hosting Shonan Bellmare (placed 16th) and winning 1-0. In the match before that, Cerezo Osaka hosted Matsumoto Yamaga and drew the game 1-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Cerezo Osaka handle that role? We have found eleven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W7-D2-L2.

Cerezo Osaka has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 16 matches. Cerezo Osaka are not conceding a lot of goals here at Yanmar Stadium Nagai in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 10 from 16 matches.

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Shonan Bellmare form and stats

The visitors, who have the fewest clean sheets (3) in J-League, are W5-D1-L9 on the road this term. That's in the J-League. With the Shonan Bellmare losing streak of six defeats in a row, regardless of arena, optimism is low and sinking. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on B. Ukishima, the Shonan Bellmare manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Shonan Bellmare play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-1 to Cerezo Osaka (placed 5th). A loss against Gamba Osaka was the result prior to that, in a home game.

Shonan Bellmare are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 8 defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

Shonan Bellmare have scored 19 goals on their travels this season, from 15 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Shonan Bellmare have conceded 27 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Cerezo Osaka and Shonan Bellmare have met before this season: Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 1-0. Cerezo Osaka-Shonan Bellmare H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Cerezo Osaka 7 wins, Shonan Bellmare 1 win, 2 draws. 7 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Cerezo OsakaK. Mizunuma
K. Mizunuma
6 goals
Cerezo OsakaH. Okuno
H. Okuno
6 goals
Cerezo OsakaBruno Mendes
Bruno Mendes
6 goals

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Shonan Bellmare missing players

Cerezo Osaka Shonan Bellmare
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 16 4 Played P 4 15 31
16 8 1 Won W 0 5 9
5 3 2 Drew D 0 1 4
10 5 1 Lost L 4 9 18
35 19 4 Scored S 1 19 37
23 10 3 Conceded C 8 27 61
94% 88% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
61% 50% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 80% 87%
29% 38% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 47% 52%
3% 6% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 40% 39%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 27% 29%
29% 31% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 53% 55%
45% 50% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 13% 10%
32% 31% 25% Failed to Score F T 75% 33% 35%
 
4.9 5.9 6.8 Corners For (avg) C F 4.8 5 4.7
5.9 5.2 6.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.5 5.1 5.1
1 1.2 0.8 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.5 1.3
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 1 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Cerezo Osaka have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Shonan Bellmare haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokyo 31 19 5 7 44 24 15 12 0 3 27 11 16 7 5 4 17 13 20 62
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 31 19 4 8 60 37 16 11 3 2 34 14 15 8 1 6 26 23 23 61
3 Kashima Antlers 31 17 8 6 52 27 16 11 3 2 29 12 15 6 5 4 23 15 25 59
4 Kawasaki Frontale 32 15 12 5 54 29 16 5 9 2 20 13 16 10 3 3 34 16 25 57
5 Cerezo Osaka 31 16 5 10 35 23 16 8 3 5 19 10 15 8 2 5 16 13 12 53
6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 31 14 9 8 44 28 15 6 6 3 20 11 16 8 3 5 24 17 16 51
7 Consadole Sapporo 31 12 7 12 50 45 15 7 4 4 28 18 16 5 3 8 22 27 5 43
8 Oita Trinita 30 11 10 9 32 29 15 6 3 6 16 13 15 5 7 3 16 16 3 43
9 Gamba Osaka 30 9 11 10 44 43 15 5 6 4 22 17 15 4 5 6 22 26 1 38
10 Vissel Kobe 31 11 5 15 53 57 15 6 3 6 28 25 16 5 2 9 25 32 -4 38
11 Nagoya Grampus 31 9 9 13 44 47 15 7 2 6 22 17 16 2 7 7 22 30 -3 36
12 Urawa Reds 32 9 9 14 31 46 16 4 3 9 14 26 16 5 6 5 17 20 -15 36
13 Vegalta Sendai 30 10 5 15 34 42 15 7 4 4 21 19 15 3 1 11 13 23 -8 35
14 Shimizu S-Pulse 30 10 5 15 42 64 15 6 0 9 19 39 15 4 5 6 23 25 -22 35
15 Sagan Tosu 30 9 5 16 31 50 15 6 2 7 20 28 15 3 3 9 11 22 -19 32
16 Shonan Bellmare 31 9 4 18 37 61 16 4 3 9 18 34 15 5 1 9 19 27 -24 31
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 30 6 12 12 19 33 15 2 7 6 9 16 15 4 5 6 10 17 -14 30
18 Júbilo Iwata 31 6 7 18 24 45 16 1 5 10 14 27 15 5 2 8 10 18 -21 25