J3-League preview: Can Giravanz Kitakyushu edge out victory against Gainare Tottori?

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Competition: Japan J3-League
Competition: Sun 23.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Mikuni World Stadium

The home team stadium regulars anticipate a win in this match, and the home advantage could be decisive versus a stumbling visitor. Giravanz Kitakyushu are in 10th spot while the guesting Gainare Tottori worry at 15th.

Insights:
  • Gainare Tottori have the most conceded goals in the first half (24) in J3-League

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Gainare Tottori should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Giravanz Kitakyushu form and stats

Giravanz Kitakyushu have collected 20 points from their J3-League home games so far after 6-2-6. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Mikuni World Stadium.

Giravanz Kitakyushu travelled for their previous game, a trip to Ehime that ended 1-1.

Ahead of that match, Giravanz Kitakyushu won a home game hosting Vanraure Hachinohe (2-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Kitakyushu have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 4 games) they have won 1 time, drawn 1 and lost 2.

Giravanz Kitakyushu are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 14 games. Giravanz Kitakyushu have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Gainare Tottori form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Gainare Tottori so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 2-1-11 (win-draw-lose). Recent form does not give Gainare Tottori much hope, as the visitors have lost three games in a row. Giravanz Kitakyushu will be a tough nut to crack.

Gainare Tottori might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Vanraure Hachinohe proved too strong as Gainare slumped to a 0-1 defeat in front of their own fans at Tottori Bank Bird Stadium.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 1-3 defeat against Iwaki.

We have checked recent matches where Gainare Tottori have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 17 games were 6 victories, 1 draw and 10 defeats.

Observe that 10 of this side's 12 most recent league rounds have ended with three or more goals.

Gainare Tottori find the net regularly in their away games. 15 goals from 14 away fixtures in the league. Gainare are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 15 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

Giravanz Kitakyushu have won or drawn the last 13 matches (11-2-0) facing Gainare Tottori.

The dueling parties have battled earlier this season: Gainare Tottori - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2.

Top Goalscorers

Gainare TottoriD. Ishikawa
D. Ishikawa
10 goals
Giravanz KitakyushuR. Sato
R. Sato
7 goals
Giravanz KitakyushuY. Takazawa
Y. Takazawa
6 goals

Giravanz Kitakyushu missing players

Gainare Tottori missing players

Giravanz Kitakyushu Gainare Tottori
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 4 14 29
9 6 3 Won W 1 2 8
6 2 0 Drew D 0 1 4
14 6 1 Lost L 3 11 17
31 15 4 Scored S 6 15 42
36 11 2 Conceded C 13 36 52
93% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
59% 50% 25% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 93% 86%
48% 36% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 79% 72%
24% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 36% 34%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 29% 17%
45% 29% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 43% 38%
21% 36% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 14% 31%
41% 43% 25% Failed to Score F T 25% 43% 34%
 
4 4.3 3.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 4.7 4.6
5.7 5.8 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.8 5.4 5.2
1.1 0.9 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 0.6 1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
8.2 9.4 9.2 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 10.5 11.2
3.2 3.6 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 4.1 4.5
34% 29% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 26% 32%
 
12.7 13.1 11 Shots against (avg) S A 13.2 11.7 11
5.1 5.2 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.2 5.4 4.1
Key stats in J3-League this season:
  • Gainare Tottori have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Gainare Tottori have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Gainare Tottori have the most conceded goals (36) away in J3-League
  • Gainare Tottori have the most conceded goals in the first half (24) in J3-League
  • Gainare Tottori have the most matches over the total-line (18) in J3-League
  • Gainare Tottori haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Iwaki 29 20 6 3 64 19 14 9 4 1 28 10 15 11 2 2 36 9 45 66
2 Fujieda MYFC 29 19 4 6 53 25 15 11 1 3 28 15 14 8 3 3 25 10 28 61
3 Kagoshima United 29 19 2 8 49 32 15 11 1 3 32 16 14 8 1 5 17 16 17 59
4 Matsumoto Yamaga 29 17 6 6 37 23 15 10 2 3 19 11 14 7 4 3 18 12 14 57
5 Kataller Toyama 29 17 3 9 44 35 14 10 1 3 25 18 15 7 2 6 19 17 9 54
6 Imabari 29 16 5 8 46 31 14 8 2 4 20 12 15 8 3 4 26 19 15 53
7 Parceiro Nagano 29 13 8 8 35 33 14 8 4 2 21 16 15 5 4 6 14 17 2 47
8 Ehime 28 12 7 9 41 34 15 8 4 3 29 17 13 4 3 6 12 17 7 43
9 Fukushima United 29 10 8 11 33 36 14 5 4 5 12 18 15 5 4 6 21 18 -3 38
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 29 9 6 14 31 36 14 6 2 6 15 11 15 3 4 8 16 25 -5 33
11 Gifu 29 9 6 14 39 47 14 6 3 5 20 20 15 3 3 9 19 27 -8 33
12 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 28 8 8 12 32 40 14 5 4 5 17 18 14 3 4 7 15 22 -8 32
13 Vanraure Hachinohe 29 10 1 18 25 42 14 7 0 7 14 19 15 3 1 11 11 23 -17 31
14 Azul Claro Numazu 29 8 6 15 23 37 15 7 4 4 16 14 14 1 2 11 7 23 -14 30
15 Gainare Tottori 29 8 4 17 42 52 15 6 3 6 27 16 14 2 1 11 15 36 -10 28
16 Kamatamare Sanuki 29 6 6 17 22 40 14 3 4 7 11 20 15 3 2 10 11 20 -18 24
17 Sagamihara 29 6 5 18 27 42 15 3 2 10 13 25 14 3 3 8 14 17 -15 23
18 YSCC 29 6 3 20 20 59 15 4 2 9 12 28 14 2 1 11 8 31 -39 21