J3-League prediction and preview: Gamba Osaka U23 modest favorites to beat YSCC

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Competition: Japan J3-League
Competition: Sun 04.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Suita City Football Stadium (40000 seats)

Gamba Osaka U23 are welcoming YSCC for another important game after their 2-0 result against 16th-placed YSCC.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Gamba and YSCC.

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Gamba Osaka U23 form and stats

When playing at home in the J3-League, Gamba Osaka U23 have managed 3 wins, 1 draw and suffered 5 defeats from 9 games. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Gamba Osaka U23 after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Gamba's last game was hosting YSCC (placed 16th) and winning 2-0. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Roasso Kumamoto in a game that was won 2-0.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Gamba handle that role? We have found five games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are two wins, zero draws and three defeats.

The Gamba Osaka U23 fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 9 matches. Gamba have conceded 16 from these games.

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YSCC form and stats

YSCC, who have the most conceded goals (38) in J3-League, have only collected 9 points from their away games in the J3-League, after 2-3-4 (9 played). Recent form does not give YSCC much hope, as the visitors have lost three games in a row. Gamba Osaka U23 will be a tough nut to crack. YSCC seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Two away games in a row for YSCC, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-2 versus Gamba Osaka U23 in the J3-League. A loss against Cerezo Osaka U23 was the result prior to that, in a home game.

YSCC are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, zero draws and one defeat. From a total of three matches.

YSCC have scored 11 goals on their travels this season, from 9 away games in the league. In the opposite end, YSCC have conceded 17 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; YSCC - Gamba 5-5. H2H stats regardless of arena (last nine matches): Gamba Osaka U23 three wins, three draws and YSCC three victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Gamba Osaka U23 missing players

YSCC missing players

Gamba Osaka U23 YSCC
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
19 10 2 Played P 2 10 19
6 4 0 Won W 0 2 4
3 1 1 Drew D 2 3 6
10 5 1 Lost L 0 5 9
28 15 2 Scored S 1 11 26
33 16 3 Conceded C 1 19 40
95% 90% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 80% 84%
74% 90% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 80% 79%
53% 60% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 58%
37% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 37%
26% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 30% 32%
47% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 68%
21% 40% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 20% 16%
37% 20% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 32%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.2 1.2 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1.1 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
198 105 23 Total Shots T S 21 97 211
82 40 6 Shots on Target S O 3 26 64
34% 38% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 42% 41%
Key stats in J3-League this season:
  • Gamba Osaka U23 have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • YSCC has the most conceded goals (38) in J3-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Blaublitz Akita 18 14 4 0 31 5 10 7 3 0 18 5 8 7 1 0 13 0 26 46
2 Roasso Kumamoto 18 12 2 4 34 20 10 7 2 1 22 11 8 5 0 3 12 9 14 38
3 Parceiro Nagano 19 10 5 4 31 16 9 6 0 3 15 8 10 4 5 1 16 8 15 35
4 Gainare Tottori 19 10 3 6 26 20 9 6 1 2 14 7 10 4 2 4 12 13 6 33
5 Sagamihara 19 9 5 5 24 25 10 5 4 1 16 11 9 4 1 4 8 14 -1 32
6 Gifu 17 9 4 4 29 19 8 4 3 1 12 7 9 5 1 3 17 12 10 31
7 Kagoshima United 19 9 3 7 30 26 10 5 1 4 12 16 9 4 2 3 18 10 4 30
8 Fujieda MYFC 19 9 3 7 34 31 9 5 1 3 17 13 10 4 2 4 17 18 3 30
9 Imabari 19 7 8 4 18 13 9 2 4 3 7 10 10 5 4 1 11 3 5 29
10 Kataller Toyama 18 7 3 8 29 25 9 3 1 5 11 11 9 4 2 3 18 14 4 24
11 Azul Claro Numazu 19 6 2 11 22 28 9 3 2 4 12 11 10 3 0 7 10 17 -6 20
12 Grulla Morioka 19 5 4 10 17 31 9 3 0 6 10 20 10 2 4 4 7 11 -14 19
13 Gamba Osaka U23 18 5 3 10 26 33 9 3 1 5 13 16 9 2 2 5 13 17 -7 18
14 Vanraure Hachinohe 18 5 3 10 25 34 10 3 1 6 13 18 8 2 2 4 12 16 -9 18
15 Fukushima United 19 5 3 11 24 35 10 2 3 5 13 19 9 3 0 6 11 16 -11 18
16 YSCC 18 4 6 8 26 38 9 2 3 4 15 21 9 2 3 4 11 17 -12 18
17 Cerezo Osaka U23 19 3 5 11 19 34 9 2 3 4 7 12 10 1 2 7 12 22 -15 14
18 Kamatamare Sanuki 19 2 6 11 19 31 9 1 3 5 8 13 10 1 3 6 11 18 -12 12