V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi betting preview: Visitors should struggle at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Sat 10.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (20246 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the V-Varen Nagasaki supporters in this transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki clash with Renofa Yamaguchi, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the J2-League table.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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V-Varen Nagasaki form and stats

23 points is a decent return from 11 J2-League games here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki for V-Varen Nagasaki. The data says 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The Nagasaki manager M. Teguramori might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

It's back home for Nagasaki, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Tochigi away with the result 1-0. T. Nagura found the net in that victory. Before that game, the home loss against Tokushima Vortis with the scoreline 0-1.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Nagasaki matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, zero draws and zero defeats (from one game).

Nagasaki are traveling soon after this match as the J2-League match at Júbilo Iwata awaits in four days.

The Nagasaki fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 11 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. V-Varen Nagasaki are not conceding a lot of goals here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 11 matches. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Renofa Yamaguchi form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Renofa Yamaguchi, who have the fewest points (7) away in J2-League, so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 1-4-7 (win-draw-lose).

188 minutes! That's how long the Yamaguchi goalkeeper Daisuke Yoshimitsu and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Renofa Yamaguchi are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 0-0 draw at Ehime (placed 21st). That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus Júbilo Iwata.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Renofa Yamaguchi playing away, we found four games. Results were one away win, one draw and two home wins.

Yamaguchi has another fixture away, a J2-League game, against Zweigen Kanazawa in just four days. A tough schedule for the visitors!

The attacking power of Yamaguchi when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored from 12 league matches away. As for defending, Yamaguchi rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 22 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Renofa Yamaguchi - Nagasaki 1-2. Last seven meetings between the teams: V-Varen Nagasaki won six, Renofa Yamaguchi won zero and one draw. seven games with over 2,5 goals, zero matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Renofa YamaguchiK. Ukita
K. Ukita
6 goals
Renofa YamaguchiK. Takai
K. Takai
5 goals
V-Varen NagasakiY. Otake
Y. Otake
4 goals

V-Varen Nagasaki missing players

Renofa Yamaguchi missing players

V-Varen Nagasaki Renofa Yamaguchi
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 11 2 Played P 5 12 24
12 7 2 Won W 0 1 6
7 2 0 Drew D 1 4 5
5 2 0 Lost L 4 7 13
31 13 5 Scored S 2 10 26
24 6 1 Conceded C 11 22 39
92% 82% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
67% 45% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 79%
42% 27% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 58% 62%
25% 18% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 25% 25%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 8%
54% 27% 50% BTTS BTTS 40% 58% 54%
33% 64% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 21%
21% 27% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 42% 33%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1 0.9 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.3 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
232 108 25 Total Shots T S 46 105 229
79 33 9 Shots on Target S O 17 35 80
37% 39% 56% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 29% 31%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has the fewest points (7) away in J2-League
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has the most conceded goals (22) away in J2-League
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has the the worst goal difference (-12) away in J2-League
  • Renofa Yamaguchi have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has the fewest conceded goals (6) at home in J2-League
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has the most clean sheets (7) at home in J2-League
  • V-Varen Nagasaki have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 24 14 6 4 38 19 12 5 5 2 18 8 12 9 1 2 20 11 19 48
2 Avispa Fukuoka 24 14 4 6 28 19 13 7 2 4 15 11 11 7 2 2 13 8 9 46
3 Giravanz Kitakyushu 24 14 3 7 36 26 12 8 1 3 19 13 12 6 2 4 17 13 10 45
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 24 12 7 5 31 24 11 7 2 2 13 6 13 5 5 3 18 18 7 43
5 Kyoto Sanga 24 10 8 6 30 25 10 7 2 1 19 11 14 3 6 5 11 14 5 38
6 Albirex Niigata 24 9 10 5 35 27 13 5 5 3 19 16 11 4 5 2 16 11 8 37
7 Ventforet Kofu 24 8 12 4 32 27 12 6 5 1 16 10 12 2 7 3 16 17 5 36
8 Tokyo Verdy 24 9 8 7 29 23 11 5 3 3 16 10 13 4 5 4 13 13 6 35
9 Zweigen Kanazawa 24 9 7 8 34 32 12 4 5 3 14 13 12 5 2 5 20 19 2 34
10 Tochigi 24 9 6 9 22 22 12 3 5 4 9 9 12 6 1 5 13 13 0 33
11 Omiya Ardija 24 9 5 10 24 30 11 5 3 3 13 12 13 4 2 7 11 18 -6 32
12 Mito Hollyhock 24 8 7 9 38 35 13 4 4 5 22 21 11 4 3 4 16 14 3 31
13 Júbilo Iwata 24 7 9 8 33 30 13 5 4 4 22 15 11 2 5 4 11 15 3 30
14 JEF United 24 9 3 12 28 27 12 3 2 7 13 16 12 6 1 5 15 11 1 30
15 Machida Zelvia 24 7 9 8 24 28 12 3 7 2 13 10 12 4 2 6 11 18 -4 30
16 Montedio Yamagata 24 7 8 9 26 26 12 4 3 5 13 15 12 3 5 4 13 11 0 29
17 Fagiano Okayama 24 7 7 10 20 24 14 5 3 6 13 14 10 2 4 4 7 10 -4 28
18 Ryūkyū 24 6 6 12 33 40 11 2 4 5 17 19 13 4 2 7 16 21 -7 24
19 Renofa Yamaguchi 24 6 5 13 26 39 12 5 1 6 16 17 12 1 4 7 10 22 -13 23
20 Matsumoto Yamaga 24 5 8 11 24 38 10 3 2 5 10 17 14 2 6 6 14 21 -14 23
21 Ehime 24 5 7 12 22 29 13 2 4 7 10 16 11 3 3 5 12 13 -7 22
22 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 24 7 1 16 20 43 13 3 1 9 9 25 11 4 0 7 11 18 -23 22