J2-League game tips and preview for the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock scrap

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Sat 30.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (20246 seats)

4th position in the J2-League table for V-Varen Nagasaki so far, a great performance. The match-going supporters pray for more fun as 10th-placed Mito Hollyhock visit transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki.

Insights:
  • V-Varen Nagasaki have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mito Hollyhock have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1300 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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V-Varen Nagasaki form and stats

V-Varen Nagasaki have collected 30 points from their J2-League home games so far after 8-6-3.

In their previous game, the manager H. Matsuda led his Nagasaki to a defeat in the J2-League match away at Ventforet Kofu. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki.

In the match before that, Nagasaki hosted Albirex Niigata and drew the game 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nagasaki have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won ten times, drawn four and lost one.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as ThespaKusatsu Gunma are coming to town in four days.

A decent goal production from Nagasaki in their home games so far, with 28 goals from 17 league matches. V-Varen Nagasaki's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 18 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Mito Hollyhock form and stats

As the visiting team in J2-League matches, Mito Hollyhock have produced an overall stat of 7-4-6 so far. One point away has become something of a habit for Hollyhock who have played out draws in their last three away games.

There were no winners in Hollyhock's previous match, a J2-League home game that ended 1-1 vs Fagiano Okayama (placed 11th). The draw against Fagiano Okayama came from a losing position. The Hollyhock manager T. Akiba brought on K. Matsuzaki as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level.

A 2-2 draw at Renofa Yamaguchi's stadium before that.

Hollyhock are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, one draw and three defeats. From a total of six matches.

A quick return to home after this game, as Mito Hollyhock are hosting Giravanz Kitakyushu in the J2-League only four days away.

The travelling fans enjoy Hollyhock's attacking play in away games, having scored 26 goals in 17 league matches away. Mito Hollyhock have conceded 21 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have battled previously this season: Mito Hollyhock - Nagasaki 1-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): V-Varen Nagasaki four wins, three draws and Mito Hollyhock three victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

V-Varen NagasakiE. Teixeira Lima
E. Teixeira Lima
15 goals
Mito HollyhockM. Nakayama
M. Nakayama
10 goals
Mito HollyhockM. Kai
M. Kai
7 goals

V-Varen Nagasaki missing players

Mito Hollyhock missing players

Total First Half Second Half
V-Varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
35 17 4 Played P 5 17 35
18 8 1 Won W 1 7 14
8 6 2 Drew D 1 4 8
9 3 1 Lost L 3 6 13
53 28 7 Scored S 4 26 47
38 18 6 Conceded C 6 21 38
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 88% 91%
77% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 59% 66%
46% 53% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 59% 49%
26% 24% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 29% 17%
9% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 24% 11%
51% 65% 100% BTTS BTTS 40% 53% 43%
31% 24% 0% Clean Sheets C S 40% 35% 34%
20% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 24% 31%
 
5 5.1 5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.4 5.6 5
5.1 4.5 3.2 Corners against (avg) C A 7.6 4.7 4.6
0.6 0.5 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 0.9 1
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.6 9.7 7.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9.4 11 9.4
3.9 4.2 3.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 4.4 3.9
40% 39% 54% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 35% 35%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Mito Hollyhock have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Jubilo Iwata 35 22 8 5 64 37 18 12 3 3 35 22 17 10 5 2 29 15 27 74
2 Kyoto Sanga 35 21 9 5 54 29 18 11 5 2 33 18 17 10 4 3 21 11 25 72
3 Ventforet Kofu 35 19 9 7 54 31 18 12 5 1 33 13 17 7 4 6 21 18 23 66
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 35 18 8 9 53 38 17 8 6 3 28 18 18 10 2 6 25 20 15 62
5 Albirex Niigata 35 17 10 8 56 34 18 10 4 4 27 11 17 7 6 4 29 23 22 61
6 Montedio Yamagata 35 18 7 10 47 35 17 9 2 6 23 18 18 9 5 4 24 17 12 61
7 Machida Zelvia 35 17 8 10 53 32 18 6 5 7 24 19 17 11 3 3 29 13 21 59
8 Ryūkyū 35 16 7 12 49 39 17 9 3 5 23 12 18 7 4 7 26 27 10 55
9 JEF United 35 14 11 10 38 31 17 6 6 5 18 16 18 8 5 5 20 15 7 53
10 Mito Hollyhock 35 14 8 13 47 38 18 7 4 7 21 17 17 7 4 6 26 21 9 50
11 Fagiano Okayama 35 11 12 12 31 29 17 5 3 9 13 14 18 6 9 3 18 15 2 45
12 Tokyo Verdy 35 12 8 15 48 60 17 8 1 8 26 27 18 4 7 7 22 33 -12 44
13 Blaublitz Akita 35 10 12 13 35 40 17 3 9 5 11 18 18 7 3 8 24 22 -5 42
14 Tochigi 35 8 14 13 31 41 17 3 7 7 16 21 18 5 7 6 15 20 -10 38
15 Omiya Ardija 35 8 13 14 43 45 17 5 5 7 24 22 18 3 8 7 19 23 -2 37
16 Renofa Yamaguchi 35 8 10 17 31 46 18 5 5 8 18 21 17 3 5 9 13 25 -15 34
17 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 35 8 10 17 30 47 17 4 6 7 15 20 18 4 4 10 15 27 -17 34
18 Zweigen Kanazawa 35 8 9 18 33 50 18 4 5 9 16 25 17 4 4 9 17 25 -17 33
19 Ehime 35 7 12 16 34 57 17 1 7 9 17 35 18 6 5 7 17 22 -23 33
20 Giravanz Kitakyushu 35 6 13 16 31 54 18 3 7 8 15 24 17 3 6 8 16 30 -23 31
21 Matsumoto Yamaga 35 7 10 18 28 59 18 5 5 8 19 28 17 2 5 10 9 31 -31 31
22 Sagamihara 35 6 12 17 25 43 18 4 7 7 17 24 17 2 5 10 8 19 -18 30

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Jubilo Iwata 35 22 8 5 64 37 18 12 3 3 35 22 17 10 5 2 29 15 27 74
2 Kyoto Sanga 35 21 9 5 54 29 18 11 5 2 33 18 17 10 4 3 21 11 25 72
3 Ventforet Kofu 35 19 9 7 54 31 18 12 5 1 33 13 17 7 4 6 21 18 23 66
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 35 18 8 9 53 38 17 8 6 3 28 18 18 10 2 6 25 20 15 62
5 Albirex Niigata 35 17 10 8 56 34 18 10 4 4 27 11 17 7 6 4 29 23 22 61
6 Montedio Yamagata 35 18 7 10 47 35 17 9 2 6 23 18 18 9 5 4 24 17 12 61
7 Machida Zelvia 35 17 8 10 53 32 18 6 5 7 24 19 17 11 3 3 29 13 21 59
8 Ryūkyū 35 16 7 12 49 39 17 9 3 5 23 12 18 7 4 7 26 27 10 55
9 JEF United 35 14 11 10 38 31 17 6 6 5 18 16 18 8 5 5 20 15 7 53
10 Mito Hollyhock 35 14 8 13 47 38 18 7 4 7 21 17 17 7 4 6 26 21 9 50
11 Fagiano Okayama 35 11 12 12 31 29 17 5 3 9 13 14 18 6 9 3 18 15 2 45
12 Tokyo Verdy 35 12 8 15 48 60 17 8 1 8 26 27 18 4 7 7 22 33 -12 44
13 Blaublitz Akita 35 10 12 13 35 40 17 3 9 5 11 18 18 7 3 8 24 22 -5 42
14 Tochigi 35 8 14 13 31 41 17 3 7 7 16 21 18 5 7 6 15 20 -10 38
15 Omiya Ardija 35 8 13 14 43 45 17 5 5 7 24 22 18 3 8 7 19 23 -2 37
16 Renofa Yamaguchi 35 8 10 17 31 46 18 5 5 8 18 21 17 3 5 9 13 25 -15 34
17 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 35 8 10 17 30 47 17 4 6 7 15 20 18 4 4 10 15 27 -17 34
18 Zweigen Kanazawa 35 8 9 18 33 50 18 4 5 9 16 25 17 4 4 9 17 25 -17 33
19 Ehime 35 7 12 16 34 57 17 1 7 9 17 35 18 6 5 7 17 22 -23 33
20 Giravanz Kitakyushu 35 6 13 16 31 54 18 3 7 8 15 24 17 3 6 8 16 30 -23 31
21 Matsumoto Yamaga 35 7 10 18 28 59 18 5 5 8 19 28 17 2 5 10 9 31 -31 31
22 Sagamihara 35 6 12 17 25 43 18 4 7 7 17 24 17 2 5 10 8 19 -18 30

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