J2-League match prediction: Little separates Tokyo Verdy and Tochigi in quality

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Sat 17.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium (50100 seats)

Tokyo Verdy perform at a high level so far being 7th in the table. Tochigi can look both up and down from their 14th position.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Tokyo and Tochigi.

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Tokyo Verdy form and stats

Tokyo Verdy have played 12 J2-League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-3-4 (wins-draws-losses).

It's back home for Tokyo, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Ehime away with the result 4-1. Y. Sato, J. Koike, S. Takahashi and M. Arai found the net in that victory. Preceding that match was a defeat to Fagiano Okayama (0-1).

This is expected to be a close game, with Tokyo Verdy perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Tokyo as a small favourite), we find seven games. Tokyo Verdy has won four of these, drawn two and lost one.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Tokyo Verdy, as the J2-League home game vs Jubilo Iwata is only four days away.

The Tokyo fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 16 in 12 matches. Tokyo Verdy are not conceding a lot of goals here at Ajinomoto Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 12 matches.

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Tochigi form and stats

6 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. That’s the product of Tochigi playing as the away team in the J2-League this season.

Tochigi aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 378 league minutes without a goal. T. Mori was the last player to find the net.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a J2-League home defeat versus Montedio Yamagata with 0-1 on the scoreboard. Before that, Tochigi travelled to Omiya Ardija and returned home with a draw after the game finished 0-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Tochigi playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were seven Tochigi wins, two draws and five defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Tochigi are hosting Ryūkyū in the J2-League only four days away.

Tochigi are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 13 away goals from 13 games (in the league). 13 goals have been conceded by Tochigi in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Tochigi - Tokyo 1-1 played earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - three - three (Tokyo Verdy wins - draws - Tochigi wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Tokyo VerdyJ. Koike
J. Koike
7 goals
Tokyo VerdyY. Sato
Y. Sato
5 goals
TochigiY. Yanagi
Y. Yanagi
5 goals

Tokyo Verdy missing players

Tochigi missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Tokyo Verdy Tochigi
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 12 3 Played P 3 13 26
10 5 1 Won W 1 6 9
8 3 2 Drew D 0 2 7
8 4 0 Lost L 2 5 10
33 16 3 Scored S 1 13 22
25 11 1 Conceded C 2 13 23
85% 92% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 88%
62% 58% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 38% 38%
42% 33% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 31% 23%
23% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 23% 15%
8% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 15% 8%
46% 42% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 31% 31%
35% 33% 67% Clean Sheets C S 33% 38% 35%
35% 33% 33% Failed to Score F T 67% 38% 46%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1 0.6 0.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.1 1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
218 105 24 Total Shots T S 27 127 244
85 36 8 Shots on Target S O 7 42 86
34% 33% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 31% 26%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Tochigi has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (10) in J2-League
  • Tochigi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 26 15 7 4 41 20 13 6 5 2 20 8 13 9 2 2 21 12 21 52
2 Avispa Fukuoka 26 16 4 6 32 20 13 7 2 4 15 11 13 9 2 2 17 9 12 52
3 Giravanz Kitakyushu 26 14 4 8 38 29 13 8 2 3 19 13 13 6 2 5 19 16 9 46
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 26 13 7 6 35 28 12 8 2 2 17 9 14 5 5 4 18 19 7 46
5 Albirex Niigata 26 10 10 6 38 30 14 5 5 4 20 18 12 5 5 2 18 12 8 40
6 Ventforet Kofu 26 9 12 5 35 31 14 7 5 2 19 14 12 2 7 3 16 17 4 39
7 Tokyo Verdy 26 10 8 8 33 25 12 5 3 4 16 11 14 5 5 4 17 14 8 38
8 Zweigen Kanazawa 26 10 8 8 40 36 13 5 5 3 18 15 13 5 3 5 22 21 4 38
9 Kyoto Sanga 26 10 8 8 31 30 11 7 2 2 20 13 15 3 6 6 11 17 1 38
10 Mito Hollyhock 26 9 8 9 45 38 13 4 4 5 22 21 13 5 4 4 23 17 7 35
11 Montedio Yamagata 26 9 8 9 30 26 13 5 3 5 16 15 13 4 5 4 14 11 4 35
12 Jubilo Iwata 26 8 10 8 34 30 14 6 4 4 23 15 12 2 6 4 11 15 4 34
13 Machida Zelvia 26 8 10 8 29 30 14 4 8 2 18 12 12 4 2 6 11 18 -1 34
14 Tochigi 26 9 7 10 22 23 13 3 5 5 9 10 13 6 2 5 13 13 -1 34
15 Omiya Ardija 26 9 7 10 24 30 13 5 5 3 13 12 13 4 2 7 11 18 -6 34
16 Fagiano Okayama 26 8 8 10 22 25 15 5 4 6 14 15 11 3 4 4 8 10 -3 32
17 JEF United 26 9 4 13 29 32 13 3 2 8 14 21 13 6 2 5 15 11 -3 31
18 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 26 8 2 16 21 43 13 3 1 9 9 25 13 5 1 7 12 18 -22 26
19 Matsumoto Yamaga 26 5 10 11 26 40 12 3 4 5 12 19 14 2 6 6 14 21 -14 25
20 Ryūkyū 26 6 6 14 33 44 12 2 4 6 17 20 14 4 2 8 16 24 -11 24
21 Renofa Yamaguchi 26 6 5 15 31 47 12 5 1 6 16 17 14 1 4 9 15 30 -16 23
22 Ehime 26 5 7 14 23 35 14 2 4 8 11 20 12 3 3 6 12 15 -12 22

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 26 15 7 4 41 20 13 6 5 2 20 8 13 9 2 2 21 12 21 52
2 Avispa Fukuoka 26 16 4 6 32 20 13 7 2 4 15 11 13 9 2 2 17 9 12 52
3 Giravanz Kitakyushu 26 14 4 8 38 29 13 8 2 3 19 13 13 6 2 5 19 16 9 46
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 26 13 7 6 35 28 12 8 2 2 17 9 14 5 5 4 18 19 7 46
5 Albirex Niigata 26 10 10 6 38 30 14 5 5 4 20 18 12 5 5 2 18 12 8 40
6 Ventforet Kofu 26 9 12 5 35 31 14 7 5 2 19 14 12 2 7 3 16 17 4 39
7 Tokyo Verdy 26 10 8 8 33 25 12 5 3 4 16 11 14 5 5 4 17 14 8 38
8 Zweigen Kanazawa 26 10 8 8 40 36 13 5 5 3 18 15 13 5 3 5 22 21 4 38
9 Kyoto Sanga 26 10 8 8 31 30 11 7 2 2 20 13 15 3 6 6 11 17 1 38
10 Mito Hollyhock 26 9 8 9 45 38 13 4 4 5 22 21 13 5 4 4 23 17 7 35
11 Montedio Yamagata 26 9 8 9 30 26 13 5 3 5 16 15 13 4 5 4 14 11 4 35
12 Jubilo Iwata 26 8 10 8 34 30 14 6 4 4 23 15 12 2 6 4 11 15 4 34
13 Machida Zelvia 26 8 10 8 29 30 14 4 8 2 18 12 12 4 2 6 11 18 -1 34
14 Tochigi 26 9 7 10 22 23 13 3 5 5 9 10 13 6 2 5 13 13 -1 34
15 Omiya Ardija 26 9 7 10 24 30 13 5 5 3 13 12 13 4 2 7 11 18 -6 34
16 Fagiano Okayama 26 8 8 10 22 25 15 5 4 6 14 15 11 3 4 4 8 10 -3 32
17 JEF United 26 9 4 13 29 32 13 3 2 8 14 21 13 6 2 5 15 11 -3 31
18 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 26 8 2 16 21 43 13 3 1 9 9 25 13 5 1 7 12 18 -22 26
19 Matsumoto Yamaga 26 5 10 11 26 40 12 3 4 5 12 19 14 2 6 6 14 21 -14 25
20 Ryūkyū 26 6 6 14 33 44 12 2 4 6 17 20 14 4 2 8 16 24 -11 24
21 Renofa Yamaguchi 26 6 5 15 31 47 12 5 1 6 16 17 14 1 4 9 15 30 -16 23
22 Ehime 26 5 7 14 23 35 14 2 4 8 11 20 12 3 3 6 12 15 -12 22

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