J2-League match prediction: Little separates Renofa Yamaguchi and ThespaKusatsu Gunma in quality

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Wed 04.November
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (15115 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the J2-League, with both Renofa Yamaguchi and ThespaKusatsu Gunma experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 21st and the visitors in 20th place.

It's no vacation for neither Renofa Yamaguchi nor ThespaKusatsu Gunma as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 900 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Renofa Yamaguchi form and stats

The story so far in the J2-League for Renofa Yamaguchi, who have the most conceded goals (56) in J2-League, at their home stadium (Ishin Me-Life Stadium) is 5 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Yamaguchi to get some points in this home game. The Renofa Yamaguchi manager M. Shimoda might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

Yamaguchi lost their last game at Matsumoto Yamaga (placed 19th) after a 1-2 scoreline. Preceding that match was a defeat to Mito Hollyhock (1-4).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Yamaguchi have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 13 matches with the results: Won four, drawn two and lost seven.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Yamaguchi as they are travelling to their away game against Ryūkyū in the J2-League. That match is four days after this one.

Yamaguchi are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 17 goals in 14 games. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 24 goals have been conceded.

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ThespaKusatsu Gunma form and stats

As the visiting team in J2-League matches, ThespaKusatsu Gunma, who have the fewest scored goals (25) in J2-League, have produced an overall stat of 5-1-8 so far.

Home advantage was not enough for ThespaKusatsu in their previous game, as they lost their J2-League-match, hosting Tokushima Vortis, 2-3. Preceding that game, the 1-3 loss visiting Jubilo Iwata's place.

Leading 2-0 was not enough for ThespaKusatsu in their fight with Tokushima Vortis last time out. Happy faces soon turned sour as mistakes flourished in what ended up a 2-3 loss. ThespaKusatsu were so close to getting something from the game against Tokushima Vortis, but ended up with egg all over their face after conceding the deciding goal three minutes into overtime.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found four similar matches played by ThespaKusatsu in our archives, and the results are: zero wins for ThespaKusatsu Gunma, zero draws and four defeats.

After this away game ThespaKusatsu return home for a J2-League game against V-Varen Nagasaki. That game is only four sleeps after this.

The visitors have scored 13 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. In the opposite end, ThespaKusatsu have conceded 21 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: ThespaKusatsu Gunma - Yamaguchi 2-1. Last six meetings between the teams: Renofa Yamaguchi won two, ThespaKusatsu Gunma won four and zero draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, two matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Renofa YamaguchiK. Ukita
K. Ukita
7 goals
ThespaKusatsu GunmaT. Tanaka
T. Tanaka
7 goals
Renofa YamaguchiK. Takai
K. Takai
6 goals

Renofa Yamaguchi missing players

ThespaKusatsu Gunma missing players

Renofa Yamaguchi ThespaKusatsu Gunma
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
30 14 5 Played P 4 14 30
7 5 2 Won W 2 5 9
5 1 1 Drew D 0 1 2
18 8 2 Lost L 2 8 19
34 17 7 Scored S 3 13 25
56 24 8 Conceded C 5 21 50
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 97%
80% 79% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 64% 60%
67% 71% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 43% 47%
30% 29% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 36% 33%
17% 14% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 13%
57% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 25% 43% 40%
20% 21% 20% Clean Sheets C S 25% 21% 20%
30% 29% 40% Failed to Score F T 50% 43% 43%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.2 1.1 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 0.9 0.9
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
276 140 60 Total Shots T S 32 129 273
99 49 25 Shots on Target S O 8 43 82
33% 33% 28% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 30% 30%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has the most conceded goals (56) in J2-League
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has the most conceded goals in the first half (24) in J2-League
  • Renofa Yamaguchi have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • ThespaKusatsu Gunma has the fewest scored goals (25) in J2-League
  • ThespaKusatsu Gunma has the fewest scored goals in the second half (12) in J2-League
  • ThespaKusatsu Gunma has the the worst goal difference (-25) in J2-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 30 17 8 5 47 23 15 6 6 3 20 9 15 11 2 2 27 14 24 59
2 Avispa Fukuoka 30 18 5 7 35 22 14 8 2 4 16 11 16 10 3 3 19 11 13 59
3 V-Varen Nagasaki 30 15 9 6 44 31 13 9 2 2 21 10 17 6 7 4 23 21 13 54
4 Giravanz Kitakyushu 30 15 5 10 43 33 15 8 3 4 20 15 15 7 2 6 23 18 10 50
5 Albirex Niigata 30 11 13 6 44 34 16 5 7 4 23 21 14 6 6 2 21 13 10 46
6 Ventforet Kofu 30 11 13 6 38 33 15 8 5 2 21 15 15 3 8 4 17 18 5 46
7 Jubilo Iwata 30 11 11 8 40 32 16 8 4 4 28 17 14 3 7 4 12 15 8 44
8 Kyoto Sanga 30 12 8 10 36 33 14 9 2 3 24 14 16 3 6 7 12 19 3 44
9 Montedio Yamagata 30 11 9 10 39 31 15 7 3 5 24 16 15 4 6 5 15 15 8 42
10 Tochigi 30 11 9 10 27 24 15 4 6 5 13 11 15 7 3 5 14 13 3 42
11 Tokyo Verdy 30 10 11 9 35 31 14 5 5 4 16 11 16 5 6 5 19 20 4 41
12 Fagiano Okayama 30 10 10 10 29 30 17 7 4 6 20 19 13 3 6 4 9 11 -1 40
13 Mito Hollyhock 30 10 9 11 52 47 15 4 5 6 24 25 15 6 4 5 28 22 5 39
14 Zweigen Kanazawa 30 10 9 11 41 43 16 5 6 5 19 20 14 5 3 6 22 23 -2 39
15 Machida Zelvia 30 8 12 10 31 34 16 4 9 3 19 14 14 4 3 7 12 20 -3 36
16 Omiya Ardija 30 9 9 12 27 37 15 5 6 4 13 15 15 4 3 8 14 22 -10 36
17 JEF United 30 10 5 15 33 36 15 4 3 8 16 21 15 6 2 7 17 15 -3 35
18 Ryūkyū 30 9 6 15 41 49 14 4 4 6 21 21 16 5 2 9 20 28 -8 33
19 Matsumoto Yamaga 30 7 11 12 30 44 14 4 5 5 15 21 16 3 6 7 15 23 -14 32
20 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 30 9 2 19 25 50 16 4 1 11 12 29 14 5 1 8 13 21 -25 29
21 Renofa Yamaguchi 30 7 5 18 34 56 14 5 1 8 17 24 16 2 4 10 17 32 -22 26
22 Ehime 30 6 7 17 27 45 16 2 4 10 12 25 14 4 3 7 15 20 -18 25