Montedio Yamagata vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Soccer betting preview

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Sun 04.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the J2-League, Montedio Yamagata holding 16th place and Matsumoto Yamaga lying 21st. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Montedio Yamagata form and stats

Montedio Yamagata have played 11 J2-League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-3-4 (wins-draws-losses).

In the preceding match a 4-1 victory visiting ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Montedio matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, one draw and zero defeats (from two games).

Montedio Yamagata has scored 12 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Montedio have conceded 12 in these home matches.

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Matsumoto Yamaga form and stats

Matsumoto Yamaga have only collected 9 points from their away games in the J2-League, after 1-6-6 (13 played). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Matsumoto have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 13 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Ehime game.

A 0-1 loss hosting Zweigen Kanazawa before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Matsumoto playing away, we found five games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and five home wins.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. As for defending, Matsumoto Yamaga rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 20 goals from these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Matsumoto Yamaga - Montedio 1-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Montedio one win, four draws and Matsumoto Yamaga five victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven games had two or less.

Montedio Yamagata missing players

Matsumoto Yamaga missing players

Montedio Yamagata Matsumoto Yamaga
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
24 12 2 Played P 3 14 24
7 4 0 Won W 1 1 4
9 4 1 Drew D 1 7 9
8 4 1 Lost L 1 6 11
25 12 2 Scored S 4 11 21
23 12 3 Conceded C 4 20 37
79% 75% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 92%
50% 42% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 64% 67%
25% 25% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 46%
21% 25% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 21% 25%
17% 17% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
42% 33% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 50%
38% 50% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 21%
42% 42% 50% Failed to Score F T 33% 50% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0.5 0.4 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 0.9 0.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
241 120 18 Total Shots T S 31 125 226
104 46 8 Shots on Target S O 10 46 76
24% 26% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 24% 28%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has the fewest scored goals in the first half (3) in J2-League
  • Matsumoto Yamaga have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 24 14 6 4 38 19 12 5 5 2 18 8 12 9 1 2 20 11 19 48
2 Giravanz Kitakyushu 23 14 3 6 36 24 12 8 1 3 19 13 11 6 2 3 17 11 12 45
3 Avispa Fukuoka 23 13 4 6 26 19 12 6 2 4 13 11 11 7 2 2 13 8 7 43
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 23 11 7 5 30 24 11 7 2 2 13 6 12 4 5 3 17 18 6 40
5 Ventforet Kofu 23 8 12 3 31 25 12 6 5 1 16 10 11 2 7 2 15 15 6 36
6 Tokyo Verdy 24 9 8 7 29 23 11 5 3 3 16 10 13 4 5 4 13 13 6 35
7 Kyoto Sanga 23 9 8 6 28 24 10 7 2 1 19 11 13 2 6 5 9 13 4 35
8 Albirex Niigata 23 8 10 5 31 27 12 4 5 3 15 16 11 4 5 2 16 11 4 34
9 Tochigi 23 9 6 8 22 21 11 3 5 3 9 8 12 6 1 5 13 13 1 33
10 Omiya Ardija 24 9 5 10 24 30 11 5 3 3 13 12 13 4 2 7 11 18 -6 32
11 Zweigen Kanazawa 23 8 7 8 32 31 11 3 5 3 12 12 12 5 2 5 20 19 1 31
12 Jubilo Iwata 23 7 9 7 32 28 12 5 4 3 21 13 11 2 5 4 11 15 4 30
13 Mito Hollyhock 23 8 6 9 38 35 12 4 3 5 22 21 11 4 3 4 16 14 3 30
14 JEF United 23 9 3 11 28 26 12 3 2 7 13 16 11 6 1 4 15 10 2 30
15 Machida Zelvia 23 7 9 7 24 24 12 3 7 2 13 10 11 4 2 5 11 14 0 30
16 Montedio Yamagata 23 7 8 8 25 23 11 4 3 4 12 12 12 3 5 4 13 11 2 29
17 Fagiano Okayama 23 7 6 10 20 24 14 5 3 6 13 14 9 2 3 4 7 10 -4 27
18 Ryukyu 24 6 6 12 33 40 11 2 4 5 17 19 13 4 2 7 16 21 -7 24
19 Renofa Yamaguchi 24 6 5 13 26 39 12 5 1 6 16 17 12 1 4 7 10 22 -13 23
20 Ehime 24 5 7 12 22 29 13 2 4 7 10 16 11 3 3 5 12 13 -7 22
21 Matsumoto Yamaga 23 4 8 11 21 37 10 3 2 5 10 17 13 1 6 6 11 20 -16 20
22 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 23 6 1 16 19 43 12 2 1 9 8 25 11 4 0 7 11 18 -24 19