J2-League prediction and preview: Montedio Yamagata modest favorites to beat Avispa Fukuoka

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Date: Wed 31.July
Match begins: 10:30 (UTC)
Venue: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (20315 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 1st and 21st place in the table will show on the pitch.

It's no vacation for neither Montedio Yamagata nor Avispa Fukuoka as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1300 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Montedio Yamagata form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata as Montedio Yamagata have scored 10 goals to get 20 points from 9 games. The overall stats are 6-2-1 (wins-draws-losses).

Montedio Yamagata's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 1-2 versus Avispa Fukuoka. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Tokushima Vortis in a game that was won 3-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Montedio Yamagata have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 3.

Montedio Yamagata are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home, having created 10 goals in 9 matches. As for guarding their own goal, Montedio Yamagata have only let in 4 goals at home.

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Avispa Fukuoka form and stats

Playing away, Avispa Fukuoka have won 3 games, drawn 2 and suffered 4 defeats so far this season.

It's the second away game in a row for Avispa Fukuoka, but there's smiles all around after the 2-1 victory versus Montedio Yamagata in the J2-League last time out. Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Mito Hollyhock.

We have checked recent matches where Avispa Fukuoka have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were W1-D0-L1.

Avispa Fukuoka find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 12 goals from 9 away fixtures. Avispa Fukuoka have conceded 15 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 entered in the official records. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Montedio Yamagata 4 wins, 2 draws and Avispa Fukuoka 4 victories. As for goals, 6 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Yang Dong-Hyen
9 goals
T. Sakano
6 goals
S. Otsuki
5 goals

Montedio Yamagata missing players

Avispa Fukuoka missing players

Montedio Yamagata Avispa Fukuoka
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
25 13 3 Played 1 13 25
12 7 2 Won 0 5 6
7 2 0 Drew 0 2 6
6 4 1 Lost 1 6 13
28 14 4 Scored 2 17 25
18 9 2 Conceded 4 21 40
88% 92% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 96%
48% 38% 33% Over 1.5 100% 85% 76%
32% 31% 33% Over 2.5 100% 62% 48%
16% 15% 33% Over 3.5 100% 23% 20%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 100% 15% 12%
36% 38% 33% BTTS 100% 69% 60%
44% 38% 33% Clean Sheets 0% 23% 16%
32% 31% 33% Failed To Score 0% 8% 28%
 
4.9 5.1 7 Corners For (avg) 7 4.2 4.7
4 3.5 2.7 Corners Against (avg) 7 5.5 5
1.2 1.2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 1 2.2 2
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Avispa Fukuoka have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Avispa Fukuoka haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Montedio Yamagata
All Emperor Cup J2-League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
07-07-19 J2 Ehime 0 - 0 Montedio Yamagata
13-07-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 0 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
21-07-19 J2 Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 Montedio Yamagata
27-07-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 3 - 1 Tokushima Vortis
31-07-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 1 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
04-08-19 J2 Omiya Ardija 10:00 Montedio Yamagata
11-08-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 10:00 Albirex Niigata
18-08-19 J2 Tokyo Verdy 10:00 Montedio Yamagata
24-08-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 10:00 Tochigi
31-08-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 10:00 Yokohama
Avispa Fukuoka
All Emperor Cup J2-League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
06-07-19 J2 Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 3 Gifu
14-07-19 J2 Machida Zelvia 0 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
20-07-19 J2 JEF United 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka
27-07-19 J2 Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Mito Hollyhock
31-07-19 J2 Montedio Yamagata 1 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
04-08-19 J2 Avispa Fukuoka 09:00 Yokohama
11-08-19 J2 Gifu 09:00 Avispa Fukuoka
14-08-19 EC Shimizu S-Pulse 10:00 Avispa Fukuoka
17-08-19 J2 Avispa Fukuoka 10:00 Tokushima Vortis
24-08-19 J2 Kyoto Sanga 10:00 Avispa Fukuoka

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Montedio Yamagata 18 10 6 2 22 11 9 6 2 1 10 4 9 4 4 1 12 7 11 36
2 Omiya Ardija 18 9 7 2 24 15 9 5 3 1 15 10 9 4 4 1 9 5 9 34
3 Mito Hollyhock 18 9 6 3 19 9 8 3 4 1 10 5 10 6 2 2 9 4 10 33
4 Ventforet Kofu 18 8 6 4 26 16 9 4 2 3 12 10 9 4 4 1 14 6 10 30
5 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 6 4 25 18 9 4 3 2 10 7 9 4 3 2 15 11 7 30
6 V-Varen Nagasaki 17 8 3 6 23 18 8 3 2 3 9 9 9 5 1 3 14 9 5 27
7 Kashiwa Reysol 17 7 6 4 14 11 8 4 3 1 7 2 9 3 3 3 7 9 3 27
8 Fagiano Okayama 18 7 6 5 22 20 10 5 4 1 14 10 8 2 2 4 8 10 2 27
9 Zweigen Kanazawa 18 6 8 4 22 13 8 3 4 1 9 3 10 3 4 3 13 10 9 26
10 Ryūkyū 18 6 7 5 25 22 9 5 4 0 15 8 9 1 3 5 10 14 3 25
11 Tokushima Vortis 18 6 6 6 19 19 8 4 3 1 9 6 10 2 3 5 10 13 0 24
12 Tokyo Verdy 18 6 6 6 24 25 10 4 4 2 15 14 8 2 2 4 9 11 -1 24
13 Albirex Niigata 18 6 5 7 25 22 8 3 1 4 9 9 10 3 4 3 16 13 3 23
14 Yokohama 18 6 4 8 20 22 9 3 2 4 12 13 9 3 2 4 8 9 -2 22
15 JEF United 18 5 7 6 20 26 9 3 3 3 13 16 9 2 4 3 7 10 -6 22
16 Machida Zelvia 17 5 5 7 15 23 8 2 3 3 7 11 9 3 2 4 8 12 -8 20
17 Ehime 18 5 4 9 16 21 11 4 2 5 11 12 7 1 2 4 5 9 -5 19
18 Kagoshima United 18 5 2 11 16 22 10 4 0 6 11 15 8 1 2 5 5 7 -6 17
19 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 4 5 9 23 31 9 1 2 6 10 18 9 3 3 3 13 13 -8 17
20 Tochigi 18 3 8 7 14 22 9 1 5 3 5 8 9 2 3 4 9 14 -8 17
21 Avispa Fukuoka 17 4 4 9 15 25 8 1 2 5 3 10 9 3 2 4 12 15 -10 16
22 Gifu 18 3 3 12 14 32 10 3 2 5 11 16 8 0 1 7 3 16 -18 12

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