Home advantage could prove decisive in Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi battle

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Date: Sun 10.November
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Machida Stadium (10328 seats)

Machida Zelvia hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 37 points and a 19th position in the J2-League table. Visiting Renofa Yamaguchi holds 14th place with 47 pts.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 900 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Machida Zelvia are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. Renofa Yamaguchi is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

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Machida Zelvia form and stats

Machida Zelvia's struggle is real here at Machida Stadium with only 17 points collected from 19 J2-League games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 2-11-6. All in all it has been a very rough period for Machida Zelvia who hasn’t won a game in their last ten attempts. Their previous win was against Fagiano Okayama, 76 days ago. Machida Zelvia are slowly digging their own grave here at Machida Stadium with the depressing streak of not having won a home game in 16 attempts. The last victory here came in the Ehime match.

In their previous game, the manager N. Soma led his Machida Zelvia to a defeat in the J2-League match away at Ehime. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Machida Stadium. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Gifu that ended 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Machida Zelvia have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 0 times, drawn 5 and lost 2.

Machida Zelvia aren't scoring a lot here at Machida Stadium in the league, with only 16 goals from 19 games. Machida Zelvia have conceded 26 in these home matches.

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Renofa Yamaguchi form and stats

5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. That’s the product of Renofa Yamaguchi playing as the away team in the J2-League this season. Renofa Yamaguchi has drawn their two previous away games.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a J2-League home defeat versus Ryukyu with 1-2 on the scoreboard. That result followed a home victory 3-2 versus JEF United.

We have checked recent matches where Renofa Yamaguchi have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were W4-D1-L7.

Renofa Yamaguchi have scored 22 goals on their travels this season, from 19 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Renofa Yamaguchi have conceded 32 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia 3-0. Last seven meetings between the teams: Machida Zelvia won 3, Renofa Yamaguchi won 4 and 0 draws. 3 games with over 2,5 goals, 4 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Renofa Yamaguchi
K. Yamashita
11 goals
Machida ZelviaF. Romero
F. Romero
8 goals
Renofa YamaguchiK. Takai
K. Takai
8 goals

Machida Zelvia missing players

Renofa Yamaguchi missing players

Machida Zelvia Renofa Yamaguchi
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
39 19 6 Played P 7 19 39
7 2 1 Won W 2 5 13
16 11 4 Drew D 3 5 8
16 6 1 Lost L 2 9 18
33 16 11 Scored S 14 22 52
55 26 11 Conceded C 11 32 63
87% 79% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 86% 95% 97%
67% 63% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 86% 68% 74%
36% 37% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 71% 47% 56%
18% 26% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 43% 37% 36%
10% 11% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 29% 21% 18%
41% 42% 83% BTTS BTTS 86% 53% 54%
26% 32% 17% Clean Sheets C S 14% 21% 26%
46% 47% 0% Failed to Score F T 14% 32% 23%
 
6.1 5.6 5.3 Corners For (avg) C F 4.9 4.9 4.7
5.6 5.3 5.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 4.4 4.6 5
1.2 1.1 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.3 1.2
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Machida Zelvia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kashiwa Reysol 39 22 9 8 66 32 19 12 4 3 38 15 20 10 5 5 28 17 34 75
2 Omiya Ardija 39 20 12 7 60 38 20 13 5 2 40 18 19 7 7 5 20 20 22 72
3 Yokohama 39 20 10 9 62 40 20 12 4 4 39 22 19 8 6 5 23 18 22 70
4 Montedio Yamagata 39 19 10 10 54 33 19 11 3 5 23 10 20 8 7 5 31 23 21 67
5 Tokushima Vortis 39 19 10 10 62 43 19 11 5 3 33 19 20 8 5 7 29 24 19 67
6 Mito Hollyhock 39 17 13 9 53 36 19 9 7 3 31 17 20 8 6 6 22 19 17 64
7 Fagiano Okayama 39 18 10 11 48 44 20 11 5 4 25 20 19 7 5 7 23 24 4 64
8 Ventforet Kofu 39 17 11 11 57 39 19 7 6 6 22 18 20 10 5 5 35 21 18 62
9 Kyoto Sanga 39 17 11 11 54 43 20 10 7 3 32 18 19 7 4 8 22 25 11 62
10 Zweigen Kanazawa 39 14 14 11 54 44 19 7 9 3 25 17 20 7 5 8 29 27 10 56
11 Albirex Niigata 39 15 10 14 66 50 19 10 2 7 36 21 20 5 8 7 30 29 16 55
12 V-Varen Nagasaki 39 16 5 18 53 57 20 9 2 9 26 31 19 7 3 9 27 26 -4 53
13 Tokyo Verdy 39 13 12 14 53 56 19 8 7 4 31 25 20 5 5 10 22 31 -3 51
14 Renofa Yamaguchi 39 13 8 18 52 63 20 8 3 9 30 31 19 5 5 9 22 32 -11 47
15 Ryukyu 39 12 10 17 55 74 20 8 5 7 33 36 19 4 5 10 22 38 -19 46
16 Ehime 39 12 6 21 45 56 20 8 3 9 23 21 19 4 3 12 22 35 -11 42
17 JEF United 39 10 12 17 46 62 19 6 4 9 26 37 20 4 8 8 20 25 -16 42
18 Avispa Fukuoka 39 11 8 20 37 57 19 4 5 10 16 25 20 7 3 10 21 32 -20 41
19 Machida Zelvia 39 7 16 16 33 55 19 2 11 6 16 26 20 5 5 10 17 29 -22 37
20 Kagoshima United 39 10 7 22 39 68 20 8 2 10 22 27 19 2 5 12 17 41 -29 37
21 Tochigi 39 6 15 18 31 53 20 4 8 8 15 22 19 2 7 10 16 31 -22 33
22 Gifu 39 7 9 23 31 68 20 4 7 9 18 35 19 3 2 14 13 33 -37 30

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