J2-League match prediction and preview for Fagiano Okayama vs Renofa Yamaguchi clash

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Mon 09.August
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: City Light Stadium (15479 seats)

On paper it looks like advantage Fagiano Okayama in this game against Renofa Yamaguchi, but the visitors will fight to the end. Here's our full match preview!

Insights:
  • Fagiano Okayama have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Fagiano Okayama form and stats

Fagiano Okayama's results here at City Light Stadium in the J2-League have been very modest with 2 victories, 1 draw and 8 defeats. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Fagiano, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 180 minutes without scoring a league goal. S. Uejo was the last player to find the net.

No payout for Fagiano in their previous match, an away game at Nagoya Grampus that ended in defeat 0-1.

Preceding that match was the home J2-League game against ThespaKusatsu Gunma that was lost 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Fagiano Okayama have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won four times, drawn three and lost four.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Fagiano here at City Light Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (7 from 11 games). It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Fagiano have conceded 12 in these home matches.

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Renofa Yamaguchi form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their J2-League travels is 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats. Two points from the last two away games for Yamaguchi, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Yamaguchi won their last game, 1-0 versus Blaublitz Akita played at home.

A 2-2 draw was the result before that, hosting Júbilo Iwata.

Yamaguchi are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, two draws and 13 defeats. From a total of 17 matches.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Yamaguchi have conceded 14 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Renofa Yamaguchi - Fagiano 0-0 earlier this season. Fagiano Okayama-Renofa Yamaguchi H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Fagiano Okayama five wins, Renofa Yamaguchi two wins, three draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Fagiano OkayamaS. Uejo
S. Uejo
6 goals
Renofa YamaguchiK. Takai
K. Takai
3 goals
FagianoK. Kiyama
K. Kiyama
2 goals

Fagiano Okayama missing players

Renofa Yamaguchi missing players

Fagiano Okayama Renofa Yamaguchi
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 5 11 23
7 2 1 Won W 1 3 6
5 1 1 Drew D 2 4 8
11 8 1 Lost L 2 4 9
19 7 1 Scored S 3 10 18
22 12 1 Conceded C 7 14 25
83% 91% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 82% 83%
39% 36% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 73% 52%
30% 36% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 45% 35%
17% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 18% 17%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
26% 27% 0% BTTS BTTS 40% 45% 35%
43% 27% 67% Clean Sheets C S 40% 36% 39%
48% 55% 67% Failed to Score F T 40% 36% 43%
 
5 5.6 8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 4.1 4.7
4.3 3.7 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 6 5
0.7 0.5 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.4 0.9 1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.3 9.3 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 6.8 7.2 8.1
3.2 3.6 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 2.9 3.1
25% 18% 7% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 28% 24%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Fagiano Okayama have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kyoto Sanga 23 14 6 3 35 16 12 6 4 2 21 13 11 8 2 1 14 3 19 48
2 Júbilo Iwata 23 15 3 5 38 25 12 9 0 3 23 16 11 6 3 2 15 9 13 48
3 Albirex Niigata 23 13 6 4 44 20 11 7 2 2 19 4 12 6 4 2 25 16 24 45
4 Ryūkyū 23 13 5 5 38 22 12 8 2 2 20 7 11 5 3 3 18 15 16 44
5 Ventforet Kofu 23 12 7 4 36 20 11 7 3 1 21 9 12 5 4 3 15 11 16 43
6 Montedio Yamagata 23 12 6 5 30 18 11 6 1 4 15 11 12 6 5 1 15 7 12 42
7 Machida Zelvia 23 12 5 6 35 21 12 5 2 5 16 12 11 7 3 1 19 9 14 41
8 V-Varen Nagasaki 23 12 4 7 30 26 12 5 4 3 17 15 11 7 0 4 13 11 4 40
9 Tokyo Verdy 23 10 5 8 33 36 12 7 1 4 21 16 11 3 4 4 12 20 -3 35
10 JEF United 23 8 8 7 23 21 11 3 4 4 12 12 12 5 4 3 11 9 2 32
11 Mito Hollyhock 23 9 3 11 29 23 11 4 2 5 11 8 12 5 1 6 18 15 6 30
12 Blaublitz Akita 23 7 8 8 22 23 11 2 7 2 7 8 12 5 1 6 15 15 -1 29
13 Fagiano Okayama 23 7 5 11 19 22 11 2 1 8 7 12 12 5 4 3 12 10 -3 26
14 Zweigen Kanazawa 23 7 5 11 24 29 12 3 4 5 12 14 11 4 1 6 12 15 -5 26
15 Renofa Yamaguchi 23 6 8 9 18 25 12 3 4 5 8 11 11 3 4 4 10 14 -7 26
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 23 5 7 11 18 37 12 4 4 4 14 17 11 1 3 7 4 20 -19 22
17 Tochigi 23 4 9 10 21 30 11 2 4 5 9 12 12 2 5 5 12 18 -9 21
18 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 23 5 6 12 20 35 11 3 3 5 10 14 12 2 3 7 10 21 -15 21
19 Giravanz Kitakyushu 23 4 7 12 17 35 12 1 4 7 7 17 11 3 3 5 10 18 -18 19
20 Ehime 23 4 7 12 22 41 12 1 5 6 12 23 11 3 2 6 10 18 -19 19
21 Omiya Ardija 23 3 9 11 21 30 11 1 3 7 11 17 12 2 6 4 10 13 -9 18
22 Sagamihara 23 3 7 13 12 30 11 1 4 6 7 17 12 2 3 7 5 13 -18 16