J2-League preview: Can Fagiano Okayama edge out victory against Omiya Ardija?

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Wed 06.July
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: City Light Stadium (15479 seats)

Welcome to City Light Stadium and the fixture starring Fagiano Okayama & Omiya Ardija in the J2-League. Here's all you need to know!

Insights:
  • Fagiano Okayama have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Omiya Ardija have the fewest matches over the total-line (2) in J2-League

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Fagiano Okayama form and stats

Fagiano Okayama have collected 21 points from their J2-League home games so far after 6-3-3.

Fagiano Okayama's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-2 versus Roasso Kumamoto (placed 9th). Up until that game this team had gone seven consecutive league meetings without being beaten.

Before that, Fagiano Okayama played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Mito Hollyhock.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Fagiano have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 11 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 3 and lost 4.

Some stats: A review of the 10 most recent league matches shows that 8 of them had goals from both teams.

There will be little rest for Fagiano Okayama after this match as they are travelling to Oita Trinita for a J2-League game in only four days.

Fagiano have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at City Light Stadium with 18 goals in 12 league matches. Fagiano Okayama are not conceding a lot of goals here at City Light Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 12 matches.

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Omiya Ardija form and stats

There's been little loot from Omiya Ardija's travels as they have only collected 11 points from 12 away games in the J2-League. Omiya Ardija only have 2 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 5 draws.

Ardija have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 253 minutes ago. Shinzato was the goal scorer.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Omiya Ardija, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-1 versus Grulla Morioka (placed 19th).

Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Zweigen Kanazawa.

We have checked recent matches where Ardija have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 1 victory, 5 draws and 4 defeats.

Low-scoring game? 10 of this club's most recent 11 league fixtures have seen zero, one or two goals.

A quick return to home after this game, as Omiya Ardija are hosting Tokyo Verdy in the J2-League only four days away.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Omiya Ardija as they have only managed to score 9 times from 12 away games in the league. 15 goals have been conceded by Ardija in these games.

Head 2 Head

Fagiano Okayama and Omiya Ardija have met before this season: Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama 1-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Fagiano two wins, four draws and Omiya Ardija four victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Fagiano OkayamaT. Alves Sales
T. Alves Sales
8 goals
Omiya ArdijaA. Kawata
A. Kawata
6 goals
Fagiano OkayamaS. Mauk
S. Mauk
3 goals

Fagiano Okayama missing players

Omiya Ardija missing players

Fagiano Okayama Omiya Ardija
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 12 4 Played P 4 12 24
9 6 2 Won W 0 2 5
9 3 0 Drew D 2 5 7
5 3 2 Lost L 2 5 12
28 18 5 Scored S 3 9 22
21 11 3 Conceded C 7 15 36
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 92% 96%
57% 67% 25% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 67% 71%
26% 33% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 25% 38%
17% 17% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 8% 21%
13% 17% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 8% 12%
52% 58% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 54%
30% 17% 25% Clean Sheets C S 25% 17% 12%
26% 25% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 42% 38%
 
3.7 3.1 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 5.3 4.6
5.2 4.9 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 9 6.3 5.7
0.7 0.9 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.4 0.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.1 8.1 10 Shots (avg) S ( 6 6.1 6.7
3.3 3.8 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 3.1 3
37% 40% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 24% 31%
 
10 9.1 9.8 Shots against (avg) S A 12.8 10.7 11.2
3.9 3.2 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.8 3.9 3.9
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Fagiano Okayama have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fagiano Okayama have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Fagiano Okayama haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Omiya Ardija have the fewest matches over the total-line (2) in J2-League
  • Omiya Ardija have the most matches under the total-line (14) in J2-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama 24 14 7 3 39 27 12 9 2 1 21 11 12 5 5 2 18 16 12 49
2 Albirex Niigata 24 14 6 4 41 20 11 10 1 0 26 7 13 4 5 4 15 13 21 48
3 Vegalta Sendai 24 13 5 6 44 33 13 6 4 3 20 14 11 7 1 3 24 19 11 44
4 V-Varen Nagasaki 24 11 5 8 27 22 12 4 4 4 10 9 12 7 1 4 17 13 5 38
5 Fagiano Okayama 23 9 9 5 28 21 12 6 3 3 18 11 11 3 6 2 10 10 7 36
6 Machida Zelvia 24 10 6 8 31 25 13 7 4 2 21 12 11 3 2 6 10 13 6 36
7 Oita Trinita 24 9 8 7 34 29 13 4 5 4 19 17 11 5 3 3 15 12 5 35
8 JEF United 24 9 7 8 26 23 13 6 3 4 13 10 11 3 4 4 13 13 3 34
9 Roasso Kumamoto 24 8 10 6 31 32 10 1 4 5 7 14 14 7 6 1 24 18 -1 34
10 Montedio Yamagata 23 8 8 7 34 26 10 5 2 3 20 11 13 3 6 4 14 15 8 32
11 Tokyo Verdy 24 8 8 8 42 40 12 6 3 3 21 15 12 2 5 5 21 25 2 32
12 Tokushima Vortis 24 6 13 5 25 18 12 3 7 2 13 8 12 3 6 3 12 10 7 31
13 Zweigen Kanazawa 24 8 7 9 30 33 11 2 4 5 12 15 13 6 3 4 18 18 -3 31
14 Mito Hollyhock 24 8 6 10 29 28 13 5 3 5 16 15 11 3 3 5 13 13 1 30
15 Renofa Yamaguchi 24 8 6 10 26 28 12 7 2 3 19 12 12 1 4 7 7 16 -2 30
16 Ventforet Kofu 24 7 9 8 26 28 11 3 5 3 12 11 13 4 4 5 14 17 -2 30
17 Tochigi 24 6 9 9 18 24 13 3 6 4 11 13 11 3 3 5 7 11 -6 27
18 Blaublitz Akita 24 7 6 11 20 31 12 4 3 5 14 14 12 3 3 6 6 17 -11 27
19 Grulla Morioka 24 7 5 12 20 39 11 3 3 5 10 16 13 4 2 7 10 23 -19 26
20 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 24 6 5 13 19 29 12 2 4 6 10 15 12 4 1 7 9 14 -10 23
21 Omiya Ardija 24 5 7 12 22 36 12 3 2 7 13 21 12 2 5 5 9 15 -14 22
22 Ryūkyū 24 3 6 15 25 45 13 1 5 7 16 24 11 2 1 8 9 21 -20 15