J2-League match prediction: Little separates Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock in quality

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Wed 19.August
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Level-5 stadium (22331 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Avispa Fukuoka are in the 14th position while the guesting Mito Hollyhock worry at 15th.

It's no vacation for neither Avispa Fukuoka nor Mito Hollyhock as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Mito Hollyhock have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1200 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Avispa Fukuoka form and stats

Overall J2-League stats at home this season for Avispa Fukuoka are 2-2-2 (wins-draw-losses).

No payout for Avispa Fukuoka in their previous match, an away game at Matsumoto Yamaga that ended in defeat 0-1. Preceding that match was a defeat to Tokyo Verdy (1-3).

Heartbreak for Avispa Fukuoka in their last match as Matsumoto Yamaga's K. Tsukagawa scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Fukuoka have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won three, drawn two and lost six.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Avispa Fukuoka as they are travelling to their away game against Tochigi in the J2-League. That match is four days after this one.

Fukuoka are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 6 games. On the other hand, Fukuoka have conceded 8 goals.

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Mito Hollyhock form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their J2-League travels is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

The manager T. Akiba was unhappy after their last game, a J2-League match played at their home ground K's denki Stadium Mito. Hollyhock suffered a 0-2 loss to Tokyo Verdy (placed 11th). Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Kyoto Sanga.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Mito Hollyhock playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were three Mito Hollyhock wins, eight draws and three defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting V-Varen Nagasaki in just four days.

Mito Hollyhock have scored 7 goals on their travels this season, from 5 away games in the league. Mito Hollyhock's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 8 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Avispa Fukuoka-Mito Hollyhock H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Fukuoka three wins, Mito Hollyhock three wins, four draws. two of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Avispa Fukuoka missing players

Mito Hollyhock missing players

Avispa Fukuoka Mito Hollyhock
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 6 1 Played P 2 5 12
4 2 0 Won W 0 1 3
3 2 1 Drew D 0 2 4
4 2 0 Lost L 2 2 5
10 7 1 Scored S 1 7 19
12 8 1 Conceded C 4 8 21
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
55% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 80% 92%
27% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 60% 75%
18% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 60% 58%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
45% 67% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 80% 67%
36% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 8%
18% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 25%
 
5.6 7.2 8 Corners for (avg) C F 7.5 8.6 6.8
4 3.8 6 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 5.8 4.5
2 2.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 0.4 0.7
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
103 54 16 Total Shots T S 20 71 151
29 15 2 Shots on Target S O 8 30 62
31% 40% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 23% 27%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Avispa Fukuoka have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Avispa Fukuoka haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Mito Hollyhock has the fewest matches under the total-line (2)
  • Mito Hollyhock has the most matches over the total-line (9)
  • Mito Hollyhock have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Mito Hollyhock have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Mito Hollyhock haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 V-Varen Nagasaki 12 8 2 2 17 10 6 5 1 0 9 2 6 3 1 2 8 8 7 26
2 Tokushima Vortis 11 7 2 2 22 11 6 4 1 1 12 3 5 3 1 1 10 6 11 23
3 Giravanz Kitakyushu 11 7 1 3 19 9 6 4 1 1 10 3 5 3 0 2 7 6 10 22
4 Omiya Ardija 11 6 2 3 11 7 4 3 1 0 6 2 7 3 1 3 5 5 4 20
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 5 4 3 15 12 5 4 1 0 9 3 7 1 3 3 6 9 3 19
6 Ventforet Kofu 12 4 7 1 19 17 6 3 3 0 10 7 6 1 4 1 9 10 2 19
7 JEF United 11 6 0 5 16 9 6 2 0 4 6 6 5 4 0 1 10 3 7 18
8 Albirex Niigata 12 4 6 2 19 16 6 3 2 1 9 8 6 1 4 1 10 8 3 18
9 Júbilo Iwata 12 5 3 4 16 15 7 4 1 2 10 7 5 1 2 2 6 8 1 18
10 Tochigi 12 5 3 4 7 7 6 2 3 1 4 3 6 3 0 3 3 4 0 18
11 Tokyo Verdy 12 4 5 3 14 12 5 1 3 1 6 5 7 3 2 2 8 7 2 17
12 Zweigen Kanazawa 12 5 1 6 21 17 5 2 1 2 6 6 7 3 0 4 15 11 4 16
13 Fagiano Okayama 12 4 3 5 13 14 8 3 2 3 10 10 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 15
14 Avispa Fukuoka 11 4 3 4 10 12 6 2 2 2 7 8 5 2 1 2 3 4 -2 15
15 Mito Hollyhock 12 3 4 5 19 21 7 2 2 3 12 13 5 1 2 2 7 8 -2 13
16 Montedio Yamagata 11 3 4 4 10 12 5 2 1 2 8 8 6 1 3 2 2 4 -2 13
17 Machida Zelvia 12 3 4 5 10 14 6 1 3 2 5 6 6 2 1 3 5 8 -4 13
18 Ryukyu 12 3 4 5 12 20 5 0 3 2 6 9 7 3 1 3 6 11 -8 13
19 Matsumoto Yamaga 12 3 3 6 10 15 5 2 1 2 5 5 7 1 2 4 5 10 -5 12
20 Renofa Yamaguchi 12 3 2 7 12 20 6 3 0 3 7 7 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 11
21 Ehime 12 2 3 7 15 19 6 1 1 4 7 10 6 1 2 3 8 9 -4 9
22 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 12 2 0 10 8 26 7 0 0 7 2 16 5 2 0 3 6 10 -18 6