J-League match prediction: Little separates Tokyo and Urawa Reds in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 18.February
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium (50100 seats)

A new J-League adventure is about to begin and this is the first real match for Tokyo and Urawa Reds. Bring it on!

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Tokyo form and stats

Last season, Tokyo's league stats were 14 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses, ending with 6th place in the J-League. Over these 34 matches they scored {46 goals} and let in 43. Performing as the home team in the previous season Tokyo managed 8-5-4 (win-draw-lost) with {27 goals} and 15 conceded.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Tokyo have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 12 matches with the results: Won 6, drawn 2 and lost 4.

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Urawa Reds form and stats

Let's have a look at how Urawa Reds performed last season in the J-League: They landed a 9th position in the league table after playing out 10 victories, 15 draws and 9 defeats. In total they scored 48 and conceded {39 goals} in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 3 - drew 7 and lost 7 with 16/22 goals scored/conceded.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Urawa Reds playing away and similar expectations, we found 8 relevant matches. Results were 0 Urawa wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats.

It's finally time to play a game of importance again as a long period of training has passed. Urawa Reds have played a number of friendly games in this period, resulting in 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats from one fixture.

Head 2 Head

Urawa Reds have pulled off a sequence of 4 consecutive games without losing (2-2-0) when playing Tokyo.

Tokyo missing players

Urawa Reds missing players

Tokyo Urawa Reds
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
0 0 0 Played P 0 0 0
0 0 0 Won W 0 0 0
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 0
0 0 0 Lost L 0 0 0
0 0 0 Scored S 0 0 0
0 0 0 Conceded C 0 0 0
0% 0% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0 0
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
0 0 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 0 0
0 0 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 0 0
0% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 0 0
0 0 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 0 0
Tokyo Last season Urawa Reds
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
34 17   Played P   17 34
14 8   Won W   3 10
7 5   Drew D   7 15
13 4   Lost L   7 9
46 27   Scored S   16 48
43 15   Conceded C   22 39
85% 82%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   76% 85%
71% 76%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   59% 71%
53% 47%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   41% 47%
26% 35%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   24% 29%
12% 6%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   18% 18%
38% 35%   BTTS BTTS   41% 53%
41% 47%   Clean Sheets C S   35% 29%
35% 35%   Failed to Score F T   47% 32%
 
4.8 4.4   Corners for (avg) C F   4.9 5
5.1 5.5   Corners against (avg) C A   3.5 4.1
1.2 1.1   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   0.6 0.7
2 0   Red cards R C   0 3
 
10.8 11.9   Shots (avg) S (   11.6 12.9
4.1 4.4   Shots on Target (avg) S O   4 4.8
33% 36%   Goal Efficiency G E   24% 29%
 
12.2 11.5   Shots against (avg) S A   11.1 10.6
3.8 3.4   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.6 3.5

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Albirex Niigata 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Consadole Sapporo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Gamba Osaka 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Kashima Antlers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 Kashiwa Reysol 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Kawasaki Frontale 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Kyoto Sanga 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Nagoya Grampus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Sagan Tosu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Shonan Bellmare 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Tokyo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Urawa Reds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Vissel Kobe 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Yokohama 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama F. Marinos 34 20 8 6 70 35 17 12 3 2 33 10 17 8 5 4 37 25 35 68
2 Kawasaki Frontale 34 20 6 8 65 42 17 14 1 2 38 18 17 6 5 6 27 24 23 66
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34 15 10 9 52 41 17 10 3 4 31 15 17 5 7 5 21 26 11 55
4 Kashima Antlers 34 13 13 8 47 42 17 7 6 4 25 22 17 6 7 4 22 20 5 52
5 Cerezo Osaka 34 13 12 9 46 40 17 7 5 5 23 20 17 6 7 4 23 20 6 51
6 Tokyo 34 14 7 13 46 43 17 8 5 4 27 15 17 6 2 9 19 28 3 49
7 Kashiwa Reysol 34 13 8 13 43 44 17 6 3 8 22 25 17 7 5 5 21 19 -1 47
8 Nagoya Grampus 34 11 13 10 30 35 17 7 6 4 17 17 17 4 7 6 13 18 -5 46
9 Urawa Reds 34 10 15 9 48 39 17 7 8 2 32 17 17 3 7 7 16 22 9 45
10 Consadole Sapporo 34 11 12 11 45 55 17 7 6 4 25 24 17 4 6 7 20 31 -10 45
11 Sagan Tosu 34 9 15 10 45 44 17 5 9 3 23 13 17 4 6 7 22 31 1 42
12 Shonan Bellmare 34 10 11 13 31 39 17 5 6 6 15 22 17 5 5 7 16 17 -8 41
13 Vissel Kobe 34 11 7 16 35 41 17 7 3 7 21 16 17 4 4 9 14 25 -6 40
14 Avispa Fukuoka 34 9 11 14 29 38 17 5 6 6 17 18 17 4 5 8 12 20 -9 38
15 Gamba Osaka 34 9 10 15 33 44 17 4 6 7 18 21 17 5 4 8 15 23 -11 37
16 Kyoto Sanga 34 8 12 14 30 38 17 5 6 6 16 17 17 3 6 8 14 21 -8 36
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 34 7 12 15 44 54 17 2 8 7 20 29 17 5 4 8 24 25 -10 33
18 Jubilo Iwata 34 6 12 16 32 57 17 4 7 6 21 28 17 2 5 10 11 29 -25 30