J-League match prediction: Little separates Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 12.March
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium (50100 seats)

Another engrossing game in the J-League. Tokyo is in the 15th place after participating in two fixtures. They welcome Sanfrecce Hiroshima who are placed 13th after three games.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Tokyo form and stats

Tokyo are returning here after visiting Cerezo Osaka and winning with a 1-0 scoreline. Konno scored the goal(s). Kimoto, defender, was given a rating of 7.84/10 in that game, top of the team. Kimoto hit two key passes and won 4 of 5 duels.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Tokyo have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won seven, drawn zero and lost four.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Tokyo, as the Nabisco Cup home game vs Júbilo Iwata is only three days away.

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima form and stats

One match played away so far in the J-League for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and it was a tie. Last season the statistics for their away games were 7 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses from 19 games. With three draws in a row for Sanfrecce the feeling in the team is perhaps one of both relief and disappointment.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Vissel Kobe (placed 16th) in their previous fixture. Notsuda got a match rating of 7.85 in that game, top player of the team. Notsuda served one assist, hit three key passes and had 56 successful passes (of 68 total).

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 15 similar matches played by Sanfrecce Hiroshima in our archives, and the results are: four wins for Sanfrecce, three draws and eight defeats.

It's early days yet, but Sanfrecce Hiroshima has scored 1 and conceded 1 goals from their travels in the league so far (1 game).

Head 2 Head

Head to head totals (for the previous ten meetings): Tokyo won five games, three matches ended with a tie and Sanfrecce Hiroshima have two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six

Top Goalscorers

TokyoK. Konno
K. Konno
1 goals
Sanfrecce HiroshimaS. Sasaki
S. Sasaki
1 goals
Sanfrecce HiroshimaT. Morishima
T. Morishima
1 goals

Tokyo missing players

Sanfrecce Hiroshima missing players

Tokyo Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
2 0 0 Played P 0 1 3
1 0 0 Won W 0 0 0
0 0 0 Drew D 0 1 3
1 0 0 Lost L 0 0 0
1 0 0 Scored S 0 1 2
1 0 0 Conceded C 0 1 2
100% 0% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 67%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 67%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 100% 67%
50% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 33%
50% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 33%
 
8.5 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 2 3
6.5 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 3 7.7
3 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2 0.7
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.5 0 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 13 10.7
6 0 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 2 3
8% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 50% 22%
 
9.5 0 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 15 11
4 0 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 5 5
Tokyo Last season Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
38 19   Played P   19 38
15 8   Won W   7 12
8 3   Drew D   7 13
15 8   Lost L   5 13
49 30   Scored S   25 44
53 26   Conceded C   19 42
89% 89%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   84% 89%
66% 79%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   68% 63%
55% 68%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   42% 39%
26% 32%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   16% 18%
18% 21%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   11% 11%
42% 53%   BTTS BTTS   42% 50%
34% 32%   Clean Sheets C S   32% 26%
34% 26%   Failed to Score F T   42% 34%
 
4.9 5.2   Corners for (avg) C F   4.3 4.8
5.1 4.3   Corners against (avg) C A   4.4 4.1
0.9 0.8   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   0.6 0.7
3 2   Red cards R C   1 2
 
9.9 10.5   Shots (avg) S (   9.5 10.6
3.9 4.3   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.5 3.9
33% 37%   Goal Efficiency G E   38% 29%
 
10.5 9.3   Shots against (avg) S A   11.2 9.4
3.8 3.6   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   4 3.4

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama F. Marinos 5 3 1 1 11 7 4 3 1 0 10 4 1 0 0 1 1 3 4 10
2 Kawasaki Frontale 5 3 1 1 9 7 2 2 0 0 3 1 3 1 1 1 6 6 2 10
3 Kashiwa Reysol 3 2 0 1 5 2 1 1 0 0 3 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 3 6
4 Kashima Antlers 3 2 0 1 4 3 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 3 1 1 6
5 Júbilo Iwata 3 1 1 1 6 4 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 1 0 5 2 2 4
6 Nagoya Grampus 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 1 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4
7 Urawa Reds 5 1 1 3 5 6 3 1 1 1 4 3 2 0 0 2 1 3 -1 4
8 Gamba Osaka 3 1 1 1 4 5 2 0 1 1 3 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 4
9 Shimizu S-Pulse 3 1 1 1 3 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 4
10 Kyoto Sanga 3 1 1 1 3 5 2 1 0 1 2 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 -2 4
11 Consadole Sapporo 3 0 3 0 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 3
12 Sagan Tosu 3 0 3 0 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 3
13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 0 3 0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 3
14 Avispa Fukuoka 3 0 3 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3
15 Tokyo 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
16 Vissel Kobe 5 0 3 2 3 7 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 3
17 Cerezo Osaka 3 0 2 1 3 4 2 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 2
18 Shonan Bellmare 3 0 1 2 1 5 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 1 3 -4 1
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 38 28 8 2 81 28 19 16 3 0 39 14 19 12 5 2 42 14 53 92
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 38 24 7 7 82 35 19 13 4 2 46 12 19 11 3 5 36 23 47 79
3 Vissel Kobe 38 21 10 7 62 36 19 11 4 4 31 14 19 10 6 3 31 22 26 73
4 Kashima Antlers 38 21 6 11 62 36 19 10 4 5 32 20 19 11 2 6 30 16 26 69
5 Nagoya Grampus 38 19 9 10 44 30 19 11 4 4 22 13 19 8 5 6 22 17 14 66
6 Urawa Reds 38 18 9 11 45 38 19 12 4 3 28 17 19 6 5 8 17 21 7 63
7 Sagan Tosu 38 16 11 11 43 35 19 11 5 3 30 15 19 5 6 8 13 20 8 59
8 Avispa Fukuoka 38 14 12 12 42 37 19 10 3 6 26 18 19 4 9 6 16 19 5 54
9 Tokyo 38 15 8 15 49 53 19 8 3 8 30 26 19 7 5 7 19 27 -4 53
10 Consadole Sapporo 38 14 9 15 48 50 19 8 4 7 27 27 19 6 5 8 21 23 -2 51
11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 38 12 13 13 44 42 19 5 6 8 19 23 19 7 7 5 25 19 2 49
12 Cerezo Osaka 38 13 9 16 47 51 19 8 5 6 26 28 19 5 4 10 21 23 -4 48
13 Gamba Osaka 38 12 8 18 33 49 19 5 4 10 17 28 19 7 4 8 16 21 -16 44
14 Shimizu S-Pulse 38 10 12 16 37 54 19 5 6 8 17 28 19 5 6 8 20 26 -17 42
15 Kashiwa Reysol 38 12 5 21 37 56 19 6 3 10 21 29 19 6 2 11 16 27 -19 41
16 Shonan Bellmare 38 7 16 15 36 41 19 3 10 6 13 15 19 4 6 9 23 26 -5 37
17 Tokushima Vortis 38 10 6 22 34 55 19 4 5 10 18 24 19 6 1 12 16 31 -21 36
18 Oita Trinita 38 9 8 21 31 55 19 7 5 7 19 21 19 2 3 14 12 34 -24 35
19 Vegalta Sendai 38 5 13 20 31 62 19 3 6 10 12 23 19 2 7 10 19 39 -31 28
20 Yokohama 38 6 9 23 32 77 19 4 6 9 21 31 19 2 3 14 11 46 -45 27