J-League forecast and preview: Tokyo odds-on favourite to get the better of Júbilo Iwata

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sun 17.July
Match begins: 09:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium (50100 seats)

J-League: What this match might not have in style it should pay back in effort and enthusiasm. Get ready for Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata!

Insights:
  • Tokyo have the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in J-League
  • Júbilo Iwata have the fewest clean sheets (2) in J-League

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Tokyo form and stats

Tokyo have collected 19 points from their J-League home games so far after 5-4-1.

The regulars are hoping that Tokyo will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-3 away loss in the match against Urawa Reds (placed 9th). The striker Leandro bested all others in that fixture and received a match rating of 7.02 out of 10. Leandro hit one key pass and had 29 successful passes (of 34 total).

Before that, Tokyo had a home game versus Consadole Sapporo which ended with a victory 3-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Tokyo matches with similar probabilities have ended with 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from 4 games).

A decent goal production from Tokyo in their home games so far, with 15 goals from 10 league matches. It's worth mentioning that 8 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Tokyo have only conceded 6 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Júbilo Iwata form and stats

Júbilo Iwata have only collected 7 points from their away games in the J-League, after 1-4-5 (10 played). It's a growing despair in Júbilo Iwata as they have recorded three consecutive losses.

Júbilo Iwata have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 275 minutes ago. Ito was the goal scorer.

The manager Ito was unhappy after their last game, played at their home ground Yamaha Stadium. Júbilo suffered a 0-1 loss to Vissel Kobe (placed 16th). Endo got a match rating of 7.64 in that game, top player of the team. Endo hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 53 successful passes (of 60 total).

Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Avispa Fukuoka.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Júbilo Iwata playing away, we found 4 games. Results were 1 away win, 1 draw and 2 home wins.

Júbilo have another game that requires travelling in just three sleeps, a Emperor Cup game vs Tokyo Verdy. A gruelling schedule for them!

The attacking power of Júbilo Iwata when travelling is not overwhelming with 9 goals scored from 10 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Júbilo Iwata's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 17 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these parties get together this season, as the results database show this recent fixture: Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo 2-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Tokyo two wins, three draws and Júbilo Iwata five victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

TokyoA. dos Santos da Silva
A. dos Santos da Silva
6 goals
Júbilo IwataY. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
5 goals
Júbilo IwataF. González Lasso
F. González Lasso
5 goals

Tokyo missing players

Júbilo Iwata missing players

Tokyo Júbilo Iwata
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
21 10 3 Played P 3 10 21
8 5 3 Won W 1 1 4
5 4 0 Drew D 1 4 7
8 1 0 Lost L 1 5 10
23 15 8 Scored S 6 9 22
26 6 1 Conceded C 6 17 32
81% 70% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 90%
62% 60% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 81%
52% 50% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 52%
24% 30% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 30% 24%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 20% 10%
33% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 67%
43% 50% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 10%
43% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 33%
 
5.3 4.4 3.7 Corners for (avg) C F 2.7 2.1 2.5
5.3 5.4 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 4.8 4.9
1.1 0.9 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 1.4 1.3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
9 9.9 12.3 Shots (avg) S ( 11.7 8 7.8
4 4.4 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.3 2.9 3
27% 34% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 31% 35%
 
11.4 11 11 Shots against (avg) S A 13.7 13.8 12.9
4.1 3.5 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.7 5.7 5.3
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Júbilo Iwata have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Júbilo Iwata have the fewest clean sheets (2) in J-League
  • Júbilo Iwata have the fewest points (7) away in J-League
  • Júbilo Iwata have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Tokyo have created more than twice as many corners as Júbilo Iwata.
  • Tokyo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Tokyo have the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in J-League
  • Tokyo have won significantly less corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama F. Marinos 21 13 5 3 46 23 10 8 2 0 23 6 11 5 3 3 23 17 23 44
2 Kashima Antlers 21 11 6 4 34 26 11 6 3 2 20 16 10 5 3 2 14 10 8 39
3 Kawasaki Frontale 20 11 4 5 31 22 10 7 1 2 18 12 10 4 3 3 13 10 9 37
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 9 7 5 28 21 12 7 3 2 18 8 9 2 4 3 10 13 7 34
5 Kashiwa Reysol 21 10 3 8 27 22 11 5 1 5 14 13 10 5 2 3 13 9 5 33
6 Cerezo Osaka 21 8 8 5 32 25 11 4 4 3 15 14 10 4 4 2 17 11 7 32
7 Tokyo 21 8 5 8 23 26 10 5 4 1 15 6 11 3 1 7 8 20 -3 29
8 Sagan Tosu 20 6 9 5 27 22 10 4 4 2 15 6 10 2 5 3 12 16 5 27
9 Urawa Reds 21 5 11 5 25 19 11 4 6 1 21 11 10 1 5 4 4 8 6 26
10 Avispa Fukuoka 21 6 8 7 17 18 11 3 6 2 9 6 10 3 2 5 8 12 -1 26
11 Nagoya Grampus 21 6 7 8 16 22 10 4 4 2 10 9 11 2 3 6 6 13 -6 25
12 Kyoto Sanga 21 6 6 9 20 24 10 4 2 4 9 10 11 2 4 5 11 14 -4 24
13 Shonan Bellmare 21 6 6 9 18 24 11 3 3 5 8 15 10 3 3 4 10 9 -6 24
14 Consadole Sapporo 21 5 9 7 19 36 9 3 5 1 7 9 12 2 4 6 12 27 -17 24
15 Gamba Osaka 21 5 6 10 21 29 10 3 3 4 14 13 11 2 3 6 7 16 -8 21
16 Vissel Kobe 21 5 5 11 20 27 10 3 2 5 11 10 11 2 3 6 9 17 -7 20
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 21 4 8 9 25 33 10 1 4 5 12 20 11 3 4 4 13 13 -8 20
18 Júbilo Iwata 21 4 7 10 22 32 11 3 3 5 13 15 10 1 4 5 9 17 -10 19