J-League prediction and preview: Shimizu S-Pulse modest favorites to beat Matsumoto Yamaga

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Competition: Japan J-League
Date: Sat 10.August
Match begins: 09:00 (UTC)
Venue: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (20339 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Shimizu S-Pulse are in the 11th position while the guests worry at 16th.

It's no vacation for neither Shimizu S-Pulse nor Matsumoto Yamaga as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Shimizu S-Pulse form and stats

Shimizu S-Pulse, who have the most conceded goals (42) in J-League, have collected 15 points from their home games so far after 5-0-5.

Shimizu S-Pulse's previous game was a J-League match also played at home, ending 1-0 versus Matsumoto Yamaga. The home side are looking to build on that result. In the game before, an away victory match versus Yokohama F. Marinos with a 1-0 scoreline.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Shimizu S-Pulse have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won 5 times, drawn 1 and lost 2.

The Shimizu S-Pulse fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium, the tally being 14 in 10 matches. Shimizu S-Pulse have conceded 21 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Matsumoto Yamaga form and stats

There's been little loot from Matsumoto Yamaga's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 11 away games. Matsumoto Yamaga, who have the fewest scored goals (12) in J-League, only have 2 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 4 draws. The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Matsumoto Yamaga, who have now gone ten games without a victory. The Nagoya Grampus game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

Two away games in a row for Matsumoto Yamaga, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Shimizu S-Pulse in the J-League. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Kawasaki Frontale that ended 0-0.

Matsumoto Yamaga are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats. From a total of four matches.

Matsumoto Yamaga are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels and have only managed 5 goals from 11 away games. 13 goals have been conceded by Matsumoto Yamaga in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0. As for the last eight games between these two teams, there's 1 Shimizu S-Pulse victory, 3 draws and 4 Matsumoto Yamaga wins. 2 of these games ended with three goals or more, 6 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Douglas
9 goals / 2 assists
K. Kitagawa
6 goals / 2 assists
K. Nishizawa
3 goals / 1 assists

Shimizu S-Pulse missing players

Matsumoto Yamaga missing players

Shimizu S-Pulse Matsumoto Yamaga
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
22 10 3 Played 2 11 22
8 5 2 Won 1 2 4
4 0 0 Drew 1 4 7
10 5 1 Lost 0 5 11
28 14 7 Scored 2 5 12
42 21 7 Conceded 1 13 27
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 91% 91%
82% 80% 100% Over 1.5 50% 45% 50%
55% 60% 100% Over 2.5 0% 9% 18%
32% 50% 67% Over 3.5 0% 9% 14%
23% 30% 33% Over 4.5 0% 9% 5%
64% 50% 100% BTTS 50% 27% 32%
14% 20% 0% Clean Sheets 50% 27% 23%
23% 30% 0% Failed To Score 0% 55% 55%
 
4 4 3 Corners For (avg) 5 4.6 4.6
6.4 6.6 7 Corners Against (avg) 5.5 5.5 5.2
1.3 1.2 1.3 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 1.2 1.1
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Matsumoto Yamaga have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have scored more than double the goals of Matsumoto Yamaga.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Shimizu S-Pulse
All Emperor Cup Nabisco Cup Club Friendlies J-League
All Home Away
06-07-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 1 Vissel Kobe
13-07-19 JL Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
20-07-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 2 Tokyo
03-08-19 JL Yokohama F. Marinos 0 - 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
10-08-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
14-08-19 EC Shimizu S-Pulse 10:00 Avispa Fukuoka
17-08-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 09:00 Consadole Sapporo
24-08-19 JL Kawasaki Frontale 10:00 Shimizu S-Pulse
01-09-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 09:00 Kashima Antlers
13-09-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus
Matsumoto Yamaga
All Emperor Cup Nabisco Cup Club Friendlies J2-League J-League
All Home Away
07-07-19 JL Consadole Sapporo 1 - 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
13-07-19 JL Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 1 Júbilo Iwata
20-07-19 JL Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
04-08-19 JL Kawasaki Frontale 0 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
10-08-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
18-08-19 JL Matsumoto Yamaga 09:00 Nagoya Grampus
23-08-19 JL Urawa Reds 10:30 Matsumoto Yamaga
31-08-19 JL Matsumoto Yamaga 10:00 Oita Trinita
04-10-19 JL Vegalta Sendai - Matsumoto Yamaga
18-10-19 JL Matsumoto Yamaga - Kashima Antlers

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Tokyo 22 15 3 4 34 16 14 12 0 2 27 10 8 3 3 2 7 6 18 48
2 Kashima Antlers 22 12 5 5 39 21 11 9 1 1 23 7 11 3 4 4 16 14 18 41
3 Kawasaki Frontale 22 10 9 3 33 18 12 3 8 1 13 8 10 7 1 2 20 10 15 39
4 Yokohama F. Marinos 22 12 3 7 36 28 11 7 3 1 20 8 11 5 0 6 16 20 8 39
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22 10 6 6 30 18 11 5 3 3 12 7 11 5 3 3 18 11 12 36
6 Oita Trinita 22 9 7 6 27 22 11 5 3 3 13 7 11 4 4 3 14 15 5 34
7 Consadole Sapporo 22 9 5 8 31 28 11 6 3 2 23 13 11 3 2 6 8 15 3 32
8 Cerezo Osaka 21 9 4 8 20 15 10 5 2 3 11 4 11 4 2 5 9 11 5 31
9 Nagoya Grampus 22 8 6 8 34 29 10 6 1 3 16 7 12 2 5 5 18 22 5 30
10 Urawa Reds 22 8 6 8 22 29 11 3 3 5 10 18 11 5 3 3 12 11 -7 30
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 22 8 4 10 28 42 10 5 0 5 14 21 12 3 4 5 14 21 -14 28
12 Gamba Osaka 22 6 8 8 28 32 11 3 4 4 13 14 11 3 4 4 15 18 -4 26
13 Shonan Bellmare 21 8 2 11 28 34 11 4 2 5 15 16 10 4 0 6 13 18 -6 26
14 Vegalta Sendai 22 8 2 12 24 32 11 7 1 3 17 14 11 1 1 9 7 18 -8 26
15 Vissel Kobe 22 6 5 11 33 39 10 3 3 4 18 18 12 3 2 7 15 21 -6 23
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 22 4 7 11 12 27 11 2 3 6 7 14 11 2 4 5 5 13 -15 19
17 Sagan Tosu 21 5 3 13 15 31 10 4 1 5 11 15 11 1 2 8 4 16 -16 18
18 Júbilo Iwata 21 4 5 12 15 28 10 1 4 5 10 15 11 3 1 7 5 13 -13 17

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