Open game expected at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium: Sagan Tosu vs Cerezo Osaka preview

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 24.July
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

12 points separate the two duelists in this J-League match. Sagan Tosu hold both the points- and home advantage.

Insights:
  • Sagan Tosu have the fewest conceded goals (12) in J-League
  • Cerezo Osaka have the most dropped points from leading position (19) in J-League

Cerezo Osaka could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a J-League game only three sleeps ago.

W W D L W

Sagan Tosu form and stats

23 points is a decent return from 10 J-League games here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium for Sagan Tosu. The data says 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Two home wins in a row for Sagan bring valid hopes of a third.

Sagan's previous game was a J-League match also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Nagoya Grampus (placed 5th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Park Il-Kyu, who guards the goal, was given a match rating of 8.33 out of 10 in that game. Il-Kyu stopped the opponent with seven saves. Park Il-Kyu loved the game against Nagoya Grampus. With a stunning seven saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 3-1 victory.

Previous to that game, a Emperor Cup home match hosting Avispa Fukuoka in a game that was won 1-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Sagan have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found twelve matches with the results: Won three, drawn four and lost five.

A decent goal production from Sagan in their home games so far, with 19 goals from 10 league matches. Defensively Sagan have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (3 in 10 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

D D D W W

Cerezo Osaka form and stats

There's been little loot from Cerezo Osaka's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 9 away games in the J-League. Cerezo Osaka only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 3 draws. The last three matches for Cerezo Osaka have all ended in a draw.

There were no winners in Cerezo's previous match, a J-League home game that ended 3-3 vs Tokyo (placed 6th). Midfielder Riki Harakawa was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.62. Harakawa hit seven key passes and had 63 successful passes (of 69 total). A comeback secured a 90 minute draw in the match against Tokyo. Cerezo were trailing 0-2 but refused to surrender and clawed their way back to 3-3, with Tiago Pagnussat scoring the equalizer. A crazy, crazy match with lots of goals last time out for Cerezo, as mentioned above. 6 goals in that one, will this match be as much fun?

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Vissel Kobe.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Cerezo Osaka playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were five Cerezo Osaka wins, two draws and four defeats.

Cerezo find the net regularly in their away games. 10 goals from 9 away fixtures in the league. Cerezo have conceded 12 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu 1-0 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Sagan won four games, two matches ended with a draw and Cerezo Osaka has four wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / four

Top Goalscorers

Sagan TosuK. Yamashita
K. Yamashita
8 goals
SaganN. Sakai
N. Sakai
5 goals
Cerezo OsakaY. Ōkubo
Y. Ōkubo
5 goals

Sagan Tosu missing players

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Sagan Tosu Cerezo Osaka
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 10 4 Played P 5 9 20
10 7 2 Won W 0 1 6
7 2 2 Drew D 1 3 7
4 1 0 Lost L 4 5 7
27 19 4 Scored S 5 10 26
12 3 1 Conceded C 9 12 24
81% 80% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 95%
62% 70% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 56% 65%
29% 40% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 33% 40%
10% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 33% 25%
5% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 33% 20%
33% 20% 25% BTTS BTTS 60% 56% 60%
48% 70% 75% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 25%
38% 30% 50% Failed to Score F T 40% 44% 20%
 
3.9 4.2 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.9 5
4.4 4.3 3 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 4.9 4.8
1 1 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 0.7 0.7
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.1 10.8 11.8 Shots (avg) S ( 8.2 10 10.6
3.5 4.4 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.4 3.7 4.2
37% 43% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 30% 31%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Cerezo Osaka have the most dropped points from leading position (19) in J-League
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sagan Tosu have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Sagan Tosu have the fewest conceded goals (12) in J-League
  • Sagan Tosu have the fewest conceded goals (3) at home in J-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 22 18 4 0 53 15 13 11 2 0 27 10 9 7 2 0 26 5 38 58
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 20 14 4 2 39 16 11 8 3 0 23 6 9 6 1 2 16 10 23 46
3 Vissel Kobe 22 11 8 3 35 21 10 5 4 1 17 6 12 6 4 2 18 15 14 41
4 Sagan Tosu 21 10 7 4 27 12 10 7 2 1 19 3 11 3 5 3 8 9 15 37
5 Nagoya Grampus 21 11 4 6 23 16 10 5 1 4 9 9 11 6 3 2 14 7 7 37
6 Tokyo 22 10 5 7 31 30 11 6 1 4 19 18 11 4 4 3 12 12 1 35
7 Urawa Reds 22 10 5 7 24 23 12 7 3 2 15 12 10 3 2 5 9 11 1 35
8 Kashima Antlers 21 9 5 7 34 23 11 6 3 2 22 12 10 3 2 5 12 11 11 32
9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22 7 9 6 24 22 11 3 4 4 9 10 11 4 5 2 15 12 2 30
10 Consadole Sapporo 20 8 5 7 27 26 9 5 2 2 18 11 11 3 3 5 9 15 1 29
11 Avispa Fukuoka 22 8 5 9 23 27 10 5 0 5 11 11 12 3 5 4 12 16 -4 29
12 Cerezo Osaka 20 6 7 7 26 24 11 5 4 2 16 12 9 1 3 5 10 12 2 25
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 22 5 8 9 22 30 10 2 4 4 8 14 12 3 4 5 14 16 -8 23
14 Shonan Bellmare 22 4 9 9 21 26 11 2 6 3 8 8 11 2 3 6 13 18 -5 21
15 Kashiwa Reysol 22 6 2 14 22 32 11 4 0 7 14 18 11 2 2 7 8 14 -10 20
16 Tokushima Vortis 22 5 5 12 18 28 11 2 4 5 9 12 11 3 1 7 9 16 -10 20
17 Gamba Osaka 17 4 5 8 9 16 8 2 2 4 6 10 9 2 3 4 3 6 -7 17
18 Vegalta Sendai 21 3 8 10 18 35 10 2 4 4 8 14 11 1 4 6 10 21 -17 17
19 Oita Trinita 21 4 4 13 13 30 11 3 4 4 8 12 10 1 0 9 5 18 -17 16
20 Yokohama 22 2 5 15 14 51 11 1 4 6 9 20 11 1 1 9 5 31 -37 11

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 22 18 4 0 53 15 13 11 2 0 27 10 9 7 2 0 26 5 38 58
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 20 14 4 2 39 16 11 8 3 0 23 6 9 6 1 2 16 10 23 46
3 Vissel Kobe 22 11 8 3 35 21 10 5 4 1 17 6 12 6 4 2 18 15 14 41
4 Sagan Tosu 21 10 7 4 27 12 10 7 2 1 19 3 11 3 5 3 8 9 15 37
5 Nagoya Grampus 21 11 4 6 23 16 10 5 1 4 9 9 11 6 3 2 14 7 7 37
6 Tokyo 22 10 5 7 31 30 11 6 1 4 19 18 11 4 4 3 12 12 1 35
7 Urawa Reds 22 10 5 7 24 23 12 7 3 2 15 12 10 3 2 5 9 11 1 35
8 Kashima Antlers 21 9 5 7 34 23 11 6 3 2 22 12 10 3 2 5 12 11 11 32
9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22 7 9 6 24 22 11 3 4 4 9 10 11 4 5 2 15 12 2 30
10 Consadole Sapporo 20 8 5 7 27 26 9 5 2 2 18 11 11 3 3 5 9 15 1 29
11 Avispa Fukuoka 22 8 5 9 23 27 10 5 0 5 11 11 12 3 5 4 12 16 -4 29
12 Cerezo Osaka 20 6 7 7 26 24 11 5 4 2 16 12 9 1 3 5 10 12 2 25
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 22 5 8 9 22 30 10 2 4 4 8 14 12 3 4 5 14 16 -8 23
14 Shonan Bellmare 22 4 9 9 21 26 11 2 6 3 8 8 11 2 3 6 13 18 -5 21
15 Kashiwa Reysol 22 6 2 14 22 32 11 4 0 7 14 18 11 2 2 7 8 14 -10 20
16 Tokushima Vortis 22 5 5 12 18 28 11 2 4 5 9 12 11 3 1 7 9 16 -10 20
17 Gamba Osaka 17 4 5 8 9 16 8 2 2 4 6 10 9 2 3 4 3 6 -7 17
18 Vegalta Sendai 21 3 8 10 18 35 10 2 4 4 8 14 11 1 4 6 10 21 -17 17
19 Oita Trinita 21 4 4 13 13 30 11 3 4 4 8 12 10 1 0 9 5 18 -17 16
20 Yokohama 22 2 5 15 14 51 11 1 4 6 9 20 11 1 1 9 5 31 -37 11

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