Can Nagoya Grampus beat Cerezo Osaka in Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium clash?

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 08.May
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium (27000 seats)

The Nagoya Grampus & Cerezo Osaka managers M. Ficcadenti and L. Culpi are both dreading and looking forward to this decisive game in the upper regions of the J-League league table.

Insights:
  • Nagoya Grampus have the most clean sheets (10) in J-League
  • Cerezo Osaka have the most dropped points from leading position (10) in J-League

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only four days ago in the J-League. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Kawasaki Frontale.

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Nagoya Grampus form and stats

Nagoya Grampus, who have the most clean sheets (10) in J-League, have played 7 J-League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-1-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Nagoya Grampus faced defeat in their previous match, away at Kawasaki Frontale (2-3). Preceding that match was the home game against Kawasaki Frontale that was lost 0-4.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Grampus have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won six times, drawn three and lost two.

Grampus has scored 8 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. Grampus are not conceding a lot of goals here at Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

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Cerezo Osaka form and stats

1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. That’s the product of Cerezo Osaka playing as the away team in the J-League this season.

Cerezo delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Gamba Osaka (placed 18th) in their previous match; a J-League game. A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Urawa Reds.

As mentioned above, Cerezo drew the match against Gamba Osaka. Manager L. Culpi brought on Motohiko Nakajima to rescue the draw from a losing position and it worked.

Cerezo Osaka are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, one draw and one defeat. From a total of four matches.

The travelling fans enjoy Cerezo Osaka's attacking play in away games, having scored 8 goals in 5 league matches away. Cerezo's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 8 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Grampus won five games, two matches ended with a draw and Cerezo Osaka has three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six

Top Goalscorers

Cerezo OsakaY. Ōkubo
Y. Ōkubo
5 goals
Nagoya GrampusS. Inagaki
S. Inagaki
4 goals
GrampusM. dos Santos Castro
M. dos Santos Castro
4 goals

Nagoya Grampus missing players

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 2 5 13
9 4 0 Won W 0 1 6
2 1 0 Drew D 0 1 3
3 2 2 Lost L 2 3 4
18 8 1 Scored S 2 8 19
10 6 6 Conceded C 4 8 14
86% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 92%
50% 57% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 60% 62%
43% 43% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 60% 46%
14% 14% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 60% 31%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 60% 23%
21% 14% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 54%
71% 71% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 38%
21% 29% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 15%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0.9 1 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 0.6 0.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7 6.4 4 Shots (avg) S ( 6 9.8 10.2
3.3 2.9 1 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.5 3.4 4.1
39% 40% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 67% 47% 36%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Cerezo Osaka have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cerezo Osaka have the most dropped points from leading position (10) in J-League
  • Nagoya Grampus have the most clean sheets (10) in J-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 14 12 2 0 37 10 9 8 1 0 18 6 5 4 1 0 19 4 27 38
2 Nagoya Grampus 14 9 2 3 18 10 7 4 1 2 8 6 7 5 1 1 10 4 8 29
3 Sagan Tosu 13 8 2 3 19 5 7 5 1 1 14 1 6 3 1 2 5 4 14 26
4 Yokohama F. Marinos 11 7 3 1 23 8 6 4 2 0 14 4 5 3 1 1 9 4 15 24
5 Vissel Kobe 12 6 5 1 18 10 6 3 2 1 7 3 6 3 3 0 11 7 8 23
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 6 3 4 19 14 8 5 2 1 11 6 5 1 1 3 8 8 5 21
7 Avispa Fukuoka 13 5 4 4 16 16 6 3 0 3 7 7 7 2 4 1 9 9 0 19
8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 4 5 4 16 15 6 2 2 2 5 5 7 2 3 2 11 10 1 17
9 Urawa Reds 12 5 2 5 11 17 7 4 2 1 9 9 5 1 0 4 2 8 -6 17
10 Kashima Antlers 11 4 3 4 15 13 6 2 2 2 8 8 5 2 1 2 7 5 2 15
11 Tokyo 12 4 3 5 17 21 8 4 0 4 15 18 4 0 3 1 2 3 -4 15
12 Tokushima Vortis 13 4 2 7 12 18 5 2 1 2 5 5 8 2 1 5 7 13 -6 14
13 Kashiwa Reysol 12 4 1 7 12 14 5 3 0 2 9 5 7 1 1 5 3 9 -2 13
14 Consadole Sapporo 11 3 3 5 17 17 5 2 1 2 13 11 6 1 2 3 4 6 0 12
15 Shonan Bellmare 12 2 6 4 10 12 6 1 4 1 3 2 6 1 2 3 7 10 -2 12
16 Shimizu S-Pulse 12 2 5 5 10 15 5 0 3 2 3 8 7 2 2 3 7 7 -5 11
17 Oita Trinita 11 2 2 7 8 17 6 1 2 3 4 9 5 1 0 4 4 8 -9 8
18 Gamba Osaka 8 1 4 3 2 5 2 0 2 0 0 0 6 1 2 3 2 5 -3 7
19 Vegalta Sendai 11 1 3 7 8 23 4 1 1 2 2 7 7 0 2 5 6 16 -15 6
20 Yokohama 12 0 2 10 7 35 6 0 2 4 5 15 6 0 0 6 2 20 -28 2