J-League match prediction: Little separates Kashiwa Reysol and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 19.September
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium (15349 seats)

There's been ups and downs for these two teams so far this season, occupying positions near the middle of the J-League table so far. Here's the Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima latest:

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

It's quite the trip for Sanfrecce Hiroshima when visiting Kashiwa as the cities are 800 kilometers apart.

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Kashiwa Reysol form and stats

4-0-4 (win-draw-lost) are the J-League numbers at home for Kashiwa Reysol so far this season.

Kashiwa faced defeat in their previous match, away at Sagan Tosu (1-2). Ahead of that match, Kashiwa won a home game hosting Gamba Osaka (3-0).

This is expected to be a close game, with Kashiwa perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Kashiwa Reysol as a small favourite), we find four games. Kashiwa Reysol has won one of these, drawn zero and lost three.

The manager N. Baptista Júnior will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Consadole Sapporo in only four days.

Kashiwa can score goals in their home matches. After 8 league matches they have found the net 19 times. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Kashiwa defense is not exactly impregnable. 15 goals conceded from 8 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima form and stats

As the visiting team in J-League matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have produced an overall stat of 3-1-4 so far.

Sanfrecce lost away at Kawasaki Frontale (1-5) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. A home win before that, celebrating 4-1 vs Shimizu S-Pulse.

As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Kawasaki Frontale was particularly ugly (1-5). The humiliation is still top of mind.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were seven Sanfrecce wins, one draw and six defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Sanfrecce now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A J-League game at Oita Trinita is waiting in only four days.

The visiting Sanfrecce have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 9 goals from 8 games. 10 goals have been conceded by Sanfrecce in these games.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Kashiwa, two draws and three wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

Kashiwa ReysolM. Olunga Ogada
M. Olunga Ogada
16 goals
Sanfrecce HiroshimaL. Peruchena Pereira
L. Peruchena Pereira
7 goals
Kashiwa ReysolA. Esaka
A. Esaka
5 goals

Kashiwa Reysol missing players

Sanfrecce Hiroshima missing players

Kashiwa Reysol Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
16 8 2 Played P 4 8 15
8 4 1 Won W 2 3 6
2 0 0 Drew D 0 1 3
6 4 1 Lost L 2 4 6
32 19 4 Scored S 6 9 23
24 15 3 Conceded C 4 10 19
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 93%
81% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 62% 73%
75% 88% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 53%
56% 75% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 25% 27%
31% 50% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 20%
69% 75% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 25% 47%
25% 12% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 50% 40%
12% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 38% 20%
 
4.8 4.8 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 4.6 5.4
4.3 4 2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 3.8 4.9
1.6 1.2 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.4 1.1
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
169 103 26 Total Shots T S 48 94 164
73 45 10 Shots on Target S O 17 33 63
38% 42% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 27% 35%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Kashiwa Reysol have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Kashiwa Reysol have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored away.
  • Kashiwa Reysol haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 17 14 2 1 52 16 9 8 1 0 28 8 8 6 1 1 24 8 36 44
2 Cerezo Osaka 16 11 3 2 25 14 8 5 2 1 10 3 8 6 1 1 15 11 11 36
3 Tokyo 17 9 5 3 30 21 7 4 0 3 11 10 10 5 5 0 19 11 9 32
4 Nagoya Grampus 15 8 3 4 24 15 7 4 1 2 13 9 8 4 2 2 11 6 9 27
5 Kashima Antlers 17 8 3 6 28 24 7 3 3 1 13 10 10 5 0 5 15 14 4 27
6 Urawa Reds 16 8 3 5 24 28 8 3 3 2 8 10 8 5 0 3 16 18 -4 27
7 Kashiwa Reysol 16 8 2 6 32 24 8 4 0 4 19 15 8 4 2 2 13 9 8 26
8 Gamba Osaka 15 7 2 6 21 21 8 3 0 5 8 12 7 4 2 1 13 9 0 23
9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 15 6 3 6 23 19 7 3 2 2 14 9 8 3 1 4 9 10 4 21
10 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 6 3 8 31 31 9 4 1 4 19 15 8 2 2 4 12 16 0 21
11 Vissel Kobe 17 4 8 5 26 29 9 1 4 4 14 19 8 3 4 1 12 10 -3 20
12 Yokohama 16 5 2 9 21 33 9 3 1 5 12 18 7 2 1 4 9 15 -12 17
13 Oita Trinita 16 4 4 8 17 24 8 2 3 3 7 11 8 2 1 5 10 13 -7 16
14 Sagan Tosu 12 3 5 4 12 13 6 2 3 1 7 4 6 1 2 3 5 9 -1 14
15 Consadole Sapporo 16 3 5 8 21 34 8 1 3 4 11 18 8 2 2 4 10 16 -13 14
16 Vegalta Sendai 15 2 5 8 15 28 8 0 3 5 7 16 7 2 2 3 8 12 -13 11
17 Shonan Bellmare 15 2 3 10 14 26 7 1 2 4 4 7 8 1 1 6 10 19 -12 9
18 Shimizu S-Pulse 16 2 3 11 21 37 9 2 0 7 17 21 7 0 3 4 4 16 -16 9