J-League match prediction: Little separates Kashima Antlers and Yokohama F. Marinos in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Date: Sat 10.August
Match begins: 09:30 (UTC)
Venue: Kashima Soccer Stadium (40728 seats)

The managers G. Oiwa and A. Postecoglou are both dreading and looking forward to this decisive game in the upper regions of the J-League league table.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Kashima Antlers form and stats

Kashima Antlers, who have the most scored goals (39) in J-League, have been very solid at home so far, with 28 points collected from 11 matches (9-1-1). This has contributed greatly to their 2nd position in the league table. The Kashima Antlers fans aren't used to losing here at Kashima Soccer Stadium and will expect new points from this game. Kashima Antlers has played ten games in a row here without a defeat.

The Kashima Antlers supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Yokohama F. Marinos in J-League and win 2-1. Heartbreak before that as Kashima Antlers lost 2-3 at Shonan Bellmare's place.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Kashima Antlers have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found three matches with the results: Won 2 Drawn 1 Lost 0.

Kashima Antlers can score goals in their home matches. After 11 matches they have found the net 23 times. From these home matches, Kashima Antlers have conceded only 7 goals.

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Yokohama F. Marinos form and stats

5-0-6 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Yokohama F. Marinos in their matches away.

Yokohama F. Marinos play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 1-2 to Kashima Antlers. A 0-1 loss hosting Shimizu S-Pulse before that.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found twelve similar matches played by Yokohama F. Marinos in our archives, and the results are: 5 wins for Yokohama F. Marinos, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

Yokohama F. Marinos find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 16 goals from 11 away fixtures. Yokohama F. Marinos have conceded 20 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 4 Kashima Antlers victories, 2 draws and 4 Yokohama F. Marinos wins. 7 of these games ended with three goals or more, 3 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Marcos Junior
14 goals / 4 assists
T. Nakagawa
8 goals / 5 assists
Serginho
7 goals / 1 assists

Kashima Antlers missing players

Yokohama F. Marinos missing players

Kashima Antlers Yokohama F. Marinos
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs top Away Total
22 11 2 Played 3 11 22
12 9 0 Won 1 5 12
5 1 1 Drew 0 0 3
5 1 1 Lost 2 6 7
39 23 3 Scored 3 16 36
21 7 4 Conceded 6 20 28
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 95%
82% 82% 100% Over 1.5 67% 91% 77%
55% 64% 100% Over 2.5 33% 73% 64%
27% 18% 50% Over 3.5 33% 27% 32%
9% 9% 0% Over 4.5 33% 27% 18%
59% 45% 100% BTTS 33% 45% 50%
36% 55% 0% Clean Sheets 33% 27% 32%
5% 0% 0% Failed To Score 33% 27% 23%
 
5.3 5.3 5.5 Corners For (avg) 7.3 5.5 6.1
4.8 3.8 4 Corners Against (avg) 5 5.3 4.8
0.9 1 0.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.7 1.2 1.1
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 3 3
Key stats this season:
  • Kashima Antlers have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Kashima Antlers have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Kashima Antlers have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Kashima Antlers haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Kashima Antlers
13-07-19 JL Vegalta Sendai 0 - 4 Kashima Antlers
20-07-19 JL Kashima Antlers 2 - 1 Sagan Tosu
31-07-19 JL Urawa Reds 1 - 1 Kashima Antlers
03-08-19 JL Shonan Bellmare 3 - 2 Kashima Antlers
10-08-19 JL Kashima Antlers 2 - 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
14-08-19 EC Kashima Antlers 10:00 Tochigi
17-08-19 JL Oita Trinita 10:00 Kashima Antlers
23-08-19 JL Kashima Antlers 10:00 Gamba Osaka
28-08-19 ACL Guangzhou Evergrande 12:00 Kashima Antlers
01-09-19 JL Shimizu S-Pulse 09:00 Kashima Antlers
Yokohama F. Marinos
13-07-19 JL Yokohama F. Marinos 3 - 1 Urawa Reds
20-07-19 JL Vissel Kobe 0 - 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
27-07-19 CF Yokohama F. Marinos 1 - 3 Manchester City
03-08-19 JL Yokohama F. Marinos 0 - 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
10-08-19 JL Kashima Antlers 2 - 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
14-08-19 EC Yokohama F. Marinos 10:00 Yokohama
17-08-19 JL Yokohama F. Marinos 10:00 Cerezo Osaka
24-08-19 JL Nagoya Grampus 09:00 Yokohama F. Marinos
31-08-19 JL Yokohama F. Marinos 10:00 Gamba Osaka
04-10-19 JL Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Tokyo 22 15 3 4 34 16 14 12 0 2 27 10 8 3 3 2 7 6 18 48
2 Kashima Antlers 22 12 5 5 39 21 11 9 1 1 23 7 11 3 4 4 16 14 18 41
3 Kawasaki Frontale 22 10 9 3 33 18 12 3 8 1 13 8 10 7 1 2 20 10 15 39
4 Yokohama F. Marinos 22 12 3 7 36 28 11 7 3 1 20 8 11 5 0 6 16 20 8 39
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22 10 6 6 30 18 11 5 3 3 12 7 11 5 3 3 18 11 12 36
6 Oita Trinita 22 9 7 6 27 22 11 5 3 3 13 7 11 4 4 3 14 15 5 34
7 Consadole Sapporo 22 9 5 8 31 28 11 6 3 2 23 13 11 3 2 6 8 15 3 32
8 Cerezo Osaka 21 9 4 8 20 15 10 5 2 3 11 4 11 4 2 5 9 11 5 31
9 Nagoya Grampus 22 8 6 8 34 29 10 6 1 3 16 7 12 2 5 5 18 22 5 30
10 Urawa Reds 22 8 6 8 22 29 11 3 3 5 10 18 11 5 3 3 12 11 -7 30
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 22 8 4 10 28 42 10 5 0 5 14 21 12 3 4 5 14 21 -14 28
12 Gamba Osaka 22 6 8 8 28 32 11 3 4 4 13 14 11 3 4 4 15 18 -4 26
13 Shonan Bellmare 21 8 2 11 28 34 11 4 2 5 15 16 10 4 0 6 13 18 -6 26
14 Vegalta Sendai 22 8 2 12 24 32 11 7 1 3 17 14 11 1 1 9 7 18 -8 26
15 Vissel Kobe 22 6 5 11 33 39 10 3 3 4 18 18 12 3 2 7 15 21 -6 23
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 22 4 7 11 12 27 11 2 3 6 7 14 11 2 4 5 5 13 -15 19
17 Sagan Tosu 21 5 3 13 15 31 10 4 1 5 11 15 11 1 2 8 4 16 -16 18
18 Júbilo Iwata 21 4 5 12 15 28 10 1 4 5 10 15 11 3 1 7 5 13 -13 17