J-League match prediction: Little separates Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Date: Sat 10.August
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Suita City Football Stadium (40322 seats)

Gamba Osaka will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 10 points behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Gamba Osaka form and stats

When playing at home, Gamba Osaka have managed 3 wins, 4 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 11 games. The last three games played by Gamba Osaka, regardless of arena, have all ended draws.

The home supporters saw a 1-1 draw versus Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J-League last time out and are looking for a win here. Before that, Gamba Osaka played out a draw 2-2 when visiting Vissel Kobe.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Gamba Osaka have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 14 matches with the results: Won 5 Drawn 1 Lost 8.

Gamba Osaka has scored 13 goals at home this season, in 11 matches. On the other hand, Gamba Osaka have conceded 14 goals.

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima form and stats

As the visiting team Sanfrecce Hiroshima have produced an overall stat of 5-3-3 so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has drawn their two previous away games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Gamba Osaka for a J-League game that ended a draw (1-1). A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Consadole Sapporo.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were 6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.

The travelling fans enjoy Sanfrecce Hiroshima's attacking play in away games, having scored 18 goals in 11 away matches. As opposed to that, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have seen the ball go into their own net 11 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Gamba Osaka 3 wins, 3 draws and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 victories. As for goals, 6 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Y. Kashiwa
6 goals / 2 assists
S. Kurata
5 goals / 1 assists
Ademilson
5 goals / 2 assists

Gamba Osaka missing players

Sanfrecce Hiroshima missing players

Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
22 11 4 Played 4 11 22
6 3 0 Won 2 5 10
8 4 3 Drew 0 3 6
8 4 1 Lost 2 3 6
28 13 4 Scored 5 18 30
32 14 5 Conceded 2 11 18
86% 91% 75% Over 0.5 100% 100% 95%
64% 55% 75% Over 1.5 25% 64% 55%
50% 27% 25% Over 2.5 25% 45% 32%
41% 27% 25% Over 3.5 25% 36% 23%
18% 27% 25% Over 4.5 0% 9% 9%
59% 55% 75% BTTS 0% 45% 36%
32% 36% 25% Clean Sheets 50% 36% 41%
23% 18% 25% Failed To Score 50% 18% 27%
 
5.5 5.8 5.8 Corners For (avg) 2.5 3.1 3.9
4 3.2 3 Corners Against (avg) 2.8 3.8 3.9
1.3 1.4 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 0.2 1.1 1
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Gamba Osaka
All Emperor Cup Nabisco Cup Club Friendlies J-League
All Home Away
07-07-19 JL Tokyo 3 - 1 Gamba Osaka
13-07-19 JL Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
20-07-19 JL Nagoya Grampus 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka
02-08-19 JL Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka
10-08-19 JL Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14-08-19 EC Gamba Osaka 09:30 Hosei University
18-08-19 JL Gamba Osaka 10:00 Júbilo Iwata
23-08-19 JL Kashima Antlers 10:00 Gamba Osaka
31-08-19 JL Yokohama F. Marinos 10:00 Gamba Osaka
04-09-19 NC Gamba Osaka 10:00 Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
All Emperor Cup Nabisco Cup AFC Champions League Club Friendlies J-League
All Home Away
13-07-19 JL Sagan Tosu 0 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
20-07-19 JL Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
31-07-19 JL Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 - 2 Kawasaki Frontale
03-08-19 JL Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 0 Consadole Sapporo
10-08-19 JL Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14-08-19 EC Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10:00 Zweigen Kanazawa
17-08-19 JL Tokyo 10:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24-08-19 JL Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10:00 Oita Trinita
31-08-19 JL Júbilo Iwata 10:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
04-09-19 NC Consadole Sapporo 10:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Tokyo 22 15 3 4 34 16 14 12 0 2 27 10 8 3 3 2 7 6 18 48
2 Kashima Antlers 22 12 5 5 39 21 11 9 1 1 23 7 11 3 4 4 16 14 18 41
3 Kawasaki Frontale 22 10 9 3 33 18 12 3 8 1 13 8 10 7 1 2 20 10 15 39
4 Yokohama F. Marinos 22 12 3 7 36 28 11 7 3 1 20 8 11 5 0 6 16 20 8 39
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22 10 6 6 30 18 11 5 3 3 12 7 11 5 3 3 18 11 12 36
6 Oita Trinita 22 9 7 6 27 22 11 5 3 3 13 7 11 4 4 3 14 15 5 34
7 Consadole Sapporo 22 9 5 8 31 28 11 6 3 2 23 13 11 3 2 6 8 15 3 32
8 Cerezo Osaka 21 9 4 8 20 15 10 5 2 3 11 4 11 4 2 5 9 11 5 31
9 Nagoya Grampus 22 8 6 8 34 29 10 6 1 3 16 7 12 2 5 5 18 22 5 30
10 Urawa Reds 22 8 6 8 22 29 11 3 3 5 10 18 11 5 3 3 12 11 -7 30
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 22 8 4 10 28 42 10 5 0 5 14 21 12 3 4 5 14 21 -14 28
12 Gamba Osaka 22 6 8 8 28 32 11 3 4 4 13 14 11 3 4 4 15 18 -4 26
13 Shonan Bellmare 21 8 2 11 28 34 11 4 2 5 15 16 10 4 0 6 13 18 -6 26
14 Vegalta Sendai 22 8 2 12 24 32 11 7 1 3 17 14 11 1 1 9 7 18 -8 26
15 Vissel Kobe 22 6 5 11 33 39 10 3 3 4 18 18 12 3 2 7 15 21 -6 23
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 22 4 7 11 12 27 11 2 3 6 7 14 11 2 4 5 5 13 -15 19
17 Sagan Tosu 21 5 3 13 15 31 10 4 1 5 11 15 11 1 2 8 4 16 -16 18
18 Júbilo Iwata 21 4 5 12 15 28 10 1 4 5 10 15 11 3 1 7 5 13 -13 17

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