J-League preview: Can Gamba Osaka edge out victory against Oita Trinita?

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 18.July
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Suita City Football Stadium (40000 seats)

It's early days in the J-League and both Gamba Osaka and Oita Trinita are still hoping for a flying start in order to set the tone for the season. Three points can make a big difference at this stage.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

Oita Trinita have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 900 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Gamba Osaka form and stats

The home fans saw their team lose the first J-League game of the season here at Suita City Football Stadium. Last season these fans witnessed 7 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses from Gamba Osaka's 17 home games.

It's back home for Gamba Osaka, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Shimizu S-Pulse away with the result 2-1. K. Watanabe and K. Onose found the net in that victory. Preceding that game was the away draw at Nagoya Grampus that finished 2-2.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of T. Miyamoto when K. Watanabe scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 74th minute.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Gamba Osaka have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won five times, drawn one and lost zero.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Gamba as they have a new game in only four days, a J-League match thankfully also at home. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are visiting.

Gamba Osaka has scored 1 goal so far and conceded 2 goals from 1 home game. These are numbers from the league only.

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Oita Trinita form and stats

Things could have gone better for Oita Trinita in their J-League away matches, but 3 points from 2 games is all right.

Trinita played 1-1 against Vissel Kobe in their previous match. Preceding that game was the away victory against Sanfrecce Hiroshima with the score of 2-1.

We have checked recent matches where Trinita have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were three victories, four draws and five defeats.

A new game in only four days for Oita Trinita, the J-League home match versus Nagoya Grampus. Busy days.

It's early days yet, but Oita Trinita has scored 2 and conceded 2 goals from their travels in the league so far (2 games).

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Gamba five wins, one draw and Oita Trinita four victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

GambaA. Braga Bispo Junior
A. Braga Bispo Junior
11 goals

Gamba Osaka missing players

Oita Trinita missing players

Gamba Osaka Oita Trinita
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
4 1 0 Played P 0 2 4
2 0 0 Won W 0 1 2
1 0 0 Drew D 0 0 1
1 1 0 Lost L 0 1 1
7 1 0 Scored S 0 2 5
6 2 0 Conceded C 0 2 3
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 75%
100% 100% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 25%
25% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
100% 100% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 50%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 25%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 25%
 
4.5 6 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 9.5 5.8
4 3 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 6.5 6
0.2 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0 0
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
40 7 0 Total Shots T S 0 27 44
23 5 0 Shots on Target S O 0 9 17
30% 20% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 22% 29%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Gamba Osaka has the fewest matches under the total-line (0)
  • Oita Trinita has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (0)
Gamba Osaka Last season Oita Trinita
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
34 17   Played P   17 34
12 7   Won W   5 12
11 6   Drew D   8 11
11 4   Lost L   4 11
54 28   Scored S   17 35
48 18   Conceded C   19 35
91% 94%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   82% 91%
74% 65%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   65% 71%
59% 35%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   41% 32%
47% 35%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   24% 12%
21% 29%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   0% 0%
62% 53%   BTTS BTTS   59% 50%
32% 41%   Clean Sheets C S   29% 26%
15% 12%   Failed to Score F T   29% 32%
 
5.5 5.5   Corners for (avg) C F   3.1 3.6
3.9 3.4   Corners against (avg) C A   5.1 4.7
1.2 1.3   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1 0.9
0 0   Red cards R C   0 0
 
474 259   Total Shots T S   126 261
175 93   Shots on Target S O   46 95
31% 30%   Goal Efficiency G E   37% 37%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 4 3 1 0 9 2 3 2 1 0 5 2 1 1 0 0 4 0 7 10
2 Urawa Reds 4 3 1 0 6 3 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 0 5 3 3 10
3 Cerezo Osaka 4 3 0 1 5 3 3 2 0 1 3 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 2 9
4 Tokyo 4 3 0 1 7 6 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 3 0 0 7 2 1 9
5 Nagoya Grampus 4 2 2 0 7 4 1 0 1 0 2 2 3 2 1 0 5 2 3 8
6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 2 1 1 7 2 2 1 0 1 4 2 2 1 1 0 3 0 5 7
7 Oita Trinita 4 2 1 1 5 3 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 7
8 Gamba Osaka 4 2 1 1 7 6 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 2 1 0 6 4 1 7
9 Consadole Sapporo 4 2 1 1 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 1 1 6 5 1 7
10 Yokohama 4 1 2 1 6 5 2 0 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 0 4 2 1 5
11 Vegalta Sendai 4 1 2 1 4 4 2 0 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 0 2 1 0 5
12 Vissel Kobe 4 1 2 1 3 5 2 0 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 0 2 1 -2 5
13 Yokohama F. Marinos 4 1 1 2 5 7 3 1 0 2 5 7 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 4
14 Kashiwa Reysol 4 1 0 3 6 9 3 1 0 2 5 6 1 0 0 1 1 3 -3 3
15 Sagan Tosu 4 0 2 2 0 3 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 0 2 -3 2
16 Shonan Bellmare 4 0 1 3 4 7 3 0 1 2 2 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -3 1
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 4 0 0 4 3 9 3 0 0 3 3 7 1 0 0 1 0 2 -6 0
18 Kashima Antlers 4 0 0 4 1 8 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 0 3 1 6 -7 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama F. Marinos 34 22 4 8 68 38 17 12 3 2 37 14 17 10 1 6 31 24 30 70
2 Tokyo 34 19 7 8 46 29 17 12 2 3 29 13 17 7 5 5 17 16 17 64
3 Kashima Antlers 34 18 9 7 54 30 17 11 3 3 30 15 17 7 6 4 24 15 24 63
4 Kawasaki Frontale 34 16 12 6 57 34 17 5 9 3 21 17 17 11 3 3 36 17 23 60
5 Cerezo Osaka 34 18 5 11 39 25 17 9 3 5 21 11 17 9 2 6 18 14 14 59
6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34 15 10 9 45 29 17 7 7 3 21 11 17 8 3 6 24 18 16 55
7 Gamba Osaka 34 12 11 11 54 48 17 7 6 4 28 18 17 5 5 7 26 30 6 47
8 Vissel Kobe 34 14 5 15 61 59 17 8 3 6 33 26 17 6 2 9 28 33 2 47
9 Oita Trinita 34 12 11 11 35 35 17 7 3 7 18 16 17 5 8 4 17 19 0 47
10 Consadole Sapporo 34 13 7 14 54 49 17 7 4 6 30 22 17 6 3 8 24 27 5 46
11 Vegalta Sendai 34 12 5 17 38 45 17 9 4 4 25 19 17 3 1 13 13 26 -7 41
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 34 11 6 17 45 69 17 7 1 9 21 40 17 4 5 8 24 29 -24 39
13 Nagoya Grampus 34 9 10 15 45 50 17 7 3 7 22 18 17 2 7 8 23 32 -5 37
14 Urawa Reds 34 9 10 15 34 50 17 4 3 10 16 29 17 5 7 5 18 21 -16 37
15 Sagan Tosu 34 10 6 18 32 53 17 7 2 8 21 30 17 3 4 10 11 23 -21 36
16 Shonan Bellmare 34 10 6 18 40 63 17 5 3 9 19 34 17 5 3 9 21 29 -23 36
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 34 6 13 15 21 40 17 2 8 7 10 18 17 4 5 8 11 22 -19 31
18 Jubilo Iwata 34 8 7 19 29 51 17 2 5 10 16 28 17 6 2 9 13 23 -22 31