J-League match prediction: Little separates Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F. Marinos in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 17.October
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Yanmar Stadium Nagai (50000 seats)

It's advantage Cerezo Osaka so far with their 3rd position in the J-League table, welcoming Yokohama F. Marinos who are placed 7th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Cerezo and Yokohama F. Marinos.

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Cerezo Osaka form and stats

Cerezo Osaka, who have the fewest conceded goals (8) at home in J-League, have collected 20 points from their J-League home games so far after 6-2-3.

The Cerezo supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Shonan Bellmare in J-League and win 1-0. Heartbreak before that as Cerezo lost 0-1 at Nagoya Grampus's place.

Some amazing scenes last match, when M. Jonjić scored the winning goal two minutes into stoppage time.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Cerezo have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found nine matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost four.

The Cerezo fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 11 matches. From these home matches, Cerezo Osaka have conceded only 8 goals. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Yokohama F. Marinos form and stats

4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. That’s the product of Yokohama F. Marinos playing as the away team in the J-League this season.

Yokohama has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Gamba Osaka for a J-League game that ended a draw (1-1). Before that, Yokohama secured a home win against Oita Trinita with the score 4-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found nine similar matches played by Yokohama F. Marinos in our archives, and the results are: six wins for Yokohama, zero draws and three defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Nagoya Grampus in just four days.

Yokohama has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 19 goals from 11 games. Yokohama have conceded 19 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F. Marinos have met before this season: Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo 1-2. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Cerezo eight wins, one draw and Yokohama F. Marinos one victory. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Yokohama F. MarinosM. Lima dos Santos
M. Lima dos Santos
11 goals
Yokohama F. MarinosE. Nascimento de Lima
E. Nascimento de Lima
11 goals
Yokohama F. MarinosJ. dos Santos Junior
J. dos Santos Junior
8 goals

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Yokohama F. Marinos missing players

Cerezo Osaka Yokohama F. Marinos
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 11 25
14 6 2 Won W 0 4 11
3 2 1 Drew D 1 3 5
6 3 0 Lost L 2 4 9
32 13 4 Scored S 4 19 51
24 8 0 Conceded C 7 19 39
91% 82% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 96%
70% 64% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 73% 88%
48% 36% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 64% 76%
17% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 55% 60%
9% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 27% 24%
48% 27% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 73% 76%
39% 64% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 18% 20%
22% 27% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 18% 8%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0.7 0.9 0.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.5 1.3
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
182 84 34 Total Shots T S 30 127 315
63 25 11 Shots on Target S O 9 44 112
44% 44% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 43% 46%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Cerezo Osaka has the fewest conceded goals (8) at home in J-League
  • Cerezo Osaka has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in J-League
  • Cerezo Osaka has the most clean sheets (7) at home in J-League
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has the most dropped points from leading position (22) in J-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 23 20 2 1 65 19 11 10 1 0 32 10 12 10 1 1 33 9 46 62
2 Tokyo 25 14 5 6 40 29 12 7 0 5 19 15 13 7 5 1 21 14 11 47
3 Cerezo Osaka 23 14 3 6 32 24 11 6 2 3 13 8 12 8 1 3 19 16 8 45
4 Nagoya Grampus 22 13 3 6 35 20 11 8 1 2 22 11 11 5 2 4 13 9 15 42
5 Gamba Osaka 22 13 3 6 32 25 11 5 1 5 13 14 11 8 2 1 19 11 7 42
6 Kashima Antlers 23 12 3 8 36 31 10 5 3 2 17 14 13 7 0 6 19 17 5 39
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 25 11 5 9 51 39 14 7 2 5 32 20 11 4 3 4 19 19 12 38
8 Kashiwa Reysol 22 11 4 7 43 32 12 5 2 5 26 23 10 6 2 2 17 9 11 37
9 Urawa Reds 23 10 4 9 28 37 12 3 3 6 8 17 11 7 1 3 20 20 -9 34
10 Vissel Kobe 25 8 9 8 43 42 14 4 5 5 24 24 11 4 4 3 19 18 1 33
11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 9 4 8 33 26 10 4 2 4 18 13 11 5 2 4 15 13 7 31
12 Oita Trinita 23 8 5 10 26 34 11 4 3 4 10 14 12 4 2 6 16 20 -8 29
13 Yokohama 22 6 3 13 27 43 10 3 1 6 12 21 12 3 2 7 15 22 -16 21
14 Consadole Sapporo 23 5 6 12 28 47 12 2 4 6 16 24 11 3 2 6 12 23 -19 21
15 Sagan Tosu 21 4 6 11 21 31 12 3 3 6 12 14 9 1 3 5 9 17 -10 18
16 Vegalta Sendai 21 2 7 12 21 39 10 0 4 6 9 19 11 2 3 6 12 20 -18 13
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 23 3 3 17 30 53 11 2 0 9 20 26 12 1 3 8 10 27 -23 12
18 Shonan Bellmare 21 2 3 16 15 35 10 1 2 7 4 12 11 1 1 9 11 23 -20 9