J-League preview: Can Cerezo Osaka edge out victory against Sagan Tosu?

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 10.September
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)

Cerezo Osaka have played really well this season, being 6th place in the table. Sagan Tosu have a view both direction in the table from their 7th spot.

Insights:
  • Cerezo Osaka haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Sagan Tosu have the most clean sheets (12) in J-League

The hosts Cerezo saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Emperor Cup. Thankfully the previous game, versus Sanfrecce Hiroshima, was also a home game. The away team is better rested.

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Cerezo Osaka form and stats

6-4-4 (win-draw-lost) are the J-League numbers at home for Cerezo Osaka so far this season.

Cerezo Osaka's previous game was also a home event, the loss 1-2 against Sanfrecce Hiroshima (in Emperor Cup).

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Consadole Sapporo (1-2).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Cerezo Osaka handle that role? We have found 12 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats.

Scoring bonanza? Nobody knows the future, but we do know that 8 of the 10 latest league games with this club has contained three or more goals.

The manager Kogiku will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Urawa Reds in only four days.

The Cerezo Osaka fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 20 in 14 matches. Cerezo have conceded 17 in these home matches.

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Sagan Tosu form and stats

Playing away, Sagan Tosu, who have the most clean sheets (12) in J-League, have won 4 games, drawn 6 and suffered 4 defeats in the J-League this season.

Two away games in a row for Sagan Tosu, whose manager Kawai could celebrate last time after the win against Gamba Osaka. Attacker Nishikawa got a player rating of 8.33 in the game. "Man of the match" Nishikawa scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Preceding that game, the 0-4 loss visiting Kawasaki Frontale's place.

Sagan Tosu are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 3 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats. From a total of 10 matches.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Sagan have scored 20 goals in 14 league games away. Sagan Tosu have conceded 24 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Cerezo Osaka have put together a sequence of 4 consecutive games without losing (2-2-0) when playing Sagan Tosu.

The most recent registered result involving both these contenders is the Sagan Tosu - Cerezo 1-1 played previously this season.

Top Goalscorers

Sagan TosuY. Kakita
Y. Kakita
6 goals
Cerezo OsakaM. Kato
M. Kato
5 goals
Sagan TosuT. Miyashiro
T. Miyashiro
5 goals

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Sagan Tosu missing players

Cerezo Osaka Sagan Tosu
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 14 4 Played P 5 14 28
11 6 1 Won W 1 4 9
8 4 2 Drew D 3 6 13
7 4 1 Lost L 1 4 6
40 20 5 Scored S 8 20 40
31 17 4 Conceded C 9 24 33
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 60% 79% 79%
81% 86% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 71% 68%
58% 57% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 64% 46%
27% 21% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 50% 36%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 21% 18%
58% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 40% 50% 43%
23% 21% 25% Clean Sheets C S 40% 36% 43%
23% 29% 25% Failed to Score F T 60% 36% 36%
 
4.9 5.7 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 6.4 5.2 4.6
4.4 3.8 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4 3.6 3.6
0.8 0.7 0.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.2 1.1
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.2 13.2 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7.8 8.4 9.9
4.8 5 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.6 3.4 3.5
32% 29% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 62% 43% 40%
 
11.7 9.6 9.5 Shots against (avg) S A 12.8 11.3 10.4
4.4 3.9 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.4 5 4
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Cerezo Osaka haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sagan Tosu have the most clean sheets (12) in J-League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Yokohama F. Marinos 26 15 7 4 56 29 12 10 2 0 28 6 14 5 5 4 28 23 27 52
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 28 14 8 6 45 28 15 9 3 3 26 12 13 5 5 3 19 16 17 50
3 Kawasaki Frontale 26 15 4 7 45 30 13 10 1 2 26 14 13 5 3 5 19 16 15 49
4 Kashima Antlers 28 12 9 7 41 36 15 7 5 3 25 21 13 5 4 4 16 15 5 45
5 Kashiwa Reysol 28 13 5 10 39 35 14 6 1 7 20 22 14 7 4 3 19 13 4 44
6 Cerezo Osaka 26 11 8 7 40 31 14 6 4 4 20 17 12 5 4 3 20 14 9 41
7 Sagan Tosu 28 9 13 6 40 33 14 5 7 2 20 9 14 4 6 4 20 24 7 40
8 Tokyo 26 11 6 9 35 34 13 6 5 2 19 10 13 5 1 7 16 24 1 39
9 Urawa Reds 26 8 12 6 38 26 12 5 6 1 24 12 14 3 6 5 14 14 12 36
10 Nagoya Grampus 27 9 9 9 25 28 13 6 4 3 14 11 14 3 5 6 11 17 -3 36
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 28 7 10 11 35 41 14 2 6 6 18 26 14 5 4 5 17 15 -6 31
12 Consadole Sapporo 27 7 10 10 29 45 13 4 6 3 12 16 14 3 4 7 17 29 -16 31
13 Kyoto Sanga 26 7 8 11 25 29 13 5 3 5 13 13 13 2 5 6 12 16 -4 29
14 Shonan Bellmare 27 7 8 12 22 35 15 4 5 6 12 22 12 3 3 6 10 13 -13 29
15 Avispa Fukuoka 28 6 10 12 21 31 14 3 6 5 12 14 14 3 4 7 9 17 -10 28
16 Gamba Osaka 28 7 7 14 28 42 14 3 4 7 16 21 14 4 3 7 12 21 -14 28
17 Vissel Kobe 26 6 6 14 23 34 11 3 2 6 11 11 15 3 4 8 12 23 -11 24
18 Jubilo Iwata 27 5 8 14 25 45 14 4 4 6 16 23 13 1 4 8 9 22 -20 23