J-League preview: Can Albirex Niigata edge out victory against Sagan Tosu?

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 21.Oct
Match begins: 04:00 (UTC)
Venue: Denka Big Swan Stadium (41684 seats)

Albirex Niigata are prepared for a new task after their 3-2 versus Kawasaki Frontale previously. Sagan Tosu are coming to play!

Insights:
  • Albirex Niigata have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in J-League
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1100 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

W W D D D

Albirex Niigata form and stats

5 victories, 4 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Albirex Niigata have to build on here at Denka Big Swan Stadium in the J-League.

Albirex are returning here after visiting Kawasaki Frontale and winning with a 3-2 scoreline. Arai, Suzuki and Ota scored the goal(s). Manager Matsuhashi felt very clever after Ota scored the winning goal against Kawasaki Frontale, having brought on that player as a substitute in the 73rd minute. Defender Arai got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.44/10. Arai scored one goal and won 4 of 8 duels.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Yokohama in a game that was won 3-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Albirex Niigata handle that role? We have found 14 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 9 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

Low on goals? Looking at this team's last 12 league games, 9 have seen zero, one or two goals.

Albirex Niigata has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Albirex defense is not exactly impregnable. 21 goals conceded from 14 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

W L D L D

Sagan Tosu form and stats

As the visiting team in J-League matches, Sagan Tosu have produced an overall stat of 4-4-6 so far.

Hwang, Harada and Ono scored in Sagan Tosu's previous match, the home game against Kyoto Sanga that ended 3-2. Hooray; their first three points in the league after eight games not winning. The end of the last match, against Kyoto Sanga, was very satisfying as Hwang scored the winning goal deep into overtime. Attacker Ono got a player rating of 7.83 in the game. "Man of the match" Ono scored one goal and hit two key passes.

Preceding that game, the 2-3 loss visiting Tokyo's place.

We have checked recent matches where Sagan Tosu have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 1 victory, 5 draws and 4 defeats.

Sports betting statistic: Both sides have scored goal(s) in 9 of this club's last 11 league fixtures.

Sagan has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 21 goals from 14 games. 17 goals have been conceded by Sagan Tosu in these games.

Head 2 Head

The fixture history shows this score when the teams played each other previously this campaign; Sagan Tosu - Albirex 2-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - one - four (Albirex Niigata wins - draws - Sagan Tosu wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Sagan TosuY. Naganuma
Y. Naganuma
9 goals
Sagan TosuY. Ono
Y. Ono
7 goals
AlbirexS. Ota
S. Ota
5 goals

Albirex Niigata missing players

Sagan Tosu missing players

Albirex Niigata Sagan Tosu
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 14 2 Played P 4 14 29
9 5 2 Won W 0 4 9
9 4 0 Drew D 1 4 8
11 5 0 Lost L 3 6 12
33 19 4 Scored S 3 21 38
39 21 2 Conceded C 6 17 39
90% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 93% 97%
69% 79% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 79% 76%
48% 57% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 45%
34% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 21% 24%
7% 7% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 21% 17%
55% 64% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 64% 62%
24% 21% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 21% 21%
31% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 21% 21%
 
4.7 5.1 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.7 5
4.6 4.2 7 Corners against (avg) C A 2.8 4.9 4.9
1.2 0.8 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.5 1.3
2 1 0 Red cards R C 2 2 2
 
12.8 14.7 10.5 Shots (avg) S ( 8 9.1 9.9
4.4 5.3 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 3.4 3.3
26% 26% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 45% 40%
 
11.6 11.4 8 Shots against (avg) S A 17 16.5 15.9
4 3.4 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.2 5.6 5.8
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Albirex Niigata have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Albirex Niigata have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in J-League
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Vissel Kobe 29 17 7 5 51 25 15 9 4 2 26 12 14 8 3 3 25 13 26 58
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 29 16 6 7 52 36 14 9 3 2 30 14 15 7 3 5 22 22 16 54
3 Urawa Reds 29 13 11 5 35 22 14 7 6 1 20 10 15 6 5 4 15 12 13 50
4 Kashima Antlers 29 13 8 8 39 26 14 7 3 4 20 13 15 6 5 4 19 13 13 47
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29 14 5 10 36 27 15 9 3 3 23 13 14 5 2 7 13 14 9 47
6 Nagoya Grampus 29 13 8 8 36 30 15 8 7 0 21 11 14 5 1 8 15 19 6 47
7 Cerezo Osaka 29 14 3 12 38 30 15 8 1 6 21 15 14 6 2 6 17 15 8 45
8 Avispa Fukuoka 29 13 6 10 30 31 15 8 3 4 15 13 14 5 3 6 15 18 -1 45
9 Kawasaki Frontale 29 11 6 12 39 39 14 5 4 5 19 16 15 6 2 7 20 23 0 39
10 Tokyo 29 11 6 12 39 40 15 9 2 4 29 19 14 2 4 8 10 21 -1 39
11 Albirex Niigata 29 9 9 11 33 39 14 5 4 5 19 21 15 4 5 6 14 18 -6 36
12 Sagan Tosu 29 9 8 12 38 39 15 5 4 6 17 22 14 4 4 6 21 17 -1 35
13 Gamba Osaka 29 9 7 13 37 53 14 6 4 4 21 18 15 3 3 9 16 35 -16 34
14 Consadole Sapporo 29 8 9 12 50 53 14 4 2 8 23 23 15 4 7 4 27 30 -3 33
15 Kyoto Sanga 29 10 3 16 33 39 14 7 0 7 16 16 15 3 3 9 17 23 -6 33
16 Kashiwa Reysol 29 6 11 12 28 40 15 2 8 5 15 22 14 4 3 7 13 18 -12 29
17 Shonan Bellmare 29 5 9 15 35 53 14 2 4 8 15 28 15 3 5 7 20 25 -18 24
18 Yokohama 29 5 8 16 25 52 15 4 3 8 15 23 14 1 5 8 10 29 -27 23