Home advantage could prove decisive in Prato - Bagnolese battle

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Competition: Italy Serie D: Girone D
Competition: Sun 31.January
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Campo Centrale Ado Nelli (6800 seats)

It's advantage Prato so far with their 6th position in the Serie D: Girone D table, welcoming Bagnolese who are placed 10th.

Insights:
  • Prato has the most dropped points from leading position (10) in Serie D: Girone D
  • Bagnolese have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Serie D: Girone D match only four days ago. That game was an away game at Correggese, so at least Prato are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Prato form and stats

Overall Serie D: Girone D stats at home this season for Prato are 3-2-1 (wins-draw-losses).

The fans are hoping that Prato will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 2-3 away loss in the Serie D: Girone D game against Correggese (placed 5th).

Heartbreak for Prato in their last match as Correggese's L. A. Carrasco scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Prato have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won two times, drawn zero and lost zero.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Prato as they are travelling to their away game against Forlì in the Serie D: Girone D. That match is three days after this one.

Prato are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 6 goals in 6 games. Prato are not conceding a lot of goals here at Campo Centrale Ado Nelli in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 4 from 6 matches.

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Bagnolese form and stats

There's been little loot from Bagnolese's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 6 away games in the Serie D: Girone D. Bagnolese only have 1 win to counter their 3 defeats and 2 draws.

Before that, Bagnolese secured a home win against Correggese with the score 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Bagnolese have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were one victory, one draw and zero defeats.

Bagnolese has another fixture away, a Serie D: Girone D game, against Marignanese in just three days. A tough schedule for the visitors!

Bagnolese are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 6 away goals from 6 games (in the league). 8 goals have been conceded by Bagnolese in these games.

Head 2 Head

Prato missing players

Bagnolese missing players

Prato Bagnolese
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
13 6 3 Played P 3 6 13
6 3 1 Won W 0 1 5
4 2 2 Drew D 1 2 3
3 1 0 Lost L 2 3 5
22 6 4 Scored S 2 6 18
12 4 3 Conceded C 4 8 15
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
77% 50% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 83% 77%
46% 17% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 50% 46%
23% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 23%
15% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
62% 50% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 83% 69%
31% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 15%
8% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 17% 15%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1 1.2 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.2 2.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
10.5 10.6 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 1.7 4.7 5.6
4.5 5 8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0.3 1.8 2
28% 16% 12% Goal Efficiency G E 100% 45% 50%
Key stats in Serie D: Girone D this season:
  • Bagnolese have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Bagnolese have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Bagnolese haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Prato has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (6) in Serie D: Girone D
  • Prato has the most dropped points from leading position (10) in Serie D: Girone D
  • Prato haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Aglianese 13 9 3 1 26 15 7 5 2 0 13 4 6 4 1 1 13 11 11 30
2 Fiorenzuola 13 8 2 3 26 11 7 5 1 1 16 6 6 3 1 2 10 5 15 26
3 Pro Livorno 13 8 1 4 29 20 6 4 0 2 14 6 7 4 1 2 15 14 9 25
4 Lentigione 13 6 6 1 21 13 6 2 4 0 12 7 7 4 2 1 9 6 8 24
5 Correggese 12 7 2 3 23 19 6 6 0 0 17 7 6 1 2 3 6 12 4 23
6 Prato 13 6 4 3 22 12 6 3 2 1 6 4 7 3 2 2 16 8 10 22
7 Mezzolara 13 6 4 3 18 14 6 2 3 1 11 9 7 4 1 2 7 5 4 22
8 Progresso 13 5 5 3 21 20 7 3 2 2 10 11 6 2 3 1 11 9 1 20
9 Rimini 12 5 4 3 20 13 5 3 1 1 10 4 7 2 3 2 10 9 7 19
10 Bagnolese 13 5 3 5 18 15 7 4 1 2 12 7 6 1 2 3 6 8 3 18
11 Real Forte Querceta 12 4 4 4 13 14 6 2 2 2 4 4 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 16
12 Forlì 11 5 1 5 11 15 5 3 0 2 7 8 6 2 1 3 4 7 -4 16
13 Sammaurese 12 3 3 6 15 19 7 2 2 3 8 10 5 1 1 3 7 9 -4 12
14 Seravezza 13 3 2 8 15 18 7 2 0 5 9 11 6 1 2 3 6 7 -3 11
15 Marignanese 13 2 5 6 14 22 7 0 4 3 6 13 6 2 1 3 8 9 -8 11
16 Sasso Marconi Zola 13 2 2 9 11 25 6 1 2 3 6 12 7 1 0 6 5 13 -14 8
17 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 13 0 5 8 12 25 6 0 2 4 5 11 7 0 3 4 7 14 -13 5
18 Corticella 13 1 2 10 9 34 7 1 1 5 7 17 6 0 1 5 2 17 -25 5

Read more about Serie D: Girone D

Serie D is the fourth level of football in Italy and the highest non-professional level. It is divided into nine regional divisions, often referred to as Girone (or group) A to I. The first-placed team from each division is promoted to Serie C each year. Each division usually holds 18 teams.