Can Aglianese beat Athletic Carpi in Stadio Comunale Germano Bellucci clash?

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Competition: Italy Serie D: Girone D
Competition: Wed 19.January
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Comunale Germano Bellucci (2582 seats)

Most experts are most impressed by Aglianese so far, with the 5th spot in the Serie D: Girone D table and hosting Athletic Carpi (who are placed 8th).

Insights:
  • Aglianese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Athletic Carpi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Aglianese form and stats

The story so far in the Serie D: Girone D for Aglianese at their home stadium (Stadio Comunale Germano Bellucci) is 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

The spoils were shared in Aglianese's previous game, also at home. Visiting Athletic Carpi (placed 8th) travelled back with a draw after a 2-2 scoreline.

Heartbreak before that as Aglianese lost 0-3 at Lentigione's place.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Aglianese have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won eight times, drawn three and lost zero.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Serie D: Girone D game versus Forli in only four days. This game is also played here at Stadio Comunale Germano Bellucci.

The Aglianese fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 16 goals in 9 league matches. On the other hand, Aglianese have conceded 10 goals.

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Athletic Carpi form and stats

There's been little loot from Athletic Carpi's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 9 away games in the Serie D: Girone D. Athletic Carpi only have 1 win to counter their 2 defeats and 6 draws. Athletic Carpi have had a generous will to share for some time now, running a streak of three draws in a row.

Carpi has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Aglianese for a Serie D: Girone D game that ended a draw (2-2).

Preceding that match was the 2-2 draw at home vs Lentigione.

We have checked recent matches where Athletic Carpi have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were zero victories, one draw and one defeat.

A quick return to home after this game, as Athletic Carpi are hosting Sasso Marconi in the Serie D: Girone D only four days away.

Carpi has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 15 goals from 9 games. Athletic Carpi struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 17 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The duelists have met previously this season: Aglianese - Athletic Carpi 2-2.

Aglianese missing players

Athletic Carpi missing players

Aglianese Athletic Carpi
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 9 5 Played P 1 9 18
7 5 3 Won W 0 1 5
7 2 1 Drew D 0 6 10
4 2 1 Lost L 1 2 3
25 16 8 Scored S 0 15 30
24 10 5 Conceded C 4 17 28
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 83%
89% 89% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 89% 72%
50% 67% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 78% 61%
22% 33% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 67% 50%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 22%
67% 56% 60% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 56%
22% 33% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 33%
11% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 22% 28%
 
4.1 4.2 4 Corners for (avg) C F 7 5 5.1
4.6 5.1 6.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4 4.7 4.4
2.1 1.6 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.8 2.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10 10.8 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 5 9.7 9.9
3.8 3.9 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 4.5 4.2
38% 45% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 30% 34%
 
7.4 7.5 8.8 Shots against (avg) S A 6 9 9.4
3.5 3.1 4.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 5.3 4.8
Key stats in Serie D: Girone D this season:
  • Aglianese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Aglianese haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Athletic Carpi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rimini 17 13 3 1 38 8 9 8 1 0 27 2 8 5 2 1 11 6 30 42
2 Lentigione 17 12 3 2 32 11 9 7 1 1 17 3 8 5 2 1 15 8 21 39
3 Ravenna 18 11 4 3 43 21 8 7 1 0 23 7 10 4 3 3 20 14 22 37
4 Mezzolara 18 9 4 5 24 17 9 4 2 3 14 10 9 5 2 2 10 7 7 31
5 Aglianese 18 7 7 4 25 24 9 5 2 2 16 10 9 2 5 2 9 14 1 28
6 Sammaurese 18 8 4 6 27 29 9 5 1 3 13 9 9 3 3 3 14 20 -2 28
7 Correggese 18 7 6 5 23 20 9 4 4 1 14 10 9 3 2 4 9 10 3 27
8 Athletic Carpi 18 5 10 3 30 28 9 4 4 1 15 11 9 1 6 2 15 17 2 25
9 Seravezza 17 5 6 6 20 21 9 3 3 3 13 11 8 2 3 3 7 10 -1 21
10 Real Forte Querceta 18 5 6 7 19 22 9 0 5 4 9 16 9 5 1 3 10 6 -3 21
11 Alcione 18 6 3 9 17 22 9 4 0 5 10 11 9 2 3 4 7 11 -5 21
12 Sasso Marconi 18 5 5 8 21 29 9 3 3 3 9 12 9 2 2 5 12 17 -8 20
13 Prato 18 6 2 10 20 33 9 4 1 4 10 13 9 2 1 6 10 20 -13 20
14 Bagnolese 18 5 4 9 16 21 9 4 3 2 12 10 9 1 1 7 4 11 -5 19
15 Cavenago Fanfulla 16 5 3 8 22 23 7 1 1 5 9 13 9 4 2 3 13 10 -1 18
16 Forli 16 5 3 8 15 21 9 4 2 3 10 9 7 1 1 5 5 12 -6 18
17 Progresso 18 3 7 8 15 23 9 3 4 2 8 6 9 0 3 6 7 17 -8 16
18 Tritium 18 3 7 8 20 34 9 3 4 2 14 14 9 0 3 6 6 20 -14 16
19 Borgo San Donnino 17 2 8 7 11 20 8 0 5 3 1 8 9 2 3 4 10 12 -9 14
20 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 16 3 5 8 17 28 8 1 3 4 10 16 8 2 2 4 7 12 -11 14

Read more about Serie D: Girone D

Serie D is the fourth level of football in Italy and the highest non-professional level. It is divided into nine regional divisions, often referred to as Girone (or group) A to I. The first-placed team from each division is promoted to Serie C each year. Each division usually holds 18 teams.