Serie C: Girone B preview: Can Lucchese edge out victory against Recanatese?

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Competition: Italy Serie C: Girone B
Competition: Sun 12.February
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Porta Elisa (7386 seats)

In total; 26 matches have been played and Lucchese are 10 points on top of Recanatese. Who will win?

Insights:
  • Lucchese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Recanatese have won significantly less corners away then at home.

This could be an action-packed fixture with lots of fun and excitement as both teams are well renewed since they last played a game. Get ready!

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Lucchese form and stats

When playing at home in the Serie C: Girone B, Lucchese have managed 5 wins, 3 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 12 games. The last three games played by Lucchese, regardless of arena, have all ended draws.

An away draw last time out for Lucchese, facing Sassari Torres in a game that ended 1-1.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus San Donato Tavarnelle that ended 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Lucchese have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 5 and lost 2.

Low on goals? Looking at this club's last 14 league matches, 13 have produced less than three goals (under 2.5).

From these home matches, Lucchese have conceded only 11 goals.

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Recanatese form and stats

The visitors are W3-D6-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Serie C: Girone B. Two points from the last two away games for Recanatese, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Recanatese's last game was the home draw against Imolese (0-0).

A 0-3 loss hosting Cesena before that.

We have checked recent matches where Recanatese have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Recanatese as they have only managed to score 10 times from 13 away games in the league. Recanatese have conceded 15 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these parties face each other this campaign, as the fixture list show this recent fixture: Recanatese - Lucchese 0-0.

Top Goalscorers

RecanateseA. Sbaffo
A. Sbaffo
9 goals
LuccheseA. Mastalli
A. Mastalli
4 goals
LuccheseA. Bianchimano
A. Bianchimano
4 goals

Lucchese missing players

Recanatese missing players

Lucchese Recanatese
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
26 12 4 Played P 3 13 26
9 5 2 Won W 0 3 5
9 3 1 Drew D 2 6 11
8 4 1 Lost L 1 4 10
24 12 5 Scored S 2 10 19
21 11 3 Conceded C 4 15 30
85% 83% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 77% 77%
54% 50% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 62% 58%
23% 33% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 31% 31%
8% 17% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 23% 15%
4% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
42% 42% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 46% 42%
38% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 38% 31%
35% 42% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 38% 50%
 
3.6 4.9 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.4 4.5
5 4.2 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.9 5.1
2.7 3 3.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.2 2.2
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
9 10.3 14.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9 8.4 9
3.6 3.8 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.3 3.5 3.7
26% 26% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 15% 24% 20%
 
10.3 10.2 11.5 Shots against (avg) S A 8.7 8.8 8.3
3.3 3.2 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.3 3.5 3.4
Key stats in Serie C: Girone B this season:
  • Lucchese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lucchese have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Recanatese have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Reggiana 26 18 4 4 43 16 12 9 2 1 24 5 14 9 2 3 19 11 27 58
2 Cesena 26 16 6 4 42 15 13 8 3 2 26 10 13 8 3 2 16 5 27 54
3 Virtus Entella 27 15 8 4 40 23 14 7 5 2 20 11 13 8 3 2 20 12 17 53
4 Ancona 26 14 6 6 41 23 13 8 3 2 23 9 13 6 3 4 18 14 18 48
5 Gubbio 26 13 4 9 33 22 13 6 1 6 16 13 13 7 3 3 17 9 11 43
6 Pontedera 25 11 8 6 30 29 13 7 4 2 17 14 12 4 4 4 13 15 1 41
7 Robur Siena 26 10 9 7 26 24 13 4 7 2 11 7 13 6 2 5 15 17 2 39
8 Carrarese 26 12 3 11 33 33 14 8 2 4 19 11 12 4 1 7 14 22 0 39
9 Rimini 26 10 6 10 33 26 13 5 3 5 22 15 13 5 3 5 11 11 7 36
10 Lucchese 26 9 9 8 24 21 12 5 3 4 12 11 14 4 6 4 12 10 3 36
11 Fiorenzuola 26 11 2 13 25 26 14 6 1 7 14 12 12 5 1 6 11 14 -1 35
12 Fermana 26 7 11 8 31 32 13 4 6 3 12 11 13 3 5 5 19 21 -1 32
13 Sassari Torres 26 6 11 9 21 22 13 2 6 5 10 13 13 4 5 4 11 9 -1 29
14 Vis Pesaro 25 6 9 10 18 34 12 4 2 6 8 16 13 2 7 4 10 18 -16 27
15 Recanatese 26 5 11 10 19 30 13 2 5 6 9 15 13 3 6 4 10 15 -11 26
16 San Donato Tavarnelle 26 5 10 11 25 36 13 1 6 6 10 18 13 4 4 5 15 18 -11 25
17 Olbia 27 4 12 11 26 38 14 2 6 6 15 22 13 2 6 5 11 16 -12 24
18 Alessandria 26 6 6 14 21 38 12 3 3 6 12 16 14 3 3 8 9 22 -17 24
19 Imolese 26 5 5 16 13 38 13 3 1 9 7 19 13 2 4 7 6 19 -25 20
20 Montevarchi 26 4 6 16 22 40 13 2 4 7 12 19 13 2 2 9 10 21 -18 18

Read more about Serie C: Girone B

Serie C is the third highest level in the Italian football league. It is divided into three geographical divisions; North East, North West and South. These are often referred to as Girone (or group) A, B, C. Each group holds 20 teams who play 38 fixtures each to create a final league table.