Soccer match preview: Home crowd has high hopes when Cesena welcomes Carpi

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Competition: Italy Serie C: Girone B
Competition: Mon 22.February
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi (20194 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Cesena in 7th and Carpi in 12th place.

Insights:
  • Carpi have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Cesena and Carpi should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artifical turf and that the visiting Carpi have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artifical turf is 1-0-2 (win-draw-loss) from three matches.

W L L W D

Cesena form and stats

3-3-4 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie C: Girone B numbers at home for Cesena so far this season.

Prior to that, an away loss at Triestina.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of W. Viali when S. Russini scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 60th minute. A late climax in the match against Fano as the winning goal came four minutes into overtime; scored by S. Russini.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Cesena's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played one game, won zero matches, drawn zero and lost one.

Cesena are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 13 goals in 10 games. 13 goals have been conceded.

D D L L L

Carpi form and stats

There's been little loot from Carpi's travels as they have only collected 8 points from 12 away games in the Serie C: Girone B. Carpi only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 2 draws.

Before that, Carpi travelled to Arezzo and returned home with a draw after the game finished 3-3.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Carpi playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

The attacking power of Carpi when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 12 league matches away. The opposition has been scoring high and low on Carpi's goalkeeper in away games this season, as they have let in 30 goals in 12 travels.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Carpi - Cesena 2-0 played earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last nine meetings: four - one - four (Cesena wins - draws - Carpi wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Cesena missing players

Carpi missing players

Cesena Carpi
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 10 2 Played P 3 12 25
11 3 1 Won W 1 2 7
5 3 0 Drew D 0 2 8
6 4 1 Lost L 2 8 10
34 13 4 Scored S 3 11 30
24 13 5 Conceded C 7 30 42
91% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 80%
86% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 72%
55% 50% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 75% 60%
23% 30% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 42% 36%
5% 10% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 33% 24%
50% 40% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 44%
36% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 36%
23% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 42% 40%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.3 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.3 2.2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 3 6
 
9.6 11.9 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 8 8.6 7.4
4.6 5.6 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 4 3.4
34% 23% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 23% 36%
Key stats in Serie C: Girone B this season:
  • Carpi have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Carpi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Calcio Padova 25 16 5 4 52 17 13 8 3 2 26 8 12 8 2 2 26 9 35 53
2 Sudtirol 25 13 9 3 39 19 12 7 3 2 19 10 13 6 6 1 20 9 20 48
3 Perugia 23 13 7 3 42 22 13 9 3 1 31 12 10 4 4 2 11 10 20 46
4 Modena 24 13 5 6 28 12 12 7 2 3 19 8 12 6 3 3 9 4 16 44
5 Triestina 25 12 6 7 33 26 12 8 1 3 19 11 13 4 5 4 14 15 7 42
6 Virtus Verona 25 9 13 3 30 20 12 3 9 0 14 8 13 6 4 3 16 12 10 40
7 Cesena 22 11 5 6 34 24 10 3 3 4 13 13 12 8 2 2 21 11 10 38
8 Sambenedettese 25 10 8 7 34 28 13 5 4 4 20 16 12 5 4 3 14 12 6 38
9 FeralpiSalo 23 11 5 7 35 32 11 7 1 3 18 12 12 4 4 4 17 20 3 38
10 Mantova 24 9 6 9 33 36 13 5 4 4 18 19 11 4 2 5 15 17 -3 33
11 Matelica Calcio 24 9 5 10 36 46 11 5 4 2 20 18 13 4 1 8 16 28 -10 32
12 Carpi 25 7 8 10 30 42 13 5 6 2 19 12 12 2 2 8 11 30 -12 29
13 Gubbio 24 6 9 9 24 30 12 2 5 5 10 16 12 4 4 4 14 14 -6 27
14 Fermana 24 6 9 9 18 24 12 5 4 3 11 8 12 1 5 6 7 16 -6 27
15 Imolese 24 7 4 13 27 32 12 3 3 6 12 15 12 4 1 7 15 17 -5 25
16 Vis Pesaro 25 6 5 14 25 40 12 5 3 4 13 15 13 1 2 10 12 25 -15 23
17 Legnago Salus 25 4 10 11 18 30 12 4 2 6 10 12 13 0 8 5 8 18 -12 22
18 Fano 24 3 12 9 21 28 13 2 5 6 14 16 11 1 7 3 7 12 -7 21
19 Ravenna 25 4 6 15 23 45 12 4 4 4 13 15 13 0 2 11 10 30 -22 18
20 Arezzo 25 1 9 15 22 51 13 0 4 9 11 30 12 1 5 6 11 21 -29 12

Read more about Serie C: Girone B

Serie C is the third highest level in the Italian football league. It is divided into three geographical divisions; North East, North West and South. These are often referred to as Girone (or group) A, B, C. Each group holds 20 teams who play 38 fixtures each to create a final league table.