Home advantage could prove decisive in Carrarese - Vis Pesaro battle

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Competition: Italy Serie C: Girone B
Competition: Sat 17.December
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio dei Marmi (10630 seats)

In total; 18 fixtures are done and Carrarese are 13 points ahead of Vis Pesaro. Who will win?

Insights:
  • Carrarese have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Vis Pesaro have the fewest scored goals (9) in Serie C: Girone B

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

L L W D W

Carrarese form and stats

19 points is a decent return from 9 Serie C: Girone B games here at Stadio dei Marmi for Carrarese. The data says 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

In their previous game, the manager Canto led his Carrarese to a defeat away at Lucchese. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Stadio dei Marmi.

Ahead of that match, Carrarese lost 0-1 at home to Sassari Torres.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Carrarese have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won 9 times, drawn 1 and lost 7.

Trench warfare? In this club's last 11 league games, 9 have contained zero, one or two goals.

Carrarese are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 13 goals in 9 games. From these home matches, Carrarese have conceded only 6 goals.

L D L L D

Vis Pesaro form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Vis Pesaro so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 1-5-3 (win-draw-lose).

Home advantage was not enough for Vis Pesaro in their previous game as they lost hosting Cesena, 1-2.

A 0-0 draw at Imolese's stadium before that.

Vis Pesaro are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats. From a total of 16 matches.

Observe: 9 of the last 12 league matches featuring this club have seen only one (or no) side scoring (Both Teams to Score NO in sports betting words).

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Pesaro as they have only managed to score 5 times from 9 away games in the league. 13 goals have been conceded by Vis Pesaro in these games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last two games between these two teams, there's one Carrarese victory, one draw and zero Vis Pesaro wins. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, one match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

CarrareseA. Capello
A. Capello
7 goals
Vis PesaroF. Fedato
F. Fedato
7 goals
CarrareseN. Giannetti
N. Giannetti
4 goals

Carrarese missing players

Vis Pesaro missing players

Carrarese Vis Pesaro
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
18 9 2 Played P 2 9 18
9 6 2 Won W 0 1 3
2 1 0 Drew D 1 5 7
7 2 0 Lost L 1 3 8
23 13 4 Scored S 2 5 9
19 6 1 Conceded C 7 13 26
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 67% 78%
72% 67% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 56% 56%
44% 22% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 44% 39%
17% 22% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 22% 17%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 11% 6%
50% 33% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 33% 28%
33% 44% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 44% 39%
22% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 56% 56%
 
5.4 5.1 4.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 4.6 4.7
3.8 4.7 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.3 4.9
2.8 2.8 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.8 3.3
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
8.8 7 10 Shots (avg) S ( 12 8.6 8.3
3.2 2.6 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.5 3.2 3.3
40% 57% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 17% 15%
 
8.1 7 5.5 Shots against (avg) S A 13 11.4 10.9
3.1 2.3 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4 4.2
Key stats in Serie C: Girone B this season:
  • Carrarese have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Carrarese have scored more than double the goals of Vis Pesaro.
  • Carrarese haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Vis Pesaro have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Vis Pesaro have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Vis Pesaro have the fewest scored goals (9) in Serie C: Girone B

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Reggiana 18 11 4 3 26 11 9 6 2 1 15 3 9 5 2 2 11 8 15 37
2 Gubbio 18 11 3 4 27 12 9 5 1 3 13 7 9 6 2 1 14 5 15 36
3 Cesena 18 10 4 4 25 12 9 5 2 2 17 8 9 5 2 2 8 4 13 34
4 Pontedera 18 9 6 3 22 17 9 5 3 1 10 7 9 4 3 2 12 10 5 33
5 Virtus Entella 18 9 6 3 21 16 9 4 4 1 9 7 9 5 2 2 12 9 5 33
6 Fiorenzuola 18 10 2 6 20 11 9 6 1 2 12 3 9 4 1 4 8 8 9 32
7 Carrarese 18 9 2 7 23 19 9 6 1 2 13 6 9 3 1 5 10 13 4 29
8 Lucchese 18 8 4 6 19 16 9 5 2 2 12 9 9 3 2 4 7 7 3 28
9 Ancona 18 8 4 6 27 20 9 5 2 2 13 7 9 3 2 4 14 13 7 28
10 Rimini 18 8 4 6 27 16 9 5 2 2 19 7 9 3 2 4 8 9 11 28
11 Siena 18 7 6 5 19 12 9 3 4 2 8 5 9 4 2 3 11 7 7 27
12 Sassari Torres 18 4 9 5 14 14 9 2 4 3 8 9 9 2 5 2 6 5 0 21
13 Fermana 18 3 8 7 17 23 9 2 4 3 6 8 9 1 4 4 11 15 -6 17
14 Imolese 18 4 4 10 10 28 9 3 1 5 6 13 9 1 3 5 4 15 -18 16
15 Vis Pesaro 18 3 7 8 9 26 9 2 2 5 4 13 9 1 5 3 5 13 -17 16
16 Recanatese 18 3 7 8 12 19 9 1 3 5 4 9 9 2 4 3 8 10 -7 16
17 Alessandria 18 3 6 9 11 24 9 1 3 5 8 14 9 2 3 4 3 10 -13 15
18 Montevarchi 18 3 5 10 15 28 8 1 4 3 7 11 10 2 1 7 8 17 -13 14
19 Olbia 18 2 8 8 12 22 9 1 3 5 8 14 9 1 5 3 4 8 -10 14
20 San Donato Tavarnelle 18 2 7 9 15 25 10 1 5 4 8 11 8 1 2 5 7 14 -10 13

Read more about Serie C: Girone B

Serie C is the third highest level in the Italian football league. It is divided into three geographical divisions; North East, North West and South. These are often referred to as Girone (or group) A, B, C. Each group holds 20 teams who play 38 fixtures each to create a final league table.