Serie C: Girone A match prediction: Little separates Pistoiese and Novara in quality

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Competition: Italy Serie C: Girone A
Competition: Wed 23.December
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Marcello Melani (13195 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Serie C: Girone A, Pistoiese holding 17th place and Novara lying 15th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

Insights:
  • Pistoiese have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Novara has the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie C: Girone A

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Pistoiese and Novara.

This pitch has grass, which is not Novara's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on grass Novara have performed like this: Played 45 matches resulting in 12 wins, 17 draws and 16 defeats with the goal stats 55-63 (scored/conceded).

L W L W L

Pistoiese form and stats

4 victories, 2 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Pistoiese have to build on here at Stadio Marcello Melani in the Serie C: Girone A. Two home wins in a row for Pistoiese bring valid hopes of a third.

Pistoiese are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-2 away versus Renate. Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Livorno.

This is expected to be a close game, with Pistoiese perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Pistoiese as a small favourite), we find 14 games. Pistoiese has won seven of these, drawn two and lost five.

Pistoiese has scored 10 league goals at home this season, in 8 matches. Pistoiese are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadio Marcello Melani in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 8 matches.

D L D D D

Novara form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Novara, who have the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie C: Girone A, so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-4 (win-draw-lose). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Novara, who have now gone ten games without a victory. The Livorno game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

Novara aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 194 league minutes without a goal. G. Panico was the last player to find the net.

Novara's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Pro Patria that finished 0-0. A 0-2 defeat away at Pergolettese before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Novara playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were one Novara win, seven draws and six defeats.

Novara are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 9 away goals from 8 games (in the league). Novara's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 14 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

As for the last three games between these two teams, there's zero Pistoiese victories, two draws and one Novara win. Over/under statistics; zero of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

NovaraD. Buzzegoli
D. Buzzegoli
4 goals
PistoieseA. Cesarini
A. Cesarini
3 goals
PistoieseN. Gucci
N. Gucci
2 goals

Pistoiese missing players

Novara missing players

Pistoiese Novara
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
16 8 4 Played P 2 8 16
4 4 3 Won W 1 2 4
3 2 0 Drew D 1 2 6
9 2 1 Lost L 0 4 6
14 10 6 Scored S 6 9 18
21 7 3 Conceded C 5 14 21
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 88%
62% 75% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 75%
38% 38% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 50% 50%
12% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 25% 12%
12% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 100% 25% 12%
50% 62% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 56%
25% 38% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 19%
31% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.9 2 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.9 2.7
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
9.9 11.6 9.8 Shots (avg) S ( 8 7.5 9.5
4.3 5.2 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.1 4.1
20% 24% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 75% 36% 27%
Key stats in Serie C: Girone A this season:
  • Novara has the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie C: Girone A
  • Novara have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Novara haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Pistoiese have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Pistoiese haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Renate 16 11 2 3 28 15 8 6 0 2 15 8 8 5 2 1 13 7 13 35
2 Como 16 9 4 3 25 21 8 3 3 2 7 8 8 6 1 1 18 13 4 31
3 Carrarese 16 8 4 4 18 13 9 4 2 3 10 8 7 4 2 1 8 5 5 28
4 Alessandria 16 8 3 5 24 16 8 5 1 2 15 8 8 3 2 3 9 8 8 27
5 Lecco 16 8 3 5 24 18 8 6 1 1 15 8 8 2 2 4 9 10 6 27
6 Pro Vercelli 16 8 3 5 20 17 8 5 1 2 11 7 8 3 2 3 9 10 3 27
7 Juventus U23 16 7 4 5 23 18 8 4 2 2 13 9 8 3 2 3 10 9 5 25
8 Pontedera 16 7 3 6 15 14 8 3 2 3 6 6 8 4 1 3 9 8 1 24
9 Pro Sesto 16 7 3 6 16 18 8 3 2 3 7 6 8 4 1 3 9 12 -2 24
10 Pro Patria 16 6 5 5 16 12 7 2 3 2 8 6 9 4 2 3 8 6 4 23
11 Grosseto 16 6 4 6 16 15 8 1 2 5 8 12 8 5 2 1 8 3 1 22
12 AlbinoLeffe 16 5 6 5 17 16 8 3 2 3 5 4 8 2 4 2 12 12 1 21
13 Pergolettese 16 5 4 7 24 25 8 3 0 5 9 12 8 2 4 2 15 13 -1 19
14 Livorno 16 4 6 6 20 19 8 2 4 2 13 11 8 2 2 4 7 8 1 18
15 Novara 16 4 6 6 18 21 8 2 4 2 9 7 8 2 2 4 9 14 -3 18
16 Piacenza 16 3 6 7 22 24 8 2 4 2 16 13 8 1 2 5 6 11 -2 15
17 Pistoiese 16 4 3 9 14 21 8 4 2 2 10 7 8 0 1 7 4 14 -7 15
18 Olbia 16 2 9 5 13 22 8 1 4 3 6 10 8 1 5 2 7 12 -9 15
19 Giana Erminio 16 4 2 10 12 25 8 2 2 4 9 10 8 2 0 6 3 15 -13 14
20 Lucchese 16 2 4 10 14 29 8 1 1 6 10 17 8 1 3 4 4 12 -15 10

Read more about Serie C: Girone A

Serie C is the third highest level in the Italian football league. It is divided into three geographical divisions; North East, North West and South. These are often referred to as Girone (or group) A, B, C. Each group holds 20 teams who play 38 fixtures each to create a final league table.