Home advantage could prove decisive in Carrarese - Lucchese battle

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Competition: Italy Serie C: Girone A
Competition: Sun 18.April
Match begins: 18:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio dei Marmi (10630 seats)

Carrarese are welcoming Lucchese for another important game after their 0-3 result against 7th-placed AlbinoLeffe.

Insights:
  • Carrarese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lucchese have the most conceded goals (56) in Serie C: Girone A

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Carrarese form and stats

The story so far in the Serie C: Girone A for Carrarese at their home stadium (Stadio dei Marmi) is 5 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats. It's trouble wherever Carrarese are playing these days as they have suffered five straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Carrarese, their manager S. Baldini and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 450 minutes without scoring a league goal. G. Marilungo was the last player to find the net.

Carrarese faced defeat in their previous match, away at AlbinoLeffe (0-3). Prior to that, an away loss at Olbia.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Carrarese's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played six games, won five matches, drawn one and lost zero.

Carrarese aren't scoring a lot here at Stadio dei Marmi in the league, with only 16 goals from 17 games. Carrarese have conceded 19 in these home matches.

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Lucchese form and stats

There's been little loot from Lucchese's travels as they have only collected 13 points from 17 away games in the Serie C: Girone A. Lucchese, who have the most conceded goals (56) in Serie C: Girone A, only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 7 draws.

There were no winners in Lucchese's previous match, a Serie C: Girone A home game that ended 0-0 vs Livorno (placed 20th). A 1-1 draw at Piacenza's stadium before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Lucchese playing away, we found three games. Results were one away win, zero draws and two home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Lucchese as they have only managed to score 16 times from 17 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Lucchese have conceded 28 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Lucchese - Carrarese 1-1 entered in the official records. Carrarese-Lucchese H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Carrarese five wins, Lucchese two wins, three draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

LuccheseF. Bianchi
F. Bianchi
13 goals
CarrareseS. Infantino
S. Infantino
10 goals
CarrareseG. Marilungo
G. Marilungo
5 goals

Carrarese missing players

Lucchese missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Carrarese Lucchese
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 17 5 Played P 5 17 35
10 5 2 Won W 0 2 5
10 3 1 Drew D 3 7 13
15 9 2 Lost L 2 8 17
31 16 7 Scored S 6 16 34
38 19 6 Conceded C 9 28 56
89% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 89%
66% 65% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 76% 69%
31% 35% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 41% 37%
6% 6% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 18% 20%
3% 6% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 12% 17%
43% 35% 40% BTTS BTTS 80% 53% 51%
29% 29% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 24% 23%
40% 47% 40% Failed to Score F T 20% 35% 37%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.9 2.9 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.4 2.4
7 5 2 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
8.7 10.5 11.6 Shots (avg) S ( 3.5 5.6 6.4
2.9 3.4 2.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 2.3 2.9
30% 28% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 71% 41% 34%
Key stats in Serie C: Girone A this season:
  • Carrarese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lucchese have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Lucchese have the most conceded goals (56) in Serie C: Girone A
  • Lucchese have the most conceded goals in the first half (32) in Serie C: Girone A
  • Lucchese have the the worst goal difference (-22) in Serie C: Girone A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Como 35 20 6 9 50 42 18 11 4 3 25 16 17 9 2 6 25 26 8 66
2 Alessandria 35 19 8 8 46 26 17 11 3 3 29 13 18 8 5 5 17 13 20 65
3 Pro Vercelli 34 17 10 7 45 28 17 9 5 3 24 12 17 8 5 4 21 16 17 61
4 Renate 35 17 7 11 44 35 17 10 3 4 24 14 18 7 4 7 20 21 9 58
5 Lecco 34 15 11 8 45 31 17 10 5 2 29 13 17 5 6 6 16 18 14 56
6 Pro Patria 35 15 11 9 33 25 18 7 6 5 18 16 17 8 5 4 15 9 8 56
7 AlbinoLeffe 35 12 14 9 36 32 18 5 8 5 12 12 17 7 6 4 24 20 4 50
8 Pontedera 35 13 11 11 38 35 17 7 6 4 17 13 18 6 5 7 21 22 3 50
9 Juventus U23 34 13 9 12 47 44 17 7 5 5 30 23 17 6 4 7 17 21 3 48
10 Novara 35 11 12 12 42 39 17 6 8 3 20 12 18 5 4 9 22 27 3 45
11 Grosseto 35 11 12 12 38 40 17 5 5 7 20 22 18 6 7 5 18 18 -2 45
12 Olbia 34 10 14 10 42 40 18 7 5 6 24 19 16 3 9 4 18 21 2 44
13 Pergolettese 35 12 7 16 44 46 18 7 1 10 19 23 17 5 6 6 25 23 -2 43
14 Piacenza 35 10 13 12 41 43 17 5 8 4 23 19 18 5 5 8 18 24 -2 43
15 Carrarese 35 10 10 15 31 38 17 5 3 9 16 19 18 5 7 6 15 19 -7 40
16 Giana Erminio 35 10 9 16 33 44 17 7 4 6 23 20 18 3 5 10 10 24 -11 39
17 Pro Sesto 35 9 12 14 28 43 18 3 8 7 15 20 17 6 4 7 13 23 -15 39
18 Pistoiese 35 8 7 20 25 46 18 7 5 6 17 15 17 1 2 14 8 31 -21 31
19 Lucchese 35 5 13 17 34 56 18 3 6 9 18 28 17 2 7 8 16 28 -22 28
20 Livorno 35 7 12 16 38 47 17 5 6 6 26 22 18 2 6 10 12 25 -9 25

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Como 35 20 6 9 50 42 18 11 4 3 25 16 17 9 2 6 25 26 8 66
2 Alessandria 35 19 8 8 46 26 17 11 3 3 29 13 18 8 5 5 17 13 20 65
3 Pro Vercelli 34 17 10 7 45 28 17 9 5 3 24 12 17 8 5 4 21 16 17 61
4 Renate 35 17 7 11 44 35 17 10 3 4 24 14 18 7 4 7 20 21 9 58
5 Lecco 34 15 11 8 45 31 17 10 5 2 29 13 17 5 6 6 16 18 14 56
6 Pro Patria 35 15 11 9 33 25 18 7 6 5 18 16 17 8 5 4 15 9 8 56
7 AlbinoLeffe 35 12 14 9 36 32 18 5 8 5 12 12 17 7 6 4 24 20 4 50
8 Pontedera 35 13 11 11 38 35 17 7 6 4 17 13 18 6 5 7 21 22 3 50
9 Juventus U23 34 13 9 12 47 44 17 7 5 5 30 23 17 6 4 7 17 21 3 48
10 Novara 35 11 12 12 42 39 17 6 8 3 20 12 18 5 4 9 22 27 3 45
11 Grosseto 35 11 12 12 38 40 17 5 5 7 20 22 18 6 7 5 18 18 -2 45
12 Olbia 34 10 14 10 42 40 18 7 5 6 24 19 16 3 9 4 18 21 2 44
13 Pergolettese 35 12 7 16 44 46 18 7 1 10 19 23 17 5 6 6 25 23 -2 43
14 Piacenza 35 10 13 12 41 43 17 5 8 4 23 19 18 5 5 8 18 24 -2 43
15 Carrarese 35 10 10 15 31 38 17 5 3 9 16 19 18 5 7 6 15 19 -7 40
16 Giana Erminio 35 10 9 16 33 44 17 7 4 6 23 20 18 3 5 10 10 24 -11 39
17 Pro Sesto 35 9 12 14 28 43 18 3 8 7 15 20 17 6 4 7 13 23 -15 39
18 Pistoiese 35 8 7 20 25 46 18 7 5 6 17 15 17 1 2 14 8 31 -21 31
19 Lucchese 35 5 13 17 34 56 18 3 6 9 18 28 17 2 7 8 16 28 -22 28
20 Livorno 35 7 12 16 38 47 17 5 6 6 26 22 18 2 6 10 12 25 -9 25

More from Italy - Serie C: Girone A

Read more about Serie C: Girone A

Serie C is the third highest level in the Italian football league. It is divided into three geographical divisions; North East, North West and South. These are often referred to as Girone (or group) A, B, C. Each group holds 20 teams who play 38 fixtures each to create a final league table.