Serie B prediction and data: Pisa modest favoured to overpower Parma

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Competition: Italy Serie B
Competition: Tue 22.February
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (14869 seats)

Pisa are thought of as favourites to win this home fixture against Parma, if the league table is to be trusted. Or could we be in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • Pisa have the fewest conceded goals (19) in Serie B
  • Parma have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Pisa and Parma.

W D D D D

Pisa form and stats

The story so far in the Serie B for Pisa at their home stadium (Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani) is 6 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat. Two draws in a row at home now for Pisa.

Pisa enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Monza's place. The match ended 2-1 with Pușcaș scoring. Mastinu, who usually features in attack, was the top player for the side in that match, collecting a rating of 7.53 (out of 10). Mastinu hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Vicenza that ended 2-2.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Pisa handle that role? We have found ten games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are five wins, five draws and zero defeats.

Pisa are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 12 games. From these home matches, Pisa have conceded only 9 goals. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Parma form and stats

The visitors are W3-D5-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Serie B.

This match can not go any worse than the previous one, the home loss versus Ternana with 2-3 on the scoreboard. Vázquez, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.42. Vázquez scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 4 of 6 times.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Cremonese wasn't a success with a 1-3 loss.

Parma are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, one draw and three defeats. From a total of five matches.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting SPAL in just four days.

Parma have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 12 league away games 16 goals have been scored. Parma struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 18 goals conceded from these games. Parma has visited these top teams three times, and 2 of 3 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Parma - Pisa 1-1 was the score in these squads' previous h2h fixture, earlier this season. Previous four meetings between these sides: Pisa won two, Parma were winners in one and we saw one draw. one game with over 2,5 goals, three matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

ParmaF. Vázquez
F. Vázquez
8 goals
PisaL. Lucca
L. Lucca
6 goals
ParmaA. Benedyczak
A. Benedyczak
5 goals

Pisa missing players

Parma missing players

Pisa Parma
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 12 4 Played P 3 12 24
12 6 2 Won W 0 3 6
9 5 2 Drew D 1 5 10
3 1 0 Lost L 2 4 8
32 15 6 Scored S 1 16 29
19 9 3 Conceded C 7 18 30
92% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 83% 88%
71% 67% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 83% 71%
29% 25% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 67% 46%
17% 17% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 50% 33%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
54% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 58% 58%
42% 50% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 33% 29%
12% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 25% 25%
 
5.8 5.6 6.5 Corners for (avg) C F 7 4.8 5.2
6 6.1 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 2.7 4.4 5.6
2.6 2.2 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.5 2.4
3 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
13.3 13.6 15.5 Shots (avg) S ( 12.3 10.5 12.3
4.1 3.8 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 3.4 3.6
33% 33% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 39% 33%
 
13 12.6 10.5 Shots against (avg) S A 13 16 14.5
3.4 3.4 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.3 4.8 4.8
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Parma have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Pisa have the fewest conceded goals (19) in Serie B
  • Pisa have the fewest conceded goals (9) at home in Serie B
  • Pisa have the most clean sheets (6) at home in Serie B

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cremonese 24 13 6 5 38 22 12 7 4 1 22 12 12 6 2 4 16 10 16 45
2 Pisa 24 12 9 3 32 19 12 6 5 1 15 9 12 6 4 2 17 10 13 45
3 Lecce 23 11 10 2 37 20 11 7 4 0 24 10 12 4 6 2 13 10 17 43
4 Brescia 23 12 7 4 35 22 11 3 5 3 15 14 12 9 2 1 20 8 13 43
5 Monza 24 11 8 5 36 26 12 9 2 1 25 11 12 2 6 4 11 15 10 41
6 Ascoli 24 11 6 7 35 29 12 3 4 5 12 15 12 8 2 2 23 14 6 39
7 Perugia 24 9 11 4 27 20 12 4 5 3 13 10 12 5 6 1 14 10 7 38
8 Frosinone 23 9 10 4 35 23 12 4 6 2 18 12 11 5 4 2 17 11 12 37
9 Benevento 23 10 7 6 34 23 12 6 3 3 21 13 11 4 4 3 13 10 11 37
10 Cittadella 23 9 8 6 26 24 11 5 3 3 15 11 12 4 5 3 11 13 2 35
11 Reggina 24 9 5 10 22 30 12 5 2 5 12 15 12 4 3 5 10 15 -8 32
12 Como 23 7 10 6 30 28 11 3 5 3 12 10 12 4 5 3 18 18 2 31
13 Ternana 24 8 7 9 35 35 12 5 1 6 17 17 12 3 6 3 18 18 0 31
14 Parma 24 6 10 8 29 30 12 3 5 4 13 12 12 3 5 4 16 18 -1 28
15 SPAL 24 5 9 10 26 36 12 2 5 5 18 20 12 3 4 5 8 16 -10 24
16 Alessandria 24 6 5 13 25 37 12 4 3 5 10 14 12 2 2 8 15 23 -12 23
17 Cosenza 23 4 7 12 18 35 12 4 2 6 11 14 11 0 5 6 7 21 -17 19
18 Crotone 23 2 8 13 22 36 12 2 5 5 13 17 11 0 3 8 9 19 -14 14
19 Vicenza 24 3 5 16 24 43 12 1 4 7 12 20 12 2 1 9 12 23 -19 14
20 Pordenone 24 2 6 16 18 46 12 1 4 7 10 20 12 1 2 9 8 26 -28 12

Read more about Serie B

Serie B is the second highest division in Italian football. It usually has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other. The two top teams of the league table are automatically promoted, with a third following depending on standings and/or a playoff. Matches are usually played on Saturdays.