Serie B prediction and preview: Lecce modest favorites to beat Brescia

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Competition: Italy Serie B
Competition: Tue 09.February
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (33876 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Lecce are in the 8th position while the guesting Brescia worry at 14th.

Insights:
  • Lecce has the most scored goals (21) at home in Serie B
  • Brescia has the fewest clean sheets (1) in Serie B

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Lecce and Brescia.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Brescia, who are travelling more than 1000 kilometers to play this game.

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Lecce form and stats

3-6-2 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie B numbers at home for Lecce, who have the most scored goals (21) at home in Serie B, so far this season.

The Lecce crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Ascoli here at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare in a Serie B match. 1-1 away at Pordenone before that.

The penalty miss from Marco Mancosu in the defeat against Ascoli was a source of irritation for some fans, but these things happen.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Lecce matches with similar probabilities have ended with three wins, one draw and one defeat (from five games).

There will be little rest for Lecce after this match as they are travelling to Cremonese for a Serie B game in only four days.

Lecce have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare with 21 goals in 11 league matches. Lecce's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 16 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Brescia form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Brescia, who have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Serie B, so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 2-3-5 (win-draw-lose). With two straight losses from their last two away games, Brescia are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Brescia delivered a 3-3 draw playing at home against Cittadella (placed 5th) in their previous match; a Serie B game. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Ascoli wasn't a success with a 1-2 loss.

Drawing 3-3 against Cittadella after 90 minutes last time out was very disappointing after leading the match 3-0. Their manager D. Dionigi needs to evaluate why the team couldn't defend their result. A crazy, crazy match with lots of goals last time out for Brescia, as mentioned above. 6 goals in that one, will this match be as much fun?

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Brescia playing away, we found two games. Results were one away win, one draw and zero home wins.

Brescia have scored 11 goals on their travels this season, from 10 away games in the league. As for defending, Brescia rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 16 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Brescia - Lecce 3-0. Lecce-Brescia H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Lecce three wins, Brescia four wins, three draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

LecceM. Coda
M. Coda
11 goals
LecceM. Mancosu
M. Mancosu
7 goals
LecceM. Stępiński
M. Stępiński
6 goals

Lecce missing players

Brescia missing players

Lecce Brescia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
21 11 3 Played P 3 10 21
7 3 2 Won W 0 2 5
10 6 0 Drew D 2 3 7
4 2 1 Lost L 1 5 9
36 21 11 Scored S 3 11 30
27 16 4 Conceded C 4 16 35
90% 82% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
81% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 80% 86%
62% 82% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 60% 71%
38% 55% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 20% 38%
10% 9% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 10%
67% 73% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 70% 71%
19% 18% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 5%
24% 27% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 30% 24%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.1 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.3 2.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 6
 
16.8 16.9 19.3 Shots (avg) S ( 12.7 10.5 11.9
5 4.5 7.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.3 3.6 4
34% 43% 48% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 31% 35%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Brescia has the fewest clean sheets (1) in Serie B
  • Brescia has the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in Serie B
  • Brescia has the most matches over the total-line (15) in Serie B
  • Brescia has the most scored goals in the first half (16) in Serie B
  • Brescia have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Brescia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Lecce has the most scored goals (21) at home in Serie B
  • Lecce have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Empoli 21 11 9 1 40 18 10 6 4 0 20 6 11 5 5 1 20 12 22 42
2 Monza 21 9 9 3 30 16 10 5 4 1 18 6 11 4 5 2 12 10 14 36
3 Chievo 21 9 9 3 29 18 10 6 2 2 17 9 11 3 7 1 12 9 11 36
4 Salernitana 21 10 6 5 25 24 11 7 3 1 18 8 10 3 3 4 7 16 1 36
5 Cittadella 21 10 5 6 35 21 10 6 3 1 18 7 11 4 2 5 17 14 14 35
6 SPAL 21 9 8 4 28 19 10 6 3 1 18 7 11 3 5 3 10 12 9 35
7 Venezia 21 8 8 5 24 19 10 5 2 3 12 8 11 3 6 2 12 11 5 32
8 Lecce 21 7 10 4 36 27 11 3 6 2 21 16 10 4 4 2 15 11 9 31
9 Pordenone 21 6 11 4 24 18 11 2 7 2 16 13 10 4 4 2 8 5 6 29
10 Frosinone 21 7 7 7 20 22 11 3 4 4 9 12 10 4 3 3 11 10 -2 28
11 Pisa 21 6 9 6 27 33 10 4 5 1 10 9 11 2 4 5 17 24 -6 27
12 Vicenza 21 5 10 6 27 28 10 1 8 1 11 11 11 4 2 5 16 17 -1 25
13 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 21 26 11 3 4 4 11 15 10 2 4 4 10 11 -5 23
14 Brescia 21 5 7 9 30 35 11 3 4 4 19 19 10 2 3 5 11 16 -5 22
15 Reggina 21 5 7 9 19 26 10 3 2 5 9 11 11 2 5 4 10 15 -7 22
16 Cosenza 21 3 12 6 16 18 11 0 7 4 5 10 10 3 5 2 11 8 -2 21
17 Ascoli 21 5 5 11 19 29 10 4 2 4 9 12 11 1 3 7 10 17 -10 20
18 Reggiana 20 5 3 12 17 33 10 3 2 5 11 12 10 2 1 7 6 21 -16 18
19 Virtus Entella 20 4 5 11 18 34 11 3 1 7 11 20 9 1 4 4 7 14 -16 17
20 Pescara 21 4 4 13 16 37 11 2 3 6 10 17 10 2 1 7 6 20 -21 16

Lecce:
Brescia:

Read more about Serie B

Serie B is the second highest division in Italian football. It usually has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other. The two top teams of the league table are automatically promoted, with a third following depending on standings and/or a playoff. Matches are usually played on Saturdays.