Serie B prediction and preview: Empoli modest favorites to beat Ascoli

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Competition: Italy Serie B
Date: Sat 07.December
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Carlo Castellani (19847 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Empoli have their presumed home advantage while Ascoli are ahead 3 points in the Serie B table.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Empoli form and stats

Empoli have played 7 Serie B games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-3-1 (wins-draws-losses).

In their previous game, the manager R. Muzzi led his Empoli to a defeat in the Coppa Italia match away at Cremonese. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Carlo Castellani. A Serie B defeat was the result before that one, 0-4 away at Frosinone.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Empoli have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found twelve games) they have won 6 times, drawn 5 and lost 1.

Empoli are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 10 goals in 7 games. Empoli are not conceding a lot of goals here at Carlo Castellani in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

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Ascoli form and stats

Ascoli have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Serie B, after 1-2-4 (7 played).

Ascoli play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 2-3 to Genoa. Before that, Ascoli travelled to Salernitana and returned home with a draw after the Serie B game finished 1-1.

We have checked recent matches where Ascoli have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 16 games were W4-D6-L6.

Ascoli have scored 9 goals on their travels this season, from 7 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Ascoli have conceded 11 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Empoli 6 wins, 2 draws and Ascoli 2 victories. As for goals, 7 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 3 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

EmpoliL. Mancuso
L. Mancuso
5 goals
AscoliA. da Cruz
A. da Cruz
5 goals
AscoliG. Scamacca
G. Scamacca
5 goals

Empoli missing players

Ascoli missing players

Empoli Ascoli
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 3 7 14
4 3 2 Won W 0 1 6
6 3 0 Drew D 1 2 3
4 1 0 Lost L 2 4 5
16 10 4 Scored S 2 9 23
19 6 0 Conceded C 5 11 18
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 86% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 93%
43% 43% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 43% 50%
21% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 29%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 14%
57% 71% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 71% 64%
21% 29% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
29% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 29% 21%
 
3.7 3.4 2 Corners For (avg) C F 4.7 4.6 4.1
4.6 3.7 4 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.7 5.1 4.9
1.4 1.1 0.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3.3 2.6 2.6
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 1 1 3
 
187 111 22 Total Shots T S 32 80 147
49 28 8 Shots on Target S O 16 40 72
33% 36% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 22% 32%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Ascoli have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Ascoli haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Empoli have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Empoli haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Empoli is in the worst form (0-3-3)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benevento 14 9 4 1 20 8 7 6 1 0 13 2 7 3 3 1 7 6 12 31
2 Crotone 14 6 4 4 22 16 8 4 3 1 14 8 6 2 1 3 8 8 6 22
3 Pordenone 14 6 4 4 21 17 7 5 2 0 12 2 7 1 2 4 9 15 4 22
4 Cittadella 14 6 4 4 14 14 7 3 2 2 7 8 7 3 2 2 7 6 0 22
5 Perugia 14 6 4 4 17 18 7 4 2 1 10 6 7 2 2 3 7 12 -1 22
6 Ascoli 14 6 3 5 23 18 7 5 1 1 14 7 7 1 2 4 9 11 5 21
7 Chievo 14 5 6 3 19 16 6 3 3 0 10 6 8 2 3 3 9 10 3 21
8 Pescara 14 6 2 6 24 21 7 3 2 2 14 9 7 3 0 4 10 12 3 20
9 Pisa 14 5 5 4 20 17 7 4 2 1 14 8 7 1 3 3 6 9 3 20
10 Frosinone 14 5 5 4 17 14 7 5 2 0 14 3 7 0 3 4 3 11 3 20
11 Salernitana 14 5 4 5 15 16 7 2 4 1 9 8 7 3 0 4 6 8 -1 19
12 Virtus Entella 14 5 4 5 14 15 7 4 2 1 7 4 7 1 2 4 7 11 -1 19
13 Empoli 14 4 6 4 16 19 7 3 3 1 10 6 7 1 3 3 6 13 -3 18
14 Venezia 14 4 5 5 14 16 7 2 1 4 5 9 7 2 4 1 9 7 -2 17
15 Cremonese 14 4 5 5 10 16 7 3 2 2 5 5 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 17
16 Spezia 14 4 4 6 18 19 7 2 2 3 9 9 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 16
17 Juve Stabia 14 4 2 8 14 23 7 3 1 3 10 12 7 1 1 5 4 11 -9 14
18 Cosenza 14 2 7 5 15 16 7 1 4 2 7 7 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 13
19 Trapani 14 3 4 7 15 22 7 1 3 3 6 8 7 2 1 4 9 14 -7 13
20 Livorno 14 3 2 9 12 19 7 3 0 4 11 12 7 0 2 5 1 7 -7 11

Read more about Serie B

Serie B is the second highest division in Italian football. It usually has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other. The two top teams of the league table are automatically promoted, with a third following depending on standings and/or a playoff. Matches are usually played on Saturdays.