Serie B preview: Can Ascoli edge out victory against Modena?

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Competition: Italy Serie B
Competition: Sat 08.October
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (20550 seats)

The home followers bank on a win and three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should work versus a stumbling visitor. Ascoli are in 12th position while the guesting Modena stress at 17th.

Insights:
  • Ascoli have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Modena have lost all their away matches so far.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

D L L D W

Ascoli form and stats

1 victory, 2 draws and 1 defeat. That’s what Ascoli have to build on here at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in the Serie B.

An away draw last time out for Ascoli, facing Benevento in a game that ended 1-1. Botteghin, defender, was given a rating of 8.2/10 in that game, top of the team. Botteghin scored one goal, hit one key pass and won 10 of 12 duels.

Preceding that match was the home game against Parma that was lost 1-3.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Ascoli have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 2 and lost 1.

5 goals have been conceded.

W L L L W

Modena form and stats

No Serie B points yet away for Modena, from their first 3 matches. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Modena's last three away games as they have all been lost.

Modena had fun at their own home (Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca) last time out, beating Reggina 1-0. Diaw scored. That win felt sweet as this club had gone three league rounds without winning. Diaw, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.24. Diaw scored one goal.

Prior to that match, the Modena manager Tesser faced defeat when travelling to Genoa and losing 0-1.

We have checked recent matches where Modena have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 5 games were 1 victory, 0 draws and 4 defeats.

Goals are few and far between in Modena's away league games. Only 1 goal from 3 travels. Modena have conceded 4 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the previous ten meetings involving these two teams are: three wins for Ascoli, three draws and four wins for Modena. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

AscoliC. Gondo
C. Gondo
4 goals
AscoliE. Botteghin
E. Botteghin
2 goals
ModenaN. Bonfanti
N. Bonfanti
2 goals

Ascoli missing players

Modena missing players

Ascoli Modena
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
7 4 1 Played P 2 3 7
2 1 0 Won W 0 0 2
3 2 1 Drew D 0 0 0
2 1 0 Lost L 2 3 5
8 4 0 Scored S 1 1 7
9 5 0 Conceded C 3 4 9
86% 75% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
71% 75% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 33% 43%
43% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 33% 43%
29% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 29%
14% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 14%
71% 75% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 33% 43%
14% 25% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
29% 25% 100% Failed to Score F T 50% 67% 43%
 
4 4.8 2 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.3 4
5.9 4 5 Corners against (avg) C A 8 7.3 5.7
3.7 3.5 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 3.7 2.9
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.7 11.8 9 Shots (avg) S ( 12.5 11.3 11.7
3.6 3.5 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.3 3.6
32% 29% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 14% 28%
 
11.6 11.5 14 Shots against (avg) S A 18 16.3 14.4
4.1 4 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.5 7 6
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Ascoli have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ascoli have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Modena have scored away.
  • Modena have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Modena have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Modena haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Reggina 7 5 0 2 14 3 3 3 0 0 10 0 4 2 0 2 4 3 11 15
2 Bari 1908 7 4 3 0 16 8 3 1 2 0 9 5 4 3 1 0 7 3 8 15
3 Brescia 7 5 0 2 11 11 3 3 0 0 5 1 4 2 0 2 6 10 0 15
4 Genoa 7 4 2 1 9 5 3 1 2 0 4 3 4 3 0 1 5 2 4 14
5 Ternana 7 4 1 2 10 9 3 2 1 0 3 1 4 2 0 2 7 8 1 13
6 Frosinone 7 4 0 3 9 5 3 3 0 0 6 0 4 1 0 3 3 5 4 12
7 Parma 7 3 3 1 13 10 4 2 1 1 7 6 3 1 2 0 6 4 3 12
8 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 8 6 3 2 0 1 5 3 4 1 2 1 3 3 2 11
9 Cagliari 7 3 1 3 7 8 4 2 0 2 4 6 3 1 1 1 3 2 -1 10
10 Sudtirol 7 3 1 3 7 10 3 1 1 1 4 4 4 2 0 2 3 6 -3 10
11 SPAL 7 2 3 2 10 11 4 2 0 2 4 5 3 0 3 0 6 6 -1 9
12 Ascoli 7 2 3 2 8 9 4 1 2 1 4 5 3 1 1 1 4 4 -1 9
13 Venezia 7 2 2 3 9 10 3 0 1 2 2 5 4 2 1 1 7 5 -1 8
14 Benevento 7 2 2 3 5 6 4 1 1 2 3 5 3 1 1 1 2 1 -1 8
15 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 7 11 4 2 1 1 6 6 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 8
16 Palermo 7 2 1 4 6 9 4 2 0 2 5 4 3 0 1 2 1 5 -3 7
17 Modena 7 2 0 5 7 9 4 2 0 2 6 5 3 0 0 3 1 4 -2 6
18 Pisa 7 1 2 4 10 12 3 0 1 2 2 4 4 1 1 2 8 8 -2 5
19 Perugia 7 1 1 5 4 11 4 1 1 2 3 6 3 0 0 3 1 5 -7 4
20 Como 7 0 3 4 7 14 4 0 2 2 4 7 3 0 1 2 3 7 -7 3

Read more about Serie B

Serie B is the second highest division in Italian football. It usually has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other. The two top teams of the league table are automatically promoted, with a third following depending on standings and/or a playoff. Matches are usually played on Saturdays.