Serie A forecast and pre-match guide: Udinese moderate expected to overpower Genoa

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 28.November
Match begins: 11:30 (UTC)
Venue: Dacia Arena (25000 seats)

Udinese are yearning to get the points at home in the upcoming fixture versus Genoa.

Insights:
  • Udinese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Genoa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This looks to be an engaging match with lots of fun and excitement as both teams are well renewed since they last ran out on the pitch. Get ready!

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Udinese form and stats

The Serie A results playing at home this season for Udinese are 2-3-2 (wins-draws-losses).

The fans are hoping that Udinese will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 1-2 away loss in the Serie A game against Torino (placed 11th). Rodrigo Becão was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.44 out of 10. The defender Becão won 5 of 8 duels.

Prior to that, an away loss at Inter.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Udinese have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won five times, drawn two and lost zero.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Udinese as they are travelling to their away game against Lazio in the Serie A. That match is four days after this one.

Udinese has scored 10 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Udinese defense is not exactly impregnable. 11 goals conceded from 7 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Genoa form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Genoa so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-3 (win-draw-lose). Genoa are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Cagliari fixture.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Serie A home defeat versus Roma with 0-2 on the scoreboard. Andrea Cambiaso got a match rating of 7.32 in that game, top player of the team. Cambiaso hit one key pass and had 24 successful passes (of 29 total).

Before that, Genoa travelled to Empoli and returned home with a draw after the game finished 2-2.

We have checked recent matches where Genoa have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were four victories, six draws and three defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Genoa are hosting Milan in the Serie A only three days away.

The visiting Genoa have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 10 goals from 7 games. For Genoa, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: six - four - zero (Udinese wins - draws - Genoa wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

GenoaM. Destro
M. Destro
6 goals
GenoaD. Criscito
D. Criscito
5 goals
UdineseN. Bercique Gomes Betuncal
N. Bercique Gomes Betuncal
4 goals

Udinese missing players

Genoa missing players

Udinese Genoa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
13 7 1 Played P 3 7 13
3 2 1 Won W 1 1 1
5 3 0 Drew D 1 3 6
5 2 0 Lost L 1 3 6
16 10 3 Scored S 4 10 17
20 11 0 Conceded C 4 15 26
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 92%
77% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 86% 85%
46% 57% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 71% 69%
31% 43% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 71% 54%
15% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 29% 23%
54% 57% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 71% 69%
15% 14% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 8%
31% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 29% 31%
 
4.5 3.7 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5.7 4.3 4.5
4.6 4 2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.7 5 5
2.2 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.1 2.8
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
13 13.6 22 Shots (avg) S ( 13 12.7 12.2
4.9 4.9 10 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.3 4.1 4.1
25% 29% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 34% 32%
 
13.2 12.6 11 Shots against (avg) S A 10.7 13.4 13.8
4.4 4.9 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.3 4.4 4.8
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Genoa have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Genoa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Genoa haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Udinese have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Udinese have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Udinese haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 13 10 2 1 26 7 6 5 1 0 11 2 7 5 1 1 15 5 19 32
2 Milan 13 10 2 1 29 15 6 5 1 0 13 4 7 5 1 1 16 11 14 32
3 Inter 13 8 4 1 32 15 6 4 2 0 18 6 7 4 2 1 14 9 17 28
4 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 27 17 7 2 3 2 13 11 6 5 1 0 14 6 10 25
5 Roma 13 7 1 5 23 15 6 4 1 1 9 4 7 3 0 4 14 11 8 22
6 Lazio 13 6 3 4 25 21 7 5 1 1 18 8 6 1 2 3 7 13 4 21
7 Fiorentina 13 7 0 6 20 17 6 4 0 2 14 9 7 3 0 4 6 8 3 21
8 Juventus 13 6 3 4 18 15 6 3 1 2 7 6 7 3 2 2 11 9 3 21
9 Hellas Verona 13 5 4 4 27 22 7 5 0 2 18 11 6 0 4 2 9 11 5 19
10 Bologna 13 5 3 5 19 24 7 4 1 2 13 9 6 1 2 3 6 15 -5 18
11 Torino 13 5 2 6 17 13 7 4 1 2 14 7 6 1 1 4 3 6 4 17
12 Empoli 13 5 1 7 19 25 7 1 1 5 9 18 6 4 0 2 10 7 -6 16
13 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 19 20 7 2 2 3 8 8 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 15
14 Venezia 13 4 3 6 12 19 5 2 1 2 7 7 8 2 2 4 5 12 -7 15
15 Udinese 13 3 5 5 16 20 7 2 3 2 10 11 6 1 2 3 6 9 -4 14
16 Sampdoria 13 3 3 7 17 25 7 1 2 4 9 16 6 2 1 3 8 9 -8 12
17 Spezia 13 3 2 8 15 31 6 2 1 3 7 8 7 1 1 5 8 23 -16 11
18 Genoa 13 1 6 6 17 26 6 0 3 3 7 11 7 1 3 3 10 15 -9 9
19 Cagliari 13 1 4 8 15 28 7 1 2 4 10 13 6 0 2 4 5 15 -13 7
20 Salernitana 13 2 1 10 10 28 7 1 1 5 5 14 6 1 0 5 5 14 -18 7

Udinese:
Genoa:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.