Serie A match prediction: Little separates Sampdoria and Genoa in quality

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 30.April
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (36599 seats)

Sampdoria - Genoa: Serie A basement dwellers desperate for points and praise. Check out all the available statistics and information before the fixture!

Insights:
  • Sampdoria have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Genoa have the fewest scored goals (25) in Serie A

These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.

Both teams have had enough rest since their last work day in an official game. Let's look for an animated game!

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Sampdoria form and stats

Sampdoria's struggle is real here at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris with only 15 points collected from 17 Serie A games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 4-3-10. When Sampdoria hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Cagliari, Sampdoria, Venezia, Empoli, Spezia and Salernitana), they have won 2 of 5 matches! Game days at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris have recently become somewhat of a nightmare for Sampdoria as they have lost three home games in a row. It hurts.

An away draw last time out for Sampdoria, facing Hellas Verona in a game that ended 1-1. Caputo felt an ounce or two of guilt after the draw against Hellas Verona as the player was unable to convert a penalty kick in the 44th minute. Caputo, who usually plays near the opponent's goal, was the highest rated player for the team in that fixture, and was presented with a rating of 7.34 (out of 10). Caputo scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Ahead of that match, Sampdoria lost 1-2 at home to Salernitana.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Sampdoria have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found nine matches with the results: Won four, drawn two and lost three.

Sampdoria has scored 24 league goals at home this season, in 17 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Sampdoria defense is not exactly impregnable. 31 goals conceded from 17 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Genoa form and stats

Genoa have only collected 11 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 1-8-8 (17 played). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Genoa have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 15 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Cagliari game.

Genoa go into this game after a win, the home game against Cagliari that ended 1-0. Midfielder Badelj was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.64. Badelj scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

A 0-2 defeat away at Milan before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Genoa playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were three Genoa wins, three draws and two defeats.

The attacking power of Genoa when travelling is not overwhelming with 13 goals scored from 17 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As for defending, Genoa rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 31 goals from these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The fixture history shows this score when the teams played each other previously this season; Genoa - Sampdoria 1-3. Data for the preceeding ten meetings featuring these two contenders are: four wins for Sampdoria, four draws and two wins for Genoa. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.

Top Goalscorers

SampdoriaF. Caputo
F. Caputo
11 goals
GenoaM. Destro
M. Destro
9 goals
SampdoriaA. Candreva
A. Candreva
7 goals

Sampdoria missing players

Genoa missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Sampdoria Genoa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
34 17 5 Played P 5 17 34
8 4 2 Won W 1 1 3
6 3 1 Drew D 3 8 16
20 10 2 Lost L 1 8 15
41 24 7 Scored S 7 13 25
57 31 6 Conceded C 7 31 54
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 82% 76%
82% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 71% 62%
62% 76% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 41% 41%
38% 47% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 41% 32%
6% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 18% 15%
56% 71% 80% BTTS BTTS 80% 47% 44%
18% 12% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 18% 29%
29% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 53% 50%
 
4 4.4 2.4 Corners for (avg) C F 5.4 3.3 3.9
5.7 4.7 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 5 5.1
2.5 2.6 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.5 2.5
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
10.3 11.1 8.4 Shots (avg) S ( 13 9.3 10.5
3.5 3.9 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 2.5 3
34% 36% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 39% 30% 25%
 
14.4 13.3 12.2 Shots against (avg) S A 11.6 15.4 14.5
4.9 5.3 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 4.9 4.8
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Genoa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Genoa have the fewest points (11) away in Serie A
  • Genoa have the fewest scored goals (25) in Serie A
  • Genoa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sampdoria haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 34 22 8 4 60 30 17 10 4 3 25 12 17 12 4 1 35 18 30 74
2 Inter 33 21 9 3 71 26 17 12 3 2 41 14 16 9 6 1 30 12 45 72
3 Napoli 34 20 7 7 61 30 17 9 3 5 28 15 17 11 4 2 33 15 31 67
4 Juventus 33 18 9 6 50 29 17 9 4 4 21 11 16 9 5 2 29 18 21 63
5 Roma 34 17 7 10 55 40 17 10 4 3 25 15 17 7 3 7 30 25 15 58
6 Lazio 34 16 8 10 66 50 17 9 5 3 37 22 17 7 3 7 29 28 16 56
7 Fiorentina 33 17 5 11 54 42 16 11 2 3 34 16 17 6 3 8 20 26 12 56
8 Atalanta 33 15 9 9 57 39 16 4 6 6 26 23 17 11 3 3 31 16 18 54
9 Hellas Verona 34 13 10 11 59 51 17 9 3 5 33 21 17 4 7 6 26 30 8 49
10 Sassuolo 33 12 10 11 58 53 16 6 5 5 25 24 17 6 5 6 33 29 5 46
11 Torino 33 11 10 12 38 32 17 8 5 4 29 17 16 3 5 8 9 15 6 43
12 Udinese 33 9 13 11 49 52 17 6 7 4 28 24 16 3 6 7 21 28 -3 40
13 Bologna 33 10 9 14 37 47 17 7 4 6 22 20 16 3 5 8 15 27 -10 39
14 Empoli 34 9 10 15 45 62 17 4 4 9 26 40 17 5 6 6 19 22 -17 37
15 Spezia 34 9 6 19 34 59 16 5 3 8 17 20 18 4 3 11 17 39 -25 33
16 Sampdoria 34 8 6 20 41 57 17 4 3 10 24 31 17 4 3 10 17 26 -16 30
17 Cagliari 34 6 10 18 31 62 17 3 6 8 18 28 17 3 4 10 13 34 -31 28
18 Genoa 34 3 16 15 25 54 17 2 8 7 12 23 17 1 8 8 13 31 -29 25
19 Salernitana 33 6 7 20 28 70 16 2 5 9 14 33 17 4 2 11 14 37 -42 25
20 Venezia 33 5 7 21 27 61 17 2 4 11 17 35 16 3 3 10 10 26 -34 22

Sampdoria:
Genoa:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 34 22 8 4 60 30 17 10 4 3 25 12 17 12 4 1 35 18 30 74
2 Inter 33 21 9 3 71 26 17 12 3 2 41 14 16 9 6 1 30 12 45 72
3 Napoli 34 20 7 7 61 30 17 9 3 5 28 15 17 11 4 2 33 15 31 67
4 Juventus 33 18 9 6 50 29 17 9 4 4 21 11 16 9 5 2 29 18 21 63
5 Roma 34 17 7 10 55 40 17 10 4 3 25 15 17 7 3 7 30 25 15 58
6 Lazio 34 16 8 10 66 50 17 9 5 3 37 22 17 7 3 7 29 28 16 56
7 Fiorentina 33 17 5 11 54 42 16 11 2 3 34 16 17 6 3 8 20 26 12 56
8 Atalanta 33 15 9 9 57 39 16 4 6 6 26 23 17 11 3 3 31 16 18 54
9 Hellas Verona 34 13 10 11 59 51 17 9 3 5 33 21 17 4 7 6 26 30 8 49
10 Sassuolo 33 12 10 11 58 53 16 6 5 5 25 24 17 6 5 6 33 29 5 46
11 Torino 33 11 10 12 38 32 17 8 5 4 29 17 16 3 5 8 9 15 6 43
12 Udinese 33 9 13 11 49 52 17 6 7 4 28 24 16 3 6 7 21 28 -3 40
13 Bologna 33 10 9 14 37 47 17 7 4 6 22 20 16 3 5 8 15 27 -10 39
14 Empoli 34 9 10 15 45 62 17 4 4 9 26 40 17 5 6 6 19 22 -17 37
15 Spezia 34 9 6 19 34 59 16 5 3 8 17 20 18 4 3 11 17 39 -25 33
16 Sampdoria 34 8 6 20 41 57 17 4 3 10 24 31 17 4 3 10 17 26 -16 30
17 Cagliari 34 6 10 18 31 62 17 3 6 8 18 28 17 3 4 10 13 34 -31 28
18 Genoa 34 3 16 15 25 54 17 2 8 7 12 23 17 1 8 8 13 31 -29 25
19 Salernitana 33 6 7 20 28 70 16 2 5 9 14 33 17 4 2 11 14 37 -42 25
20 Venezia 33 5 7 21 27 61 17 2 4 11 17 35 16 3 3 10 10 26 -34 22

More from Italy - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.