Home advantage could prove decisive in Salernitana - Venezia battle

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Thu 05.May
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Arechi (37245 seats)

This game involves two squads dwelling in the lower section of the Serie A, Salernitana at 18th position and Venezia lying 20th. A nice chance for one of the squads to boost their position.

Insights:
  • Salernitana have the most conceded goals (71) in Serie A
  • Venezia have the fewest scored goals (11) away in Serie A

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Salernitana form and stats

With 2 Serie A wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats from their home games, Salernitana are certainly not brimming with confidence.

Salernitana shared the glory with Atalanta in their last match, an away game that ended all square 1-1. Éderson (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 8.33/10. Éderson scored one goal, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 27 successful passes (of 33 total).

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Fiorentina in a game that was won 2-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Salernitana have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won five times, drawn two and lost zero.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Salernitana, as the Serie A home game vs Cagliari is only three days away.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Salernitana here at Stadio Arechi in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (14 from 16 games). Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Salernitana with 33 goals conceded in these matches.

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Venezia form and stats

Venezia have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 3-3-11 (17 played). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Venezia, who have now gone ten games without a victory. The Torino game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

Venezia lost away at Juventus (1-2) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. Aramu, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.01. Aramu scored one goal and had 32 successful passes (of 36 total).

The game before that, was lost at home, a 1-3 defeat against Atalanta.

We have checked recent matches where Venezia have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were one victory, six draws and zero defeats.

After this away game Venezia return home for a Serie A game against Bologna. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Venezia as they have only managed to score 11 times from 17 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Venezia's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 28 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Venezia - Salernitana 1-2 was the product when these contenders previously met, also in this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: six - one - three (Salernitana wins - draws - Venezia wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less. The games between these sides have had a tendency to be "violent", having seen 5 sending-offs from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

SalernitanaF. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
8 goals
VeneziaT. Henry
T. Henry
7 goals
VeneziaM. Aramu
M. Aramu
6 goals

Salernitana missing players

Venezia missing players

Salernitana Venezia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
34 16 4 Played P 5 17 34
6 2 1 Won W 1 3 5
8 5 1 Drew D 3 3 7
20 9 2 Lost L 1 11 22
29 14 5 Scored S 4 11 28
71 33 8 Conceded C 4 28 63
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 94% 97%
82% 75% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 71% 82%
59% 56% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 47% 50%
35% 44% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 18% 24%
15% 12% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 9%
50% 44% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 47% 59%
6% 6% 25% Clean Sheets C S 20% 12% 9%
44% 50% 25% Failed to Score F T 40% 47% 35%
 
4.5 5.6 8.5 Corners for (avg) C F 3 2.7 3.1
6.4 5.1 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 6.5 6.6
2.5 1.9 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.9 2.8
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 7
 
10.3 10.8 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 8.4 9.6
3.4 3.1 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.2 2.8 3.2
25% 28% 28% Goal Efficiency G E 36% 23% 26%
 
16.1 14.9 15 Shots against (avg) S A 15.6 16.9 16.4
6 5.7 5.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.8 5.9 5.7
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Salernitana have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Salernitana have the most conceded goals (71) in Serie A
  • Salernitana have the most conceded goals in the first half (35) in Serie A
  • Salernitana have the the worst goal difference (-19) at home in Serie A
  • Salernitana have the the worst goal difference (-42) in Serie A
  • Salernitana have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Salernitana haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Venezia have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Venezia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Venezia have the fewest scored goals (11) away in Serie A
  • Venezia is in the worst form (0-0-6)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 35 23 8 4 61 30 18 11 4 3 26 12 17 12 4 1 35 18 31 77
2 Inter 35 22 9 4 74 29 17 12 3 2 41 14 18 10 6 2 33 15 45 75
3 Napoli 35 21 7 7 67 31 18 10 3 5 34 16 17 11 4 2 33 15 36 70
4 Juventus 35 20 9 6 54 31 18 10 4 4 23 12 17 10 5 2 31 19 23 69
5 Lazio 35 17 8 10 70 53 17 9 5 3 37 22 18 8 3 7 33 31 17 59
6 Roma 35 17 8 10 55 40 18 10 5 3 25 15 17 7 3 7 30 25 15 59
7 Atalanta 35 15 11 9 62 44 18 4 8 6 31 28 17 11 3 3 31 16 18 56
8 Fiorentina 35 17 5 13 54 47 17 11 2 4 34 20 18 6 3 9 20 27 7 56
9 Hellas Verona 35 14 10 11 61 52 17 9 3 5 33 21 18 5 7 6 28 31 9 52
10 Torino 35 12 11 12 45 37 17 8 5 4 29 17 18 4 6 8 16 20 8 47
11 Sassuolo 35 12 10 13 60 61 17 6 5 6 26 26 18 6 5 7 34 35 -1 46
12 Udinese 35 10 13 12 54 54 18 6 7 5 29 26 17 4 6 7 25 28 0 43
13 Bologna 35 11 10 14 39 48 18 8 4 6 24 21 17 3 6 8 15 27 -9 43
14 Empoli 35 9 10 16 46 65 18 4 4 10 27 43 17 5 6 6 19 22 -19 37
15 Sampdoria 35 9 6 20 42 57 18 5 3 10 25 31 17 4 3 10 17 26 -15 33
16 Spezia 35 9 6 20 37 63 17 5 3 9 20 24 18 4 3 11 17 39 -26 33
17 Cagliari 35 6 10 19 32 64 18 3 6 9 19 30 17 3 4 10 13 34 -32 28
18 Salernitana 34 6 8 20 29 71 16 2 5 9 14 33 18 4 3 11 15 38 -42 26
19 Genoa 35 3 16 16 25 55 17 2 8 7 12 23 18 1 8 9 13 32 -30 25
20 Venezia 34 5 7 22 28 63 17 2 4 11 17 35 17 3 3 11 11 28 -35 22

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.