Serie A match prediction: Little separates Napoli and Inter in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Italy Serie A
Date: Mon 06.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio San Paolo (60240 seats)

Napoli will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 18 points behind Inter.

It's no vacation for neither Napoli nor Inter as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L W L W D

Napoli form and stats

3 victories, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Napoli have to build on here at Stadio San Paolo in the Serie A. Three consecutive losses here at Stadio San Paolo is hard to swallow for the home team. Both players, staff and the home crowd are desperate to get something from this match.

The Napoli fans got no joy from their last match, a Serie A game also here at Stadio San Paolo: A 1-3 defeat against Inter (placed 1st). A strong away win before that one, visiting Sassuolo and winning 2-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Napoli have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found three matches with the results: Won 1 Drawn 0 Lost 2.

Napoli has scored 10 league goals at home this season, in 8 matches. Napoli have conceded 8 in these home matches.

W W D L D

Inter form and stats

Inter, who have the most clean sheets (7) in Serie A, have been very strong on the road so far with a massive 22 points collected from 8 Serie A games. 7 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats is the record so far. In general it has been a productive period now for Inter as they haven't lost any of their last eleven games.

It's the second away game in a row for Inter, but there's smiles all around after the 3-1 victory versus Napoli (placed 8th) in the Serie A last time out. Prior to that match, a home win 4-0 against Genoa.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found seven similar matches played by Inter in our archives, and the results are: 4 wins for Inter, 2 draws and 1 defeat.

Inter have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 19 goals from 8 away matches. Inter have conceded 8 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 4 wins for Napoli, 3 draws and 3 wins for Inter. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 6 games.

Top Goalscorers

InterR. Lukaku
R. Lukaku
12 goals
InterLautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
8 goals
NapoliA. Milik
A. Milik
6 goals

Napoli missing players

Inter missing players

Napoli Inter
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
18 9 2 Played P 4 9 18
6 3 0 Won W 4 8 14
6 2 1 Drew D 0 1 3
6 4 1 Lost L 0 0 1
28 11 2 Scored S 11 22 39
25 11 3 Conceded C 4 9 15
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
83% 78% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 83%
56% 56% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 78% 72%
28% 22% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 33% 33%
17% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 11% 6%
72% 56% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 78% 61%
22% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 22% 39%
17% 22% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 6%
 
6.4 6.9 7.5 Corners For (avg) C F 6 5.2 6.4
4.1 3.7 2 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.2 5.6 4.5
2.2 1.7 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.8 3 2.5
2 1 1 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
 
356 217 48 Total Shots T S 58 117 301
113 64 14 Shots on Target S O 27 55 110
25% 17% 14% Goal Efficiency G E 41% 40% 35%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Inter's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Inter has the fewest conceded goals (14)
  • Inter has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6)
  • Inter has the most clean sheets (7)
  • Inter has the most points (22) away
  • Inter has the most scored goals in the first half (22)
  • Inter has the the best goal difference (+11) away
  • Inter have not yet lost a game away.
  • Inter have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Inter have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Inter have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Inter have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Inter haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Napoli has the fewest matches over the total-line (4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 17 13 3 1 36 14 9 6 2 1 17 6 8 7 1 0 19 8 22 42
2 Juventus 17 13 3 1 31 17 8 7 1 0 18 9 9 6 2 1 13 8 14 42
3 Lazio 17 12 3 2 40 17 8 6 2 0 24 7 9 6 1 2 16 10 23 39
4 Roma 18 10 5 3 33 19 9 5 2 2 18 13 9 5 3 1 15 6 14 35
5 Atalanta 17 9 4 4 43 25 8 4 1 3 23 14 9 5 3 1 20 11 18 31
6 Cagliari 17 8 5 4 33 23 9 5 1 3 20 14 8 3 4 1 13 9 10 29
7 Parma 17 7 4 6 24 20 9 4 1 4 13 10 8 3 3 2 11 10 4 25
8 Napoli 17 6 6 5 27 22 8 3 2 3 10 8 9 3 4 2 17 14 5 24
9 Torino 18 7 3 8 24 26 9 3 2 4 9 12 9 4 1 4 15 14 -2 24
10 Hellas Verona 17 6 4 7 19 20 9 3 3 3 10 10 8 3 1 4 9 10 -1 22
11 Bologna 17 6 4 7 27 29 8 3 2 3 13 13 9 3 2 4 14 16 -2 22
12 Milan 17 6 3 8 16 24 8 2 3 3 7 10 9 4 0 5 9 14 -8 21
13 Sassuolo 18 5 4 9 30 31 9 3 1 5 19 18 9 2 3 4 11 13 -1 19
14 Udinese 17 5 3 9 13 28 9 4 2 3 7 10 8 1 1 6 6 18 -15 18
15 Fiorentina 17 4 5 8 21 28 9 2 3 4 10 14 8 2 2 4 11 14 -7 17
16 Lecce 17 3 6 8 22 35 8 0 4 4 10 16 9 3 2 4 12 19 -13 15
17 Sampdoria 17 4 3 10 14 27 9 2 3 4 6 11 8 2 0 6 8 16 -13 15
18 Brescia 18 4 2 12 16 31 9 1 1 7 9 19 9 3 1 5 7 12 -15 14
19 Genoa 18 3 5 10 19 36 9 3 1 5 10 12 9 0 4 5 9 24 -17 14
20 SPAL 18 3 3 12 12 28 9 2 2 5 8 13 9 1 1 7 4 15 -16 12

Napoli:
Inter:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.