Napoli welcomes Cagliari as clear favourites: Big betting preview

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 02.May
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Napoli fans are optimistic that the difference between 3rd and Cagliari's 17th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Napoli have the the best goal difference (+26) at home in Serie A
  • Cagliari have the fewest scored goals in the first half (14) in Serie A

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

These teams have little in common geographically as Cagliari have to travel 800 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

Napoli are battling for top spots and have everything to play for. Cagliari are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

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Napoli form and stats

Napoli, who have the the best goal difference (+26) at home in Serie A, are steadily winning Serie A games and points here at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. 11 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats is the summary from 16 games.

A good away victory last time out for Napoli, who won 2-0 against Torino (placed 16th). Before that game, the 5-2 home victory against Lazio.

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Napoli home games with this odds we find eleven games with a similar winning chance. Resulting in six wins, one draw and four defeats. Looking at the victories, five matches were won by at least two goals.

Goals are plentiful at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in the league this season as Napoli has scored 43 goals here in 16 home games. Napoli have conceded 17 in these home matches.

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Cagliari form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Cagliari so far with only 13 points returning home. The records show 3-4-9 (win-draw-lose).

Cagliari won their last game, 3-2 versus Roma played at home. Preceding that game was the away victory against Udinese with the score of 1-0.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Cagliari played away with similar odds. This revealed seven games. The visitors overcame the odds to win one time, two were draws and the home team won as expected four times.

Cagliari have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 16 league away games 17 goals have been scored. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Cagliari struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 25 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Cagliari - Napoli 1-4. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Napoli nine wins, zero draws and Cagliari one victory. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

NapoliL. Insigne
L. Insigne
17 goals
CagliariJ. dos Santos Galvão
J. dos Santos Galvão
15 goals
NapoliH. Lozano Bahena
H. Lozano Bahena
9 goals

Napoli missing players

Cagliari missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Napoli Cagliari
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 16 6 Played P 4 16 33
21 11 4 Won W 0 3 8
3 2 1 Drew D 0 4 7
9 3 1 Lost L 4 9 18
73 43 16 Scored S 2 17 39
37 17 6 Conceded C 9 25 56
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 97%
88% 94% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 62% 73%
58% 62% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 38% 42%
39% 50% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 31% 36%
24% 31% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 25% 24%
52% 56% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 50% 55%
39% 38% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 19% 15%
9% 6% 0% Failed to Score F T 75% 38% 33%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.1 2.2 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 2.1 2.1
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
16.7 16.2 18.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7.8 9.6 11.6
5.9 6.5 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.5 3.2 3.6
37% 41% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 33% 32%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Cagliari have the fewest matches over the total-line (13) in Serie A
  • Cagliari have the fewest scored goals in the first half (14) in Serie A
  • Cagliari have the most matches under the total-line (19) in Serie A
  • Napoli have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Napoli have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Napoli have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Cagliari have scored away.
  • Napoli have the the best goal difference (+26) at home in Serie A
  • Napoli haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 33 24 7 2 72 29 16 14 1 1 40 15 17 10 6 1 32 14 43 79
2 Atalanta 33 20 8 5 78 39 17 11 3 3 47 22 16 9 5 2 31 17 39 68
3 Napoli 33 21 3 9 73 37 16 11 2 3 43 17 17 10 1 6 30 20 36 66
4 Juventus 33 19 9 5 65 30 17 13 2 2 37 13 16 6 7 3 28 17 35 66
5 Milan 32 20 6 6 60 38 17 7 5 5 29 24 15 13 1 1 31 14 22 66
6 Lazio 31 18 4 9 53 46 15 10 2 3 28 20 16 8 2 6 25 26 7 58
7 Roma 33 16 7 10 58 51 17 11 4 2 35 18 16 5 3 8 23 33 7 55
8 Sassuolo 33 14 10 9 55 50 16 6 7 3 27 23 17 8 3 6 28 27 5 52
9 Sampdoria 33 12 6 15 43 47 16 7 2 7 25 24 17 5 4 8 18 23 -4 42
10 Hellas Verona 33 11 8 14 40 41 16 6 3 7 19 19 17 5 5 7 21 22 -1 41
11 Udinese 33 10 9 14 38 44 16 5 3 8 12 15 17 5 6 6 26 29 -6 39
12 Bologna 33 10 8 15 44 53 16 7 4 5 29 24 17 3 4 10 15 29 -9 38
13 Genoa 33 8 12 13 37 48 17 5 7 5 25 24 16 3 5 8 12 24 -11 36
14 Fiorentina 33 8 10 15 42 54 17 5 6 6 23 23 16 3 4 9 19 31 -12 34
15 Spezia 33 8 9 16 42 62 16 4 6 6 21 26 17 4 3 10 21 36 -20 33
16 Torino 32 6 13 13 46 56 16 2 8 6 23 28 16 4 5 7 23 28 -10 31
17 Cagliari 33 8 7 18 39 56 17 5 3 9 22 31 16 3 4 9 17 25 -17 31
18 Benevento 33 7 10 16 37 66 17 2 6 9 17 35 16 5 4 7 20 31 -29 31
19 Parma 33 3 11 19 36 70 17 2 5 10 13 31 16 1 6 9 23 39 -34 20
20 Crotone 33 5 3 25 42 83 16 4 1 11 21 32 17 1 2 14 21 51 -41 18

Napoli:
Cagliari:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 33 24 7 2 72 29 16 14 1 1 40 15 17 10 6 1 32 14 43 79
2 Atalanta 33 20 8 5 78 39 17 11 3 3 47 22 16 9 5 2 31 17 39 68
3 Napoli 33 21 3 9 73 37 16 11 2 3 43 17 17 10 1 6 30 20 36 66
4 Juventus 33 19 9 5 65 30 17 13 2 2 37 13 16 6 7 3 28 17 35 66
5 Milan 32 20 6 6 60 38 17 7 5 5 29 24 15 13 1 1 31 14 22 66
6 Lazio 31 18 4 9 53 46 15 10 2 3 28 20 16 8 2 6 25 26 7 58
7 Roma 33 16 7 10 58 51 17 11 4 2 35 18 16 5 3 8 23 33 7 55
8 Sassuolo 33 14 10 9 55 50 16 6 7 3 27 23 17 8 3 6 28 27 5 52
9 Sampdoria 33 12 6 15 43 47 16 7 2 7 25 24 17 5 4 8 18 23 -4 42
10 Hellas Verona 33 11 8 14 40 41 16 6 3 7 19 19 17 5 5 7 21 22 -1 41
11 Udinese 33 10 9 14 38 44 16 5 3 8 12 15 17 5 6 6 26 29 -6 39
12 Bologna 33 10 8 15 44 53 16 7 4 5 29 24 17 3 4 10 15 29 -9 38
13 Genoa 33 8 12 13 37 48 17 5 7 5 25 24 16 3 5 8 12 24 -11 36
14 Fiorentina 33 8 10 15 42 54 17 5 6 6 23 23 16 3 4 9 19 31 -12 34
15 Spezia 33 8 9 16 42 62 16 4 6 6 21 26 17 4 3 10 21 36 -20 33
16 Torino 32 6 13 13 46 56 16 2 8 6 23 28 16 4 5 7 23 28 -10 31
17 Cagliari 33 8 7 18 39 56 17 5 3 9 22 31 16 3 4 9 17 25 -17 31
18 Benevento 33 7 10 16 37 66 17 2 6 9 17 35 16 5 4 7 20 31 -29 31
19 Parma 33 3 11 19 36 70 17 2 5 10 13 31 16 1 6 9 23 39 -34 20
20 Crotone 33 5 3 25 42 83 16 4 1 11 21 32 17 1 2 14 21 51 -41 18

More from Italy - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.