Serie A prediction and guide: Monza moderate favourite to subdue Spezia

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 09.October
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: U-Power Stadium (18568 seats)

Season ticket holders at U-Power Stadium haven’t seen many home wins this season, with Monza lying uncomfortably in the 16th spot. The opposing Spezia will attempt to protect their higher league position in this game.

Insights:
  • Monza haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Spezia have the fewest scored goals (0) away in Serie A

9 - 8 - 26 with 49-96. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for Spezia when playing on grass like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. Spezia play their home games on artifical turf so that's why we provide these numbers.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

W W D L L

Monza form and stats

The story so far in the Serie A for Monza at their home stadium (U-Power Stadium) is 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats.

The Monza goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 222 minutes without conceding a goal in the Serie A.

It's back home for Monza, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Sampdoria away with the result 3-0. Sensi, Pessina and Caprari found the net in that victory. Midfield player Sensi got a match rating of 8.62 in that game, the max score being 10. Sensi scored one goal, hit six key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 52 successful passes (of 55 total).

Ahead of that match, Monza won a home game hosting Juventus (1-0).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Monza handle that role? We have found 13 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 6 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats.

Monza have scored 3 league goals here from 4 matches, not a lot. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 6 goals have been conceded.

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Spezia form and stats

The visitors are W0-D0-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A. A depressing four defeats in a row for Spezia in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Inter.

Spezia are travelling again after losing away to Lazio in their previous match (0-4). As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Lazio was particularly ugly (0-4). The humiliation is still top of mind. Midfield player Holm was the top player of the team with a match rating of 6.65/10. Holm dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Sampdoria.

Spezia are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 11 matches.

For Spezia, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

SpeziaM. N'Zola
M. N'Zola
3 goals
MonzaS. Sensi
S. Sensi
2 goals
SpeziaS. Bastoni
S. Bastoni
2 goals

Monza missing players

Spezia missing players

Monza Spezia
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
8 4 2 Played P 0 4 8
2 1 1 Won W 0 0 2
1 0 0 Drew D 0 0 2
5 3 1 Lost L 0 4 4
7 3 2 Scored S 0 0 7
14 6 2 Conceded C 0 10 15
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
88% 75% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 75%
62% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 62%
12% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 38%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
38% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 38%
25% 25% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 12%
38% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 100% 50%
 
3.9 3.5 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 0 4.5 4.5
6.1 6 5 Corners against (avg) C A 0 7.5 6
2 1.8 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.5 2.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
10.5 12.8 16.5 Shots (avg) S ( 0 9 9.8
3.6 4.5 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 1.8 2.8
24% 17% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 32%
 
12.2 12 10.5 Shots against (avg) S A 0 19.8 18.1
4.1 4.2 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 5.8 6.2
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Monza have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Spezia have scored away.
  • Monza haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Spezia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Spezia have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Spezia have failed to score a single goal away.
  • Spezia have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Spezia have the fewest scored goals (0) away in Serie A
  • Spezia have the the worst goal difference (-10) away in Serie A
  • Spezia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 8 6 2 0 18 6 4 3 1 0 9 2 4 3 1 0 9 4 12 20
2 Atalanta 8 6 2 0 12 3 4 2 2 0 6 3 4 4 0 0 6 0 9 20
3 Lazio 8 5 2 1 17 5 5 4 0 1 12 4 3 1 2 0 5 1 12 17
4 Milan 8 5 2 1 16 9 4 3 0 1 10 6 4 2 2 0 6 3 7 17
5 Udinese 7 5 1 1 15 7 4 3 1 0 8 1 3 2 0 1 7 6 8 16
6 Roma 8 5 1 2 10 8 3 2 0 1 4 1 5 3 1 1 6 7 2 16
7 Juventus 8 3 4 1 12 5 5 3 2 0 11 3 3 0 2 1 1 2 7 13
8 Sassuolo 8 3 3 2 10 8 4 2 1 1 7 3 4 1 2 1 3 5 2 12
9 Inter 8 4 0 4 14 13 4 3 0 1 8 3 4 1 0 3 6 10 1 12
10 Torino 8 3 1 4 7 10 3 1 1 1 1 1 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 10
11 Fiorentina 8 2 3 3 7 7 4 2 2 0 6 3 4 0 1 3 1 4 0 9
12 Spezia 8 2 2 4 7 15 4 2 2 0 7 5 4 0 0 4 0 10 -8 8
13 Lecce 8 1 4 3 7 9 4 0 3 1 4 5 4 1 1 2 3 4 -2 7
14 Salernitana 8 1 4 3 10 13 4 1 1 2 7 5 4 0 3 1 3 8 -3 7
15 Empoli 8 1 4 3 7 10 4 0 2 2 3 6 4 1 2 1 4 4 -3 7
16 Monza 8 2 1 5 7 14 4 1 0 3 3 6 4 1 1 2 4 8 -7 7
17 Bologna 8 1 3 4 7 13 4 1 2 1 4 4 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 6
18 Hellas Verona 7 1 2 4 6 13 3 1 0 2 4 7 4 0 2 2 2 6 -7 5
19 Cremonese 8 0 3 5 6 15 3 0 1 2 1 6 5 0 2 3 5 9 -9 3
20 Sampdoria 8 0 2 6 4 16 5 0 2 3 2 8 3 0 0 3 2 8 -12 2

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.