Home advantage could prove decisive in Milan - Fiorentina battle

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 29.November
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Milan supporters in this Stadio Giuseppe Meazza clash with Fiorentina, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Serie A table.

Insights:
  • Milan have not yet lost a game.
  • Fiorentina have yet to win a game away.

It's no vacation for neither Milan nor Fiorentina as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D W D L W

Milan form and stats

Milan have played 4 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 2-2-0 (wins-draws-losses). Their last two home games have resulted in two points, meaning they were both draws.

The home team returns to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza after being equal after 90 minutes with Lille on their last time out; the Europa League game ended 0-0. Before that match, a Serie A win away at Napoli.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Milan matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, one draw and zero defeats (from two games).

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Milan, as the Europa League home game vs Celtic is only four days away.

Milan are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (10 goals in 4 games). Milan's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 5 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Fiorentina form and stats

The visitors are W0-D2-L2 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A.

Fiorentina are looking to quickly end their 309 minutes long goal drought in the Serie A.

Two travels in a row for Fiorentina, whose manager G. Iachini could celebrate last time after the Coppa Italia win against Udinese (after extra-time). Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Benevento.

Tòfol Montiel came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Udinese (after extra-time) last time out, making the manager G. Iachini feel like a tactical genius.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Fiorentina playing away, we found three games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and three home wins.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Fiorentina have scored 5 goals in 4 league games away. For Fiorentina, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Milan victories, three draws and three Fiorentina wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

MilanZ. Ibrahimović
Z. Ibrahimović
10 goals
FiorentinaG. Castrovilli
G. Castrovilli
4 goals
MilanF. Kessié
F. Kessié
2 goals

Milan missing players

Fiorentina missing players

Milan Fiorentina
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
8 4 0 Played P 2 4 8
6 2 0 Won W 0 0 2
2 2 0 Drew D 0 2 2
0 0 0 Lost L 2 2 4
19 10 0 Scored S 3 5 10
8 5 0 Conceded C 6 8 13
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 88%
100% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 62%
75% 75% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 50%
38% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 38%
12% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 25% 25%
62% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 50%
38% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 25%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.5 2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.8 1.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
17.2 20.5 0 Shots (avg) S ( 9 8.8 10.6
6 6.8 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.2 3.4
40% 37% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 38% 37%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Milan's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Fiorentina have yet to win a game away.
  • Milan have not yet lost a game.
  • Milan have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Milan have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Milan haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 8 6 2 0 19 8 4 2 2 0 10 5 4 4 0 0 9 3 11 20
2 Sassuolo 8 5 3 0 20 9 4 1 3 0 8 5 4 4 0 0 12 4 11 18
3 Roma 8 5 2 1 19 11 4 3 1 0 12 4 4 2 1 1 7 7 8 17
4 Juventus 8 4 4 0 17 6 4 3 1 0 9 1 4 1 3 0 8 5 11 16
5 Inter 8 4 3 1 20 13 4 2 1 1 11 9 4 2 2 0 9 4 7 15
6 Napoli 8 5 0 3 16 10 4 2 0 2 11 6 4 3 0 1 5 4 6 14
7 Atalanta 8 4 2 2 18 14 3 1 1 1 7 6 5 3 1 1 11 8 4 14
8 Lazio 8 4 2 2 13 13 4 1 2 1 5 7 4 3 0 1 8 6 0 14
9 Hellas Verona 8 3 3 2 10 7 5 3 1 1 7 3 3 0 2 1 3 4 3 12
10 Sampdoria 8 3 1 4 12 13 4 1 1 2 7 6 4 2 0 2 5 7 -1 10
11 Cagliari 8 3 1 4 14 17 3 2 0 1 6 4 5 1 1 3 8 13 -3 10
12 Bologna 8 3 0 5 13 14 4 2 0 2 10 8 4 1 0 3 3 6 -1 9
13 Spezia 8 2 3 3 11 15 4 0 2 2 4 10 4 2 1 1 7 5 -4 9
14 Benevento 8 3 0 5 11 20 4 1 0 3 4 10 4 2 0 2 7 10 -9 9
15 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 10 13 4 2 0 2 5 5 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 8
16 Udinese 8 2 1 5 7 11 5 2 0 3 5 7 3 0 1 2 2 4 -4 7
17 Parma 8 1 3 4 8 16 4 1 2 1 3 4 4 0 1 3 5 12 -8 6
18 Torino 8 1 2 5 14 20 4 0 1 3 7 11 4 1 1 2 7 9 -6 5
19 Genoa 8 1 2 5 7 16 4 1 0 3 6 8 4 0 2 2 1 8 -9 5
20 Crotone 8 0 2 6 6 19 4 0 1 3 2 7 4 0 1 3 4 12 -13 2

Milan:
Fiorentina:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.