Football betting preview: Lecce with moderate expectations before welcoming Milan

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 14.January
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (33876 seats)

This has the potential to be an entertaining match as Lecce have their presumed home advantage, while Milan are in front by 18 points in the Serie A table.

Insights:
  • Lecce have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Serie A
  • Milan have scored more than double the goals of Lecce.

It's quite the trip for Milan when visiting Lecce as the cities are 1000 kilometers apart.

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a Coppa Italia game only three days ago.

D W L W W

Lecce form and stats

The total Serie A stats at home this season for Lecce, who have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Serie A, are 2-4-2 (wins-draws-losses). Hopes of three in a row are alive for Lecce after consecutive victories at their own ground.

An away draw last time out for Lecce, facing Spezia in a game that ended 0-0. Goalkeeper Falcone got the top rating on the team in that game; 7.65 out of ten. Falcone topped it up with a clean sheet.

Ahead of that match, Lecce won a home game hosting Lazio (2-1).

Not much happening? Looking at this club's last 16 league matches, 12 have contained zero, one or two goals.

The Lecce fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 9 in 8 matches. 9 goals have been conceded.

L D W L L

Milan form and stats

As the visiting team in Serie A matches, Milan have produced an overall stat of 4-3-1 so far.

This fixture can not go any worse than the previous one, a Coppa Italia home defeat versus Torino with 0-1 on the scoreboard. Tonali got a match rating of 7.92 in that game, top player of the team. Tonali hit four key passes and had 45 successful passes (of 53 total).

A draw for Milan before that, at their own venue hosting Roma (2-2).

Observe that 11 of this team's 13 most recent league matches have ended with three or more goals.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Inter in just four days.

Milan are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 11 away goals from 8 games (in the league). It's not easy to score on Milan as they have only conceded 7 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

Milan have avoided a loss in the last 8 games (5-3-0) versus Lecce.

Top Goalscorers

MilanR. Conceição Leão
R. Conceição Leão
7 goals
LecceG. Strefezza Rebelato
G. Strefezza Rebelato
5 goals
MilanO. Giroud
O. Giroud
5 goals

Lecce missing players

Milan missing players

Lecce Milan
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
17 8 4 Played P 2 8 17
4 2 2 Won W 1 4 11
7 4 0 Drew D 0 3 4
6 2 2 Lost L 1 1 2
16 9 5 Scored S 4 11 33
18 9 5 Conceded C 3 7 18
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 88%
76% 88% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 88%
29% 38% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 62% 71%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 12% 29%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 18%
65% 88% 75% BTTS BTTS 100% 75% 76%
12% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 24%
29% 12% 25% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 12%
 
4.1 4.4 5.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.4 4.6
6.2 5.9 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4.4 4
2.5 2.9 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 2.5
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
10.1 10.2 11 Shots (avg) S ( 15.5 15.6 16.6
2.9 2.9 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 5.4 5.6
32% 39% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 57% 26% 35%
 
12.8 11.5 13.2 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 10.4 10.9
4.8 4.8 5.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 2.6 3.1
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Lecce have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Lecce have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lecce have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Serie A
  • Lecce haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Milan have scored more than double the goals of Lecce.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 17 14 2 1 39 13 8 7 1 0 21 6 9 7 1 1 18 7 26 44
2 Juventus 17 11 4 2 26 7 9 7 2 0 21 3 8 4 2 2 5 4 19 37
3 Milan 17 11 4 2 33 18 9 7 1 1 22 11 8 4 3 1 11 7 15 37
4 Inter 17 11 1 5 37 24 8 7 0 1 20 4 9 4 1 4 17 20 13 34
5 Lazio 17 9 4 4 29 15 9 5 2 2 16 9 8 4 2 2 13 6 14 31
6 Atalanta 17 9 4 4 26 18 8 3 2 3 11 11 9 6 2 1 15 7 8 31
7 Roma 17 9 4 4 21 16 8 4 1 3 8 5 9 5 3 1 13 11 5 31
8 Udinese 17 6 7 4 25 19 8 3 4 1 13 7 9 3 3 3 12 12 6 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 5 6 21 22 9 4 3 2 14 14 8 2 2 4 7 8 -1 23
10 Torino 17 6 5 6 18 19 8 3 3 2 7 5 9 3 2 4 11 14 -1 23
11 Lecce 17 4 7 6 16 18 8 2 4 2 9 9 9 2 3 4 7 9 -2 19
12 Bologna 17 5 4 8 21 28 9 4 3 2 13 8 8 1 1 6 8 20 -7 19
13 Empoli 17 4 7 6 15 22 8 3 2 3 7 8 9 1 5 3 8 14 -7 19
14 Salernitana 17 4 6 7 21 27 9 3 3 3 14 11 8 1 3 4 7 16 -6 18
15 Monza 17 5 3 9 19 25 9 4 1 4 13 10 8 1 2 5 6 15 -6 18
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 17 26 8 3 2 3 12 9 9 1 2 6 5 17 -9 16
17 Spezia 17 3 6 8 16 28 9 2 6 1 13 12 8 1 0 7 3 16 -12 15
18 Hellas Verona 17 2 3 12 15 30 9 2 0 7 10 17 8 0 3 5 5 13 -15 9
19 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 8 30 9 0 2 7 2 15 8 2 1 5 6 15 -22 9
20 Cremonese 17 0 7 10 11 29 8 0 3 5 2 12 9 0 4 5 9 17 -18 7

Lecce:
Milan:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.