Serie A news and preview: Hellas Verona modest expected to outplay Spezia

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 03.October
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (42160 seats)

Important face-off in the "wrong" end of the Serie A, with both Hellas Verona and Spezia suffering more distress than delight. This fixture is a real "six-pointer" with the hosting team placed 14th and the away team in 17th position.

Insights:
  • Hellas Verona have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Spezia have the most dropped points from leading position (8) in Serie A

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

It should be mentioned that Spezia play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Spezia on grass are 15 victories, 12 draws and 21 defeats from 48 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 64-81. You can compare this with overall results below.

D D W L L

Hellas Verona form and stats

Three Serie A home games done for Hellas Verona, who are not happy collecting 3 points from these matches.

An away draw last time out for Hellas, facing Genoa in a game that ended 3-3. Opportunity lost for Hellas in the Genoa match as a lead 2-0 was lost and what looked like a victory ended in a draw. As you can tell by the result above, the goals flowed freely in the previous game and the stadium rocked. Could there be another goal fest today? The hometeam coach I. Tudor made a successful contribution in the game against Genoa, bringing on Nikola Kalinić who scored the equalizer in the 3-3 draw. The talented striker Antonín Barák outperformed all the other players in that game and managed a match rating of 7.42 out of 10. Barák scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

2-2 away at Salernitana before that.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Hellas matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, one draw and one defeat (from three games).

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (6 in 3 games), Hellas's attacking play is working. As for conceded goals, Hellas's unpleasant statistic is 8 goals surrendered.

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Spezia form and stats

Things could have gone better for Spezia in their Serie A away matches, but 4 points from 3 games is all right.

Home advantage was not enough for Spezia in their previous game, as they lost their Serie A-match, hosting Milan, 1-2. Defender Simone Bastoni was the best team player with a rating of 7.14. Bastoni served one assist, hit two key passes and won 5 of 11 duels.

Preceding that, the 2-3 home loss versus Juventus.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Spezia playing away, we found five games. Results were three away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

Spezia has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 5 goals from 3 games. There are big problems for the Spezia defense as they have conceded 9 goals in 3 away games.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: six - three - one (Hellas wins - draws - Spezia wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Hellas VeronaN. Kalinić
N. Kalinić
3 goals
HellasA. Barák
A. Barák
2 goals
SpeziaS. Bastoni
S. Bastoni
2 goals

Hellas Verona missing players

Spezia missing players

Hellas Verona Spezia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
6 3 1 Played P 2 3 6
1 1 0 Won W 1 1 1
2 0 0 Drew D 1 1 1
3 2 1 Lost L 0 1 4
11 6 2 Scored S 4 5 8
14 8 3 Conceded C 3 9 15
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
83% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 83%
83% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 83%
83% 100% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 67% 50%
50% 67% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 33%
83% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 83%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 17%
 
4.2 5.3 7 Corners for (avg) C F 7 5.3 4.5
4.8 5.3 4 Corners against (avg) C A 7 6 7
2.8 3 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.8
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
10.2 11 15 Shots (avg) S ( 13 9.7 11.2
3.8 4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 3.3 3.5
48% 50% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 50% 38%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Hellas Verona's home-matches have had more than 3,5 goals.
  • All of Spezia's away-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Hellas Verona have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Hellas Verona have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Hellas Verona haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Spezia have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Spezia have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Spezia have the most conceded goals (9) away in Serie A
  • Spezia have the most dropped points from leading position (8) in Serie A
  • Spezia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 6 5 1 0 12 3 3 3 0 0 8 1 3 2 1 0 4 2 9 16
2 Napoli 5 5 0 0 14 2 2 2 0 0 4 1 3 3 0 0 10 1 12 15
3 Inter 6 4 2 0 20 7 3 2 1 0 12 3 3 2 1 0 8 4 13 14
4 Roma 5 4 0 1 12 5 3 3 0 0 6 2 2 1 0 1 6 3 7 12
5 Atalanta 6 3 2 1 8 6 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 1 0 5 3 2 11
6 Fiorentina 5 3 0 2 8 9 2 1 0 1 3 4 3 2 0 1 5 5 -1 9
7 Lazio 5 2 2 1 12 7 2 1 1 0 8 3 3 1 1 1 4 4 5 8
8 Bologna 5 2 2 1 7 10 3 2 1 0 6 4 2 0 1 1 1 6 -3 8
9 Torino 5 2 1 2 8 5 3 1 1 1 6 3 2 1 0 1 2 2 3 7
10 Udinese 5 2 1 2 6 7 3 1 1 1 5 6 2 1 0 1 1 1 -1 7
11 Empoli 5 2 0 3 5 8 3 0 0 3 2 8 2 2 0 0 3 0 -3 6
12 Juventus 5 1 2 2 7 8 2 0 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 6 6 -1 5
13 Sampdoria 5 1 2 2 5 7 3 0 1 2 2 7 2 1 1 0 3 0 -2 5
14 Hellas Verona 6 1 2 3 11 14 3 1 0 2 6 8 3 0 2 1 5 6 -3 5
15 Genoa 6 1 2 3 10 15 3 0 1 2 5 7 3 1 1 1 5 8 -5 5
16 Sassuolo 5 1 1 3 5 7 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 1 0 2 5 6 -2 4
17 Spezia 6 1 1 4 8 15 3 0 0 3 3 6 3 1 1 1 5 9 -7 4
18 Venezia 5 1 0 4 3 10 1 0 0 1 1 2 4 1 0 3 2 8 -7 3
19 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 7 13 3 0 1 2 4 7 2 0 1 1 3 6 -6 2
20 Salernitana 5 0 1 4 4 14 3 0 1 2 2 7 2 0 0 2 2 7 -10 1

Hellas Verona:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.