Serie A prediction and preview: Hellas Verona modest favorites to beat Parma

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Wed 01.July
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (42160 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Hellas Verona in 9th and Parma in 8th place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Hellas Verona form and stats

Hellas Verona have collected 24 points from their Serie A home games so far after 7-3-4.

The home team returns to Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi after being equal after 90 minutes with Sassuolo (placed 12th) on their last time out; the Serie A game ended 3-3. Preceding that match was a defeat to Napoli (0-2).

Opportunity lost for Hellas Verona in the Sassuolo match as a lead 3-1 was lost and what looked like a victory ended in a draw. A goal frenzy last time out for Hellas, with a total of 6 goals in the match against Sassuolo. Fun stuff to watch! The Hellas goalkeeper Marco Silvestri was crucial in the match against Sassuolo last time out, making six saves.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Hellas have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won six times, drawn five and lost two.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Hellas Verona as they are travelling to their away game against Brescia in the Serie A. That match is four days after this one.

Hellas Verona has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. 15 goals have been conceded.

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Parma form and stats

The visitors are W5-D5-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A.

Parma's previous game was their home loss versus Inter (1-2). Ahead of that match was the victory versus Genoa at their stadium, the result 4-1.

We have checked recent matches where Parma have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were two victories, one draw and three defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Fiorentina in just four days.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Parma have scored 20 goals in 14 league games away. Parma have conceded 21 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Parma - Hellas Verona 0-1, played this season. Hellas Verona-Parma H2H statistics last six meetings regardless of arena: Hellas Verona four wins, Parma one win, one draw. three of these six matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

ParmaA. Cornelius
A. Cornelius
11 goals
ParmaG. Kouassi
G. Kouassi
6 goals
ParmaD. Kulusevski
D. Kulusevski
6 goals

Hellas Verona missing players

Parma missing players

Hellas Verona Parma
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
28 14 5 Played P 4 14 28
10 7 2 Won W 1 5 11
9 3 1 Drew D 3 5 6
9 4 2 Lost L 0 4 11
34 19 4 Scored S 6 20 38
32 15 4 Conceded C 5 21 35
89% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
71% 71% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 79% 68%
43% 50% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 57% 43%
14% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 43% 32%
11% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 14%
54% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 75% 64% 50%
32% 29% 20% Clean Sheets C S 25% 14% 21%
25% 29% 40% Failed to Score F T 0% 21% 29%
 
5.1 5.2 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 3.4 4.7
5.4 4.4 6.4 Corners against (avg) C A 8.2 7.1 6.6
2.5 2.1 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.4 2.2
6 3 3 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
316 152 47 Total Shots T S 45 135 331
116 59 17 Shots on Target S O 17 55 110
29% 32% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 36% 35%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Hellas Verona have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Parma have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Parma have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Parma have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Parma haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Juventus 28 22 3 3 56 24 14 13 1 0 35 10 14 9 2 3 21 14 32 69
2 Lazio 28 20 5 3 64 27 15 12 3 0 41 11 13 8 2 3 23 16 37 65
3 Inter 28 18 7 3 56 29 14 8 5 1 28 14 14 10 2 2 28 15 27 61
4 Atalanta 28 17 6 5 80 39 14 8 2 4 40 22 14 9 4 1 40 17 41 57
5 Roma 28 14 6 8 53 38 14 7 3 4 28 20 14 7 3 4 25 18 15 48
6 Napoli 28 13 6 9 46 37 14 6 2 6 20 19 14 7 4 3 26 18 9 45
7 Milan 28 12 6 10 34 35 14 5 5 4 15 15 14 7 1 6 19 20 -1 42
8 Parma 28 11 6 11 38 35 14 6 1 7 18 14 14 5 5 4 20 21 3 39
9 Hellas Verona 28 10 9 9 34 32 14 7 3 4 19 15 14 3 6 5 15 17 2 39
10 Cagliari 28 10 8 10 47 44 14 6 2 6 29 25 14 4 6 4 18 19 3 38
11 Bologna 28 10 7 11 40 45 14 4 5 5 18 22 14 6 2 6 22 23 -5 37
12 Sassuolo 28 9 7 12 48 49 14 6 2 6 31 25 14 3 5 6 17 24 -1 34
13 Fiorentina 28 7 10 11 34 39 14 3 6 5 14 18 14 4 4 6 20 21 -5 31
14 Torino 28 9 4 15 32 50 14 5 3 6 13 23 14 4 1 9 19 27 -18 31
15 Udinese 28 7 7 14 23 41 14 5 4 5 12 15 14 2 3 9 11 26 -18 28
16 Genoa 28 6 8 14 34 53 13 4 1 8 15 22 15 2 7 6 19 31 -19 26
17 Sampdoria 28 7 5 16 31 50 15 4 4 7 17 24 13 3 1 9 14 26 -19 26
18 Lecce 28 6 7 15 35 64 14 2 5 7 20 30 14 4 2 8 15 34 -29 25
19 Brescia 28 4 6 18 25 52 14 1 4 9 15 27 14 3 2 9 10 25 -27 18
20 SPAL 28 5 3 20 21 48 13 2 2 9 11 21 15 3 1 11 10 27 -27 18

Hellas Verona:
Parma:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.