Serie A prediction and preview: Hellas Verona modest favorites to beat Crotone

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 10.January
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (42160 seats)

With their 15 point advantage in the league table, Hellas Verona fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Crotone.

Insights:
  • Hellas Verona have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Crotone has the most conceded goals (38) in Serie A

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

It's quite the trip for Crotone when visiting Hellas Verona as the cities are 1100 kilometers apart.

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Hellas Verona form and stats

Hellas Verona have played 8 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-2-3 (wins-draws-losses). We have seen two home losses in a row now for Hellas, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

The home team returns to Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi after being equal after 90 minutes with Torino (placed 17th) on their last time out; the Serie A game ended 1-1. Before that match, a win away at Spezia.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Hellas have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won six times, drawn five and lost three.

The Hellas fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 8 matches. On the other hand, Hellas Verona have conceded 8 goals. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Crotone form and stats

There's been little loot from Crotone's travels as they have only collected 2 points from 8 away games in the Serie A. Crotone, who have the most conceded goals (38) in Serie A, only have 0 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 2 draws. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Crotone have lost on their last two travels.

Crotone's previous game was their home loss versus Roma (1-3). Preceding that game, the 2-6 loss visiting Inter's place.

We have checked recent matches where Crotone have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those ten games were two victories, two draws and six defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Crotone as they have only managed to score 7 times from 8 away games in the league. Crotone are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 7 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

Hellas Verona-Crotone H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Hellas five wins, Crotone two wins, three draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

CrotoneJ. Messias
J. Messias
5 goals
Hellas VeronaM. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
4 goals
CrotoneS. Tochukwu Nwankwo
S. Tochukwu Nwankwo
4 goals

Hellas Verona missing players

Crotone missing players

Hellas Verona Crotone
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
15 7 2 Played P 3 8 16
5 2 0 Won W 0 0 2
6 2 2 Drew D 1 2 3
4 3 0 Lost L 2 6 11
17 7 1 Scored S 1 7 16
15 8 1 Conceded C 4 22 38
93% 86% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 75% 88%
73% 71% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 62% 81%
33% 43% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 62% 62%
13% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 62% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 50% 31%
60% 57% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 62% 62%
27% 29% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 25% 12%
20% 29% 50% Failed to Score F T 67% 38% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.3 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 3.2 2.9
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
11 13.6 17.5 Shots (avg) S ( 6.7 10 9.6
3.5 4 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 3.1 3.3
33% 25% 8% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 28% 30%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Crotone has the fewest points (2) away in Serie A
  • Crotone has the fewest scored goals in the second half (5) in Serie A
  • Crotone has the most conceded goals (22) away in Serie A
  • Crotone has the most conceded goals (38) in Serie A
  • Crotone has the most conceded goals in the first half (22) in Serie A
  • Crotone has the the worst goal difference (-15) away in Serie A
  • Crotone has the the worst goal difference (-22) in Serie A
  • Crotone have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Crotone have yet to win a game away.
  • Hellas Verona have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 16 11 4 1 35 19 8 4 3 1 18 12 8 7 1 0 17 7 16 37
2 Inter 16 11 3 2 41 21 8 6 1 1 23 13 8 5 2 1 18 8 20 36
3 Roma 16 10 3 3 35 24 8 6 2 0 19 7 8 4 1 3 16 17 11 33
4 Juventus 15 8 6 1 32 15 7 4 2 1 13 7 8 4 4 0 19 8 17 30
5 Sassuolo 16 8 5 3 29 23 8 3 3 2 12 11 8 5 2 1 17 12 6 29
6 Napoli 15 9 1 5 32 15 8 4 1 3 19 10 7 5 0 2 13 5 17 28
7 Atalanta 15 8 4 3 36 21 8 5 1 2 22 10 7 3 3 1 14 11 15 28
8 Lazio 16 7 4 5 25 25 8 3 2 3 11 13 8 4 2 2 14 12 0 25
9 Hellas Verona 16 6 6 4 20 15 8 3 2 3 10 8 8 3 4 1 10 7 5 24
10 Benevento 16 6 3 7 19 26 8 2 2 4 8 14 8 4 1 3 11 12 -7 21
11 Sampdoria 16 6 2 8 25 26 8 3 1 4 15 13 8 3 1 4 10 13 -1 20
12 Bologna 16 4 5 7 23 29 8 3 2 3 16 17 8 1 3 4 7 12 -6 17
13 Udinese 15 4 4 7 17 23 7 2 1 4 5 9 8 2 3 3 12 14 -6 16
14 Fiorentina 16 3 6 7 17 23 8 2 4 2 8 8 8 1 2 5 9 15 -6 15
15 Cagliari 16 3 5 8 23 33 8 2 2 4 12 16 8 1 3 4 11 17 -10 14
16 Spezia 16 3 5 8 21 31 8 0 3 5 8 17 8 3 2 3 13 14 -10 14
17 Torino 16 2 6 8 26 33 8 0 4 4 13 18 8 2 2 4 13 15 -7 12
18 Parma 16 2 6 8 13 31 8 1 4 3 3 11 8 1 2 5 10 20 -18 12
19 Genoa 16 2 5 9 16 30 8 1 2 5 11 16 8 1 3 4 5 14 -14 11
20 Crotone 16 2 3 11 16 38 8 2 1 5 9 16 8 0 2 6 7 22 -22 9

Hellas Verona:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.