Serie A match prediction: Little separates Fiorentina and Atalanta in quality

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Mon 17.April
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (47300 seats)

Stadio Artemio Franchi: Shake it up for a football celebration when Fiorentina take on Atalanta. Read all about the match at Tipsway!

Insights:
  • Fiorentina have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atalanta haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Only a few days to rest for the host team, as they were involved in a Europa Conference League match only four days back. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Lech Poznań.

W D W W W

Fiorentina form and stats

Fiorentina have played 15 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-5-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Fiorentina are returning here after visiting Lech Poznań in a Europa Conference League game and winning with a 4-1 scoreline. Midfielder Bonaventura was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.61 (out of ten) in that game. Bonaventura scored one goal, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 25 successful passes (of 28 total).

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Spezia that ended 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Fiorentina perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Fiorentina as a small favourite), we find 4 games. Fiorentina has won 0 of these, drawn 0 and lost 4.

Trouble hitting the net? In this team's last 12 league matches, 9 have seen two goals or less.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Lech Poznań are coming to town in three days.

The Fiorentina fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 20 in 15 matches. Fiorentina have conceded 20 in these home matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

L W W L D

Atalanta form and stats

The visitors are W8-D3-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A.

Atalanta have lots to rectify after their out-of-character defeat (0-2) to Bologna in their previous match, played at home. Attacker Boga got a player rating of 7.4 in the game. "Man of the match" Boga hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 3 of 6 times and had 31 successful passes (of 36 total).

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Cremonese at their stadium, the result 3-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Atalanta playing away and similar expectations, we found 6 relevant matches. Results were 2 Atalanta wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat.

Atalanta are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 23 times in 15 away games so far. As opposed to that, Atalanta have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these two teams face each other this campaign, as the results database show this recent match: Atalanta - Fiorentina 1-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - one - five (Fiorentina wins - draws - Atalanta wins). As for goals, eight matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AtalantaA. Lookman
A. Lookman
13 goals
AtalantaR. Højlund
R. Højlund
7 goals
FiorentinaA. Mendonça Cabral
A. Mendonça Cabral
6 goals

Fiorentina missing players

Atalanta missing players

Fiorentina Atalanta
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 15 4 Played P 5 15 29
11 6 1 Won W 2 8 14
8 5 1 Drew D 2 3 6
10 4 2 Lost L 1 4 9
34 20 5 Scored S 9 23 47
32 20 9 Conceded C 7 16 34
93% 93% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
72% 80% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 80% 83%
38% 47% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 40% 45%
10% 20% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 27% 24%
7% 13% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 7% 10%
52% 67% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 40% 52%
28% 20% 25% Clean Sheets C S 20% 40% 31%
28% 20% 50% Failed to Score F T 20% 20% 21%
 
6.6 6.8 5.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.6 4.3 5.1
3.3 2.8 3 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 4.6 3.9
2.3 1.9 3.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.5 2.4
2 0 0 Red cards R C 2 2 3
 
16.4 18.5 15.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10 11.6 13.8
4.7 5.6 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.4 4.1 4.9
25% 24% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 53% 37% 33%
 
10.1 9 9.8 Shots against (avg) S A 13 13.9 12.3
3.6 3.6 5.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.6 4 4
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Atalanta haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Fiorentina have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fiorentina have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 29 24 2 3 66 21 14 11 1 2 33 13 15 13 1 1 33 8 45 74
2 Lazio 29 17 7 5 46 20 15 9 3 3 25 13 14 8 4 2 21 7 26 58
3 Roma 29 16 5 8 39 26 14 9 1 4 20 9 15 7 4 4 19 17 13 53
4 Milan 29 15 7 7 48 36 14 9 3 2 28 17 15 6 4 5 20 19 12 52
5 Inter 29 16 3 10 48 33 15 11 0 4 27 8 14 5 3 6 21 25 15 51
6 Atalanta 29 14 6 9 47 34 14 6 3 5 24 18 15 8 3 4 23 16 13 48
7 Juventus 29 18 5 6 47 24 15 11 3 1 34 12 14 7 2 5 13 12 23 44
8 Bologna 29 12 7 10 38 36 15 7 5 3 20 10 14 5 2 7 18 26 2 43
9 Fiorentina 29 11 8 10 34 32 15 6 5 4 20 20 14 5 3 6 14 12 2 41
10 Udinese 29 9 12 8 39 36 14 4 8 2 24 17 15 5 4 6 15 19 3 39
11 Torino 29 10 8 11 30 35 14 5 4 5 11 13 15 5 4 6 19 22 -5 38
12 Sassuolo 29 10 7 12 37 43 14 6 3 5 18 16 15 4 4 7 19 27 -6 37
13 Monza 29 9 8 12 34 41 15 5 4 6 19 18 14 4 4 6 15 23 -7 35
14 Empoli 29 7 11 11 25 36 14 5 4 5 13 15 15 2 7 6 12 21 -11 32
15 Salernitana 29 6 11 12 33 49 15 4 5 6 20 21 14 2 6 6 13 28 -16 29
16 Lecce 29 6 9 14 25 35 14 2 6 6 14 19 15 4 3 8 11 16 -10 27
17 Spezia 29 5 11 13 25 45 15 3 8 4 16 21 14 2 3 9 9 24 -20 26
18 Hellas Verona 29 5 7 17 24 43 15 5 2 8 17 23 14 0 5 9 7 20 -19 22
19 Cremonese 29 2 10 17 26 54 14 1 3 10 8 25 15 1 7 7 18 29 -28 16
20 Sampdoria 29 3 6 20 18 50 15 1 4 10 8 22 14 2 2 10 10 28 -32 15

Fiorentina:
Atalanta:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.